By Caitlin McCabe
Investors around the world retreated from stocks and piled into
haven assets including government bonds and gold, reflecting
escalating worries that the coronavirus will disrupt the global
economy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 1,000 points
-- its biggest point decline in more than two years; the yield on
the benchmark 10-year Treasury note approached a record low; and
gold prices climbed for the eighth straight session to a seven-year
high.
Shares of travel, health insurers and highflying technology
stocks were among the hardest hit. American Airlines Group dropped
8.5%, UnitedHealth Group slumped 7.8% and Facebook fell 4.5%.
U.S. stocks had been relatively resilient in the wake of the
epidemic. But fears about contagion rattled investors after a surge
of cases outside China was reported over the weekend, prompting
concerns about new pockets of infection in Italy, Iran and South
Korea. Global health officials said Monday that the number of cases
world-wide has surpassed 79,000. More than 2,000 have been
confirmed outside of China.
The epidemic, which has curtailed Chinese manufacturing, exports
and consumption this year, is threatening to damp global growth as
factories world-wide depend on a supply chain tethered to China.
Officials and economists are warning that an extended Chinese
shutdown could cripple global manufacturing and cost the world up
to $1 trillion in lost output.
"With the developments we saw over the weekend -- more cases,
more people getting sick without coming into contact with people
from China -- I think it's opened the eyes of the investment
community and it opened the eyes of the World Health Organization,"
said Carter Henderson, a portfolio manager at Pittsburgh-based Fort
Pitt Capital Group.
"We don't know how or why this virus is spreading," he said.
The blue-chip index fell 1,031.61 points, or 3.6%, to 27960.80,
only the third 1,000-point drop in its history. The S&P 500
dropped 111.86 points, or 3.4%, to 3225.89, with all 11 sectors
posting declines. Both indexes lost their gains for 2020.
The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered the steepest
losses, retreating 355.31 points, or 3.7%, to 9221.28, as investors
dumped some of the momentum shares that have powered the
long-running rally in U.S. stocks. The index is hanging on to a
2.8% gain for the year.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq had set records as recently as last
Wednesday but have dropped 4.7% and 6.1%, respectively, over the
past three sessions. The Dow industrials are off 5.4% from their
Feb. 12 record.
The U.S. selloff followed sharp declines overseas. Germany's
DAX, the benchmark for Europe's industrial powerhouse, dropped 4%.
In South Korea, the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or
Kospi, closed down 3.9%
Even now in the midst of the epidemic, few economists have
called for an imminent recession in the U.S. Plus, many investors
are hesitant to pull out of the stock market after a decadelong
bull run that has encountered a number of obstacles -- among them a
trade war, a currency crisis in Europe and a slowdown in global
growth -- only to resume its upward march.
The Federal Reserve's three interest-rate cuts last year boosted
faith that the central bank will step in, if needed, to support the
economy. Federal-funds futures used by traders to place bets on
interest-rate policy show a 85% chance the Fed will lower rates at
least once by the end of July, up from 39% a month ago.
Energy and technology stocks posted the biggest declines in the
S&P 500 Monday, both falling more than 4%. Oil company Hess
slid 6.5% as Brent crude dropped 3.8% to $56.30 a barrel.
Graphics-chip maker Advanced Micro Devices fell 7.8%.
Airlines and travel-related stocks were hit particularly hard.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings dropped 9.3% and Booking Holdings,
the operator of Priceline and Kayak, declined 7.1%.
The flight from stocks coincided with a rush into haven assets.
Gold prices rose 1.7% to $1,672.40 a troy ounce, the highest level
since Feb. 6, 2013. Increased demand for U.S. government bonds sent
the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note down to 1.377%,
approaching the 2016 all-time closing low of 1.364%, according to
Tradeweb.
"The rally of haven assets such as gold reflects surging demand
for safety during a time of uncertainty," said CMC Markets analyst
Margaret Yang. "Things will probably get worse before it gets
better."
Volatility also returned in force to the stock market. The Cboe
Volatility Index, or VIX, jumped to 25.03, its highest level since
Jan. 3, 2019. The options-based gauge tends to rise when markets
fall and investors reach for insurance-like contracts to protect
their portfolios.
Portfolio managers and investors Monday suggested that investors
may have originally been too sanguine about the health of financial
markets, buoyed in part by positive consumer data and the trade
deal reached between the U.S. and China in January. Corporate
earnings largely beat expectations, too, even as the coronavirus
was raised as a topic of concern on dozens of recent earnings
calls. For weeks, however, it appeared that the virus was mostly
contained within China's borders.
Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Charlotte,
N.C.-based Independent Advisor Alliance, said Monday that it was
"unrealistic to think that the virus would remain contained."
And as reports emerged of a rapidly growing number of
coronavirus cases in Italy, South Korea, and Iran over the weekend,
economists said many investors are beginning to worry: Will another
country and economy look like China in the coming weeks?
"The markets are starting to fear that Europe is where China was
at the end of December," said Seema Shah, chief strategist at
Principal Global Investors, referring to early reports of illnesses
in Wuhan at the end of 2019. "In two months time, will they be
where China is today with the number of deaths?"
--Chong Koh Ping and Anna Isaac contributed to this article.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 24, 2020 17:20 ET (22:20 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.