By Chris Matthews, MarketWatch , Clive McKeef
U.S. tariffs on cell phones, laptop computers imported from
China delayed before year-end holidays
U.S. stocks closed sharply higher Tuesday after the Trump
administration backed off on imposing tariffs on some Chinese
imports from Sept. 1, following recent sharp falls in equity
markets and ahead of a politically damaging rise in prices for
consumer goods later this year due to the proposed levies.
The news of a de-escalation in the trade war overshadowed
concerns about slowing economic growth and the potential for
Beijing to crack down on protests in Hong Kong, one of Asia's most
important financial and trade hubs.
How are the major benchmarks performing?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 382.20 points, or 1.48%,
at 26,279.91 for the biggest gain in two months. The S&P 500
index added 43.23 points, or 1.5%, to 2,926.32. The Nasdaq
Composite index rose 152.95 points, or 1.95%, to 8,016.36.
On Monday, the Dow slumped 389.73 points
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-futures-down-200-points-on-us-china-trade-worries-hong-kong-unrest-2019-08-12),
or 1.5%, to end at 25,897.71, while the S&P 500 declined 35.56
points, or 1.2%, to finish at 2,883.09. The Nasdaq Composite closed
at 7,863.41, a fall of 95.73 points or 1.2%.
What's driving the market?
Some investors took Tuesday's announcement as a sign that the
White House understood the trade war was starting to hurt U.S.
consumers, despite President Trump's claim that China was bearing
the cost of the tariffs.
Early Tuesday U.S. Trade Representative announced
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-slams-china-over-farm-trade-as-us-delays-tariffs-on-computers-cell-phones-2019-08-13)major
revisions to the planned 10% tariff on $300 billion in annual
imports from China earlier announced by President Trump on August
1.
Products that will not be subject tariffs from September include
"cell phones, laptop computers, video game consoles, certain toys,
computer monitors, and certain items of footwear and clothing,"
according to the statement.
The delays mean that goods worth $152 billion, or more than half
of the original $300 billion list, will now not be hit with tariffs
until mid-December. Apple (AAPL), one of the main beneficiaries of
the delayed tariffs on cell phones, usually introduces its new
iPhone models in September.
A USTR spokesman also told MarketWatch
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-to-delay-some-china-tariffs-as-officials-hold-discussions-2019-08-13)
that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury
Secretary Steven Mnuchin held discussions with Chinese Vice Premier
Liu He, and officials would speak again within two weeks. According
to Chinese news outlet CGTN, the call for the world's two largest
economies to meet again on trade came from Lighthizer, not
China.
"The three-month delay to the imposition of tariffs on more than
half of the $300bn of Chinese imports, originally scheduled to take
effect next month, is obviously designed to avoid a
politically-damaging rise in consumer prices ahead of the holiday
season," said Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist, at Capital
Economics.
"It should not be misinterpreted as a sign that trade tensions
are easing," he added. "Tensions will probably continue to ebb and
flow over the coming months, resulting in further bouts of
volatility in the markets, but we still see a continued escalation
as the most likely outcome."
Geopolitical risk remains a factor for investors though with
protesters thronging Hong Kong International Airport
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/protesters-clog-hong-kong-airport-again-after-it-reopens-2019-08-13)
for a second day in a row Tuesday, a day after they forced the
transport hub to shut down entirely. The number of protesters has
fallen from an estimated 2 million who marched on June 16th to
350,000 during the general strike which disrupted transport last
week, but the protests have grown more violent.
Hong Kong accounts for only about 3% of China's GDP currently,
down from 20% before the U.K. handover to China in 1997, but Hong
Kong hosts the world's fourth largest stock exchange and cross
border banking has doubled in the past decade with much of it for
Chinese companies borrowing in U.S. dollars. About 60% of the $2
trillion of foreign direct investment into China flows through Hong
Kong.
Opinion:A Tiananmen 'solution' in Hong Kong would destroy its
economy
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-tiananmen-solution-in-hong-kong-would-destroy-its-economy-2019-08-12)
Argentina is again a concern for investors also after a plunge
by the Argentine peso following a poor showing by pro-business
President Mauricio Macri in a primary election on Sunday.
"Developments in the financial hub of Hong Kong are adding to an
already tense geopolitical picture amid ongoing U.S.-Sino trade
tensions," said Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index
in a note. "Investors are once again pulling out of riskier assets
such as equities," while flows into haven assets are on the
rise."
Read:How Hong Kong clashes could wallop the U.S. stock market
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-hong-kong-clashes-could-wallop-the-us-stock-market-2019-08-12)
See:Argentina fund swoons as Macri suffers primary defeat
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/argentina-fund-swoons-as-macri-suffers-primary-defeat-2019-08-12)
Concerns about Hong Kong are adding to doubts on the global
economic outlook, which were also reinforced by downbeat data from
the eurozone's largest economy. The ZEW indicator of German
economic sentiment fell to -44.1 in August
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/german-zew-falls-to-worst-level-in-more-than-seven-years-2019-08-13),
down from -24.5 in July and marking the lowest reading since
December 2011. Economists polled by FactSet had looked for a -28
reading.
On the U.S. data front, the cost of living over the past 12
months climbed to 1.8% from 1.6%
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/higher-gas-prices-rent-boost-cost-of-living-in-july-cpi-shows-but-us-inflation-still-mild-2019-08-13),
but it's still well below last year's peak of 2.9%. The survey of
consumer prices tends to run hotter than the Fed's preferred
inflation barometer known as the price index for personal
consumption expenditures. The PCE is up just 1.4% over the past
year, well below the Fed's 2% inflation target.
Which stocks are in focus?
Apple (AAPL) was up more than 4% after news that some computer
products would avoid tariffs for now. Best Buy(BBY) rose by more
than 6% on the tariff delay also.
Shares of CBS Corp. (CBS) and Viacom Inc. (VIA) rallied after
the media and entertainment companies announced a merger deal
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cbs-viacom-stocks-rally-after-all-stock-merger-deal-announced-2019-08-13),
creating a combined company -- ViacomCBS Inc. -- with more than $28
billion in revenue.
U.S.-listed shares of J.D.com(JD) rose 10.2% Tuesday, after the
China-based e-commerce company reported second-quarter earnings
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/jdcoms-stock-surges-on-heavy-volume-after-earnings-beat-2019-08-13)
that beat expectations.
Shares of Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) rallied 13% Tuesday,
after the insurer announced an agreement
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/genworth-shares-soar-156-premarket-on-news-of-sale-of-stake-in-canada-unit-for-18-billion-2019-08-13)
to sell a majority stake in Genworth MI Canada to Brookfield
Business Partners LP for about C$2.4 billion ($1.8 billion).
Shares of CIT Group(CIT) were expected to be in focus after it
announced its CIT Bank N.A. subsidiary was in a deal
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cit-to-buy-mutual-of-omaha-bank-for-1-billion-2019-08-13-691391)
to buy Mutual of Omaha's savings bank subsidiary, Mutual of Omaha
Bank, for $1 billion in cash and stock. The stock fell 3.2%
Tuesday.
How are other markets trading?
European stocks also staged a turnaround following the trade
news, with the Stoxx Europe rising 0.5% after falling as much as 1%
earlier Tuesday.
Safe-have assets also reversed course early Tuesday, with the
yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note , erasing declines to be up
4 basis points at 1.68%, while gold futures fell about 0.2% to
$1,501 per ounce. The spread between two- and 10-year yields hit
the narrowest since 2007.
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-30-year-treasury-bond-yield-is-on-the-brink-of-falling-to-an-all-time-low-2019-08-12)
The price of crude oil rose 3.7% to about $57.
Asian markets declined
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-fall-as-hong-kong-tensions-remain-high-2019-08-12)
overnight Monday as investors kept an eye on developments in Hong
Kong, with the Hang Seng Index falling 2.1%, bringing its August
decline to 9%. China's CSI 300 lost 0.9% and Japan's Nikkei 225
shed 1.1% overnight.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 13, 2019 16:13 ET (20:13 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.