By Sarah Chaney
Employers added 1.8 million jobs in July, indicating the U.S.
economic recovery continued but lost some momentum during the
summer coronavirus surge.
July's job gain was slower than the previous two months, when
payrolls grew a combined 7.5 million as many states lifted lockdown
restrictions on businesses. There are now about 13 million fewer
jobs than in February, the month before the coronavirus hit the
U.S. economy.
The unemployment rate fell to 10.2% last month after hitting a
peak of nearly 15% in April, showing people continued returning to
work. The Labor Department said the greatest employment growth
occurred in the hospitality, government, retail, business services
and the health-care sectors.
"We're in a pretty strong rebound," said David Berson,
Nationwide chief economist. "But the downturn was so big -- the
hole that was dug was so deep -- that it will still take probably
at least a couple of years to dig ourselves out."
Unemployment remains historically high. Before the coronavirus
drove the U.S. into a deep recession this year, the unemployment
rate was hovering around a 50-year low of 3.5%.
Labor-market gains have been uneven. Jobless rates for whites,
Asians and Hispanics declined in July, while holding steady for
Black workers.
Unemployed individuals reporting their layoffs as temporary
declined last month, and the number who saw their job losses as
permanent remained nearly the same, positive signs for the
recovery. Still, the number of people unemployed for an extended
period -- 15 to 26 weeks -- jumped by 4.6 million to 6.5 million
workers, showing it will take time for the labor market to
recover.
Eric Lanser, age 34, of Boston, has seen job prospects improve
since he was furloughed from a small investment-banking firm in
March.
At the onset of the pandemic, he reached out to several firms
but none was hiring because activity in mergers and acquisitions
had dried up. Mr. Lanser said demand for investment-banking
services appears to be increasing now, and as a result, he has more
job leads.
"I'm feeling much more optimistic," Mr. Lanser said.
The economy entered a recession in February and appeared to
begin a recovery as early as April. Economists say the speed at
which businesses hire and consumers spend depends, in large part,
on the course of the virus. Many consumers remain hesitant to
resume store visits, dine out or board planes as virus cases remain
high. Some businesses face renewed government restrictions.
Jeremy Murray's patio bar in Austin, Texas, closed for 12 weeks
starting in March, then had only reopened for about a month when it
was forced to shut down for a second time in late June, as Texas
grappled with a surge in reported Covid-19 cases. The bar, called
Kitty Cohen's, was making about a third of the revenue it had in
the same month last year, Mr. Murray said, but at least the money
was enough to cover rent and other expenses.
"It was pretty deflating," said Mr. Murray, who furloughed all
eight of the staff he had brought back to work at the bar. Another
10 employees have been on furlough since the spring. "I just
remember really fighting back some serious emotions," he said.
A Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis analysis found that states
with a larger number of coronavirus infections cases since June saw
the weakest job recoveries between early June and late July.
Arizona, Florida and Texas were among the states with the sharpest
increases in coronavirus cases and mild employment recoveries, the
report said.
A Cornell University survey separately found that 31% of
recalled workers had recently been laid off a second time, with
most of these layoffs occurring in states without large virus
surges.
New job postings are increasing in three main categories,
according to ManpowerGroup: jobs that are transforming business,
such as software developers; jobs that are moving things, such as
delivery drivers; and jobs that are helping people, such as
physicians.
The labor-market recovery depends on employers' confidence and
ability to meet employees' desire to feel safe returning to work,
said Becky Frankiewicz, president of ManpowerGroup North
America.
"It's not just about the economic conditions in the state or the
status of the virus, it's about how people feel," she said.
Desert Orthopaedic Center in Las Vegas is looking to add a
couple of physicians to its practice. The medical company had
reduced staff hours in several departments after patient visits and
surgeries fell steeply beginning in mid-March, said Chief Financial
Officer Jim Washer.
"I think a lot of it was just due to people hunkering down and
staying inside and not going anywhere," he said.
By early May, patient visits were climbing and Desert
Orthopaedic workers returned to regular 40-hour weeks. Mr. Washer
said the business rebound was likely a result of patients' need for
medical care and relative comfort coming to a doctor's office.
He fears, though, that patient numbers could drop again if the
Las Vegas economy deteriorates.
"I have an uneasy feeling that I shouldn't get too comfortable
that things are back to normal," Mr. Washer said.
The July jobs figures could influence the policy debate in
Washington on extending extra unemployment benefits for millions of
workers. A $600 a week benefit expired at the end of July.
The extra benefits helped Tracy Menasco, 51 years old, pay rent,
grocery bills and student loans during the pandemic. The Spokane,
Wash., resident was temporarily laid off from her sales job in
April, and she was then told in June that her position was
permanently eliminated. She said she hopes her savings will help
cover costs since the supplemental jobless aid ended.
"I've stashed away what money I can, and I'm just trying to
watch my budget and be careful," she said.
Ms. Menasco has been applying for jobs since June, but she
hasn't had much luck, which she said is uncommon for her
industry.
Sales jobs are "usually the last to go or the first one in, and
it doesn't seem to be safe in this economy," she said.
--Kim Mackrael contributed to this article.
Write to Sarah Chaney at sarah.chaney@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 07, 2020 11:08 ET (15:08 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.