Australian Power Play Squeezes Gas Exporters
16 March 2017 - 12:00AM
Dow Jones News
By Robb M. Stewart and Rob Taylor
Australia threatened to impose restrictions on natural-gas
exports as it extracted a commitment from global energy companies
to supply enough gas to meet growing local demand and prevent a
domestic shortage.
In a meeting with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull on Wednesday,
local and international energy companies agreed to make more
domestic gas available as soon as possible. They also vowed to
supply gas in periods of high demand, such as during heat waves, to
prevent more of the widespread blackouts that hit parts of the
country's south late last year.
Mr. Turnbull offered no detail on how much additional gas would
be required or where it would come from, but said the new
arrangements to ensure sufficient supplies to meet surges in demand
would be in place before next summer. He said the government
wouldn't hesitate to regulate exports--possibly even establishing a
legislated reservation for domestic use--if the industry wasn't
able to guarantee adequate supply.
"All of the powers that we have under the constitution we
reserve to be able to use as and when the national interest demands
it," Mr. Turnbull said after the meeting. "What we've sought from
the industry is the commitment to ensure that the domestic market
has the gas supplies it needs."
It marks a change in tack for Australia's conservative
government, which has previously argued a reservation policy could
raise sovereign risk issues for producers and deter investment in
new gas projects.
Mr. Turnbull was moved to respond after the operator of the
country's gas and electricity markets last week warned of a
shortfall in gas-power electricity generation in the populous
southeast states as soon as next summer if no action is taken. He
said Wednesday it was "utterly untenable, unacceptable" that
Australian businesses and families couldn't access affordable
gas.
The issue came to a head late last year when South Australia
state was hit by several blackouts, including a statewide outage
after a violent storm that left many homes and business without
power for several days.
Last week, growing alarm at the prospect of further blackouts
across the country's south prompted Tesla Inc.'s Elon Musk to
offer--initially via Twitter, and later during a phone calls with
political leaders including Mr. Turnbull-- his company's
energy-storage technology as a solution to South Australia's
electricity woes.
Yet Australia's fears of a looming gas shortage and soaring
prices come as the country is on track to overtake Qatar as the
world's top exporter of liquefied natural gas in the coming
years.
Major projects are ramping up output for export. Three big
plants on Curtis Island in northeastern Queensland state, which
together cost about $60 billion, are tapping methane buried in
inland seams of coal and chilling it to a liquid to send to
Asia.
These projects--operated by Royal Dutch Shell PLC, Origin Energy
Ltd. and Santos Ltd., along with partners--are viewed by analysts
as the most viable near-term solution to meet domestic demand. Mr.
Turnbull said Wednesday that the Shell and Origin-led projects
agreed to supply more gas from the projects to the local market
than they take out of it. The third project had taken the matter on
notice, he said.
Following the meeting, gas companies said they were committed to
working with the federal government.
"We understand that if we want a long term export industry we
need to make sure Australians have gas available at competitive
prices," said Andrew Smith, Shell's Australia chairman. He said the
company had already reduced export shipments from one Australian
project to supply more gas to the local market and recently signed
supply contracts with local utilities.
Executives from Santos and Origin said they too would assist in
addressing the country's energy challenges and help to boost
domestic gas supply.
Still, to ensure it can meet future demand Australia needs to
develop new onshore gas fields, but this would take years and
require fresh investment by companies that have pulled back on
exploration and new projects with the slump in world oil
prices.
Some regions, fearful of environmental impacts and political
backlash, have also imposed restrictions on gas exploration and
development. Mr. Turnbull on Wednesday reiterated his call on state
and territory governments to lift such restrictions.
Encouraging commercial arrangements to channel gas from the
export market to domestic supply is a move in the right direction,
said Innes Willox, chief executive of Australian Industry Group,
which represents more than 60,000 businesses.
The risk, according to Saul Kavonic at Perth-based energy
consultancy Wood Mackenzie, is a knee-jerk policy that would do
more damage to the industry and worsen the long-term supply
problem.
"There is no silver bullet here and you can't just turn a switch
and bring on new large gas supply," he said. "Producers would love
to produce more gas right now as prices are high, but the remaining
gas sources out there are challenging technically, commercially or
politically."
Write to Robb M. Stewart at robb.stewart@wsj.com and Rob Taylor
at rob.taylor@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 15, 2017 08:45 ET (12:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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