Government Bonds Rally on Weak European Economic Data -- Update
19 April 2019 - 6:52AM
Dow Jones News
By Sam Goldfarb
Government-bond prices rose in the U.S. and Europe after new
data added to concerns about the eurozone economy.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at
2.563% Thursday, compared with 2.592% Wednesday.
Yields, which fall when bond prices rise, dropped overnight
after IHS Markit said its composite Purchasing Managers Index, a
measure of activity in the manufacturing and services sector, fell
to 51.3 in April from 51.6 in March. That was below the consensus
forecast of a 51.6 reading, as the PMI for the manufacturing sector
pointed to a decline in activity for the third straight month.
While Treasury yields fell after the release, declines were more
pronounced in Europe, with the 10-year German bond dropping to
0.021% from 0.085% Wednesday, according to Tradeweb.
The impact of the eurozone data was enough to overwhelm that of
an encouraging report on U.S. retail sales, which analysts said
presented the latest evidence that the U.S. economy is performing
better than some had feared heading into the year.
In recent weeks, Treasury yields have been buoyed by better data
out of the U.S. and China. Still, yields remain far from the
multiyear highs reached last fall, given continued worries about
the global economy, muted U.S. inflation, and a widespread belief
among investors that the Federal Reserve is more likely to lower
interest rates this year than it is to raise them.
Even before Thursday's data release, demand for Treasurys had
picked up modestly after the 10-year yield briefly rose above 2.6%
early in Wednesday's session.
Once yields reached that level, some investors started thinking
that the recent selloff was a "little bit overdone just given where
Fed expectations are and where global yields are," said Justin
Lederer, senior trader of interest rates at Cantor Fitzgerald
LP.
Write to Sam Goldfarb at sam.goldfarb@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 18, 2019 16:37 ET (20:37 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.