A $100 Billion Meituan Should Make Investors Queasy -- Heard on the Street
26 May 2020 - 8:56PM
Dow Jones News
By Jacky Wong
China's largest takeout company has kept delivering for
shareholders despite disruptions from the coronavirus pandemic.
Investors now might want to check whether the rally is
overheated.
The market value of Hong Kong-listed Meituan Dianping blew past
$100 billion after its stock rose 10.4% Tuesday, cementing its
position as China's third-most-valuable internet company. Investors
seem hopeful that the disruptions caused by the coronavirus
pandemic will be short-lived. The company, which runs a super-app
providing services including ordering takeout and booking flights,
slipped into losses last quarter, after reporting three straight
quarters of profit, according to results announced Monday.
Meituan's revenue also slid 13% from a year earlier in the first
quarter. The results are better than analysts' expectations, and
Meituan indicated that its businesses are bouncing back nicely this
month.
Meituan's food-delivery revenue last quarter fell 11% from a
year earlier even though most people were holed up at home. Average
order size rose 14% as customers switched to more expensive
restaurants. That is positive for the segment's razor-thin margins.
Meituan said that as of mid-May, its food-delivery orders had
recovered to 90% of the pre-pandemic level.
Its higher-margin businesses, however, could take longer to
recover. Unlike its U.S. peers Grubhub or DoorDash, which rely
solely on the low-margin takeout business, Meituan uses its
platform to lure its customers into more profitable businesses such
as selling hotel rooms or flight tickets. Its in-store, hotel and
travel segment was the only business that reported an operating
profit last quarter, though margins there slipped, too. Hotel rooms
on its platform cater more to domestic travel, which has recovered
faster than international. Nonetheless as of May, hotel-room
bookings on its platform had reached only around 70% of the level
before the pandemic.
Meituan might become profitable again once its revenue resumes
growing. But even if the pandemic is no longer a concern, the
economic downturn could weigh on discretionary spending, such as
travel and dining, for a long time.
Meituan's stock is trading at 47 times next year's earnings,
according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Given that the
stock has rallied 36% this year, investors may want to check out
for the time being.
Write to Jacky Wong at JACKY.WONG@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 26, 2020 06:41 ET (10:41 GMT)
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