Oil Prices Rally on Hopes of Production Cuts --Update
12 February 2016 - 11:56PM
Dow Jones News
By Georgi Kantchev and Biman Mukherji
Oil prices rallied on Friday, rebounding from a 13-year low the
previous day, on speculation of production cuts among some of the
world's biggest suppliers.
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 5.4% to $31.67 a
barrel on London's ICE Futures exchange. On the New York Mercantile
Exchange, West Texas Intermediate futures were trading up 5.3% at
$27.60 a barrel.
WTI fell to $26.21 a barrel on Thursday, the lowest settlement
since May 6, 2003. Both benchmarks are still down for the week,
with Brent on track for a 7% loss and WTI down around 10%.
Prices rose after the United Arab Emirates energy minister said
late Thursday that members of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries were ready to cooperate on possible production
cuts. Venezuela, meanwhile, proposed that OPEC and non-OPEC
producers should at least freeze output at the current level.
"An OPEC cut is still hard to see but this week the notion of an
OPEC 'freeze' was introduced and we find that easier to envisage,"
said Olivier Jakob of consultancy Petromatrix. According to Mr.
Jakob, a freeze of OPEC production wouldn't reduce supplies to the
market, but could provide a sentiment boost as it brings OPEC
supply management back into the equation.
Many market watchers, however, continue to be skeptical about
the chances of any agreement.
"We view this as further jawboning, with the likelihood of a
coordinated response on supply cuts very low," ANZ Bank said in a
report.
A supply glut has dragged prices down over the past two years.
OPEC's policy, led by its most influential member, Saudi Arabia,
has been to pump at full tilt in a bid to defend its market share
against producers in the U.S. and Russia.
There are few signs that the global glut of crude will start to
shrink soon. U.S. oil inventories remain near levels not seen for
this time of year in at least the last 80 years, according to the
U.S. Energy Information Administration. With slower demand ahead
due to refineries going into planned maintenance, crude stocks are
expected to continue to increase.
"There is some concern that inventory tank tops will be tested,
particularly in the U.S.," said Michael Wittner, oil analyst at
Société Générale.
Still, analysts see some respite for oil prices in the second
half of the year.
"We do believe that Brent and [West Texas Intermediate] prices
will rebound in the second half of 2016 as more aggressive cutbacks
in production are forthcoming, particularly in the U.S.," said John
Davies, head of commodities research at BMI Research.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock--the benchmark gasoline
contract--rose 7% to $1.01 a gallon. ICE gasoil changed hands at
$301 a metric ton, up $15.50 from the previous settlement.
Write to Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com and Biman
Mukherji at biman.mukherji@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 12, 2016 07:41 ET (12:41 GMT)
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