Exchanges Close Q3 With Massive Bitcoin Outflows, Why A Rally Is On The Horizon
04 October 2022 - 10:00AM
NEWSBTC
The third quarter of 2022 was a rollercoaster for the price of
bitcoin. BTC’s price had fluctuated wildly during this time and
ended up hitting lower lows than expected. However, this has not
changed investors’ convictions about the cryptocurrency. As the
third quarter drew to a close, there had been a massive withdrawal
spree from centralized exchanges, which led to more than $600
million in outflows. Bitcoin Outflows Grow The last day of
September has proven to be an important trading day for bitcoin.
Given that it was both the last day of the month and a Friday,
meaning the close of the trading week, bitcoin investors seemed to
have taken this as a sign to move their BTC off exchanges. Related
Reading: Trade Activity Shows Ethereum Whales Are Seeking Refuge In
Stablecoins Data shows that on this last day, investors moved
34,723 BTC out of centralized exchanges. This came out to Rond
$668.07 million at the time of the withdrawals. It also follows the
accumulation trend that has been gaining momentum since
mid-September. This happened while the digital asset trended below
$20,000, and it is now apparent that this accumulation trend had
been behind the brief spike above $20,000 on Friday. More than 34k
BTC leaves exchanges in one day | Source: Santiment On-chain data
aggregator Santiment notes that this is the 4th largest daily BTC
outflow that has been recorded for the digital asset in 2022.
Additionally, it is also a new 3-month record for the digital
asset. Part of a large “bank run” that has seen the BTC held by
centralized exchanges drop by more than 60,000 over the weekend.
Can This Trigger A Breakout? For bitcoin, such large removal of BTC
from centralized exchanges is always a bullish indicator. Investors
tend to do this when their long-term conviction is high, and they
want to safeguard their coins as they hold out for the future since
it is common knowledge that “Not your keys, not your coins.” What
this does is remove a substantial supply of bitcoin from the open
market, leading to a supply squeeze. Demand has also been on the
rise for the digital asset, which means buy pressure is mounting.
Santiment also notes in its post that the last time that the
digital asset had seen such a massive movement of coins off
exchanges, BTC’s price had rallied more than 22% in the next month.
BTC settles above $19,000 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
Interestingly, October has always been a historically bullish month
for BTC and the general crypto market. This means that a rally from
this present level could see the price of bitcoin hit $23,000 over
the next 4 weeks. However, it is also important to bear in mind
that the worst of the bear market is not over. So while a breakout
is possible, it will be hard for bitcoin to maintain such high
levels, and a downward correction could lead to new lows. Related
Reading: Why Bitcoin, Ethereum May Not Be The Best Plays For The
Next Bull Market Bitcoin is trading at $19,189 at the time of this
writing. This puts it 10% below its 50-day moving average of
$21,234. The next significant resistance point lies at $19,900,
while the digital asset is seeing mounting support at $19,050.
Featured image from CryptoSlate, chart from TradingView.com Follow
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