This On-Chain Metric Suggests Bitcoin Not In Danger Of Another Sharp Drawdown
22 October 2022 - 06:00AM
NEWSBTC
Historical data of an on-chain indicator could suggest Bitcoin may
not be in danger of another sharp crash right now. Bitcoin Spot
Exchange Depositing Addresses Stay At Very Low Values As pointed
out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, signs are that another
crash similar to Q3 2018 isn’t likely to happen currently. The
relevant indicator here is the “spot exchange depositing
addresses,” which is a measure of the total number of Bitcoin
wallet addresses that are making send transactions to centralized
spot exchanges right now. Generally, investors deposit their coins
on spot exchanges for selling purposes. Thus, a spike in this
metric can be bearish for the price of the crypto as it could be a
hint at dumping behavior from a large number of addresses. On the
other hand, low values imply not many holders are adding to the
selling pressure in the market at the moment. Now, here is a chart
that shows the trend in the Bitcoin spot exchange depositing
addresses over the last few years: Looks like the value of the
metric has been going down in recent months | Source: CryptoQuant
As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the
relevant zones of trend for the Bitcoin spot exchange depositing
addresses. It seems like usually around periods where this
indicator has sharply risen up to local tops, the price of BTC has
also observed a top and subsequently declined. Related Reading:
Will Bitcoin Tank Following The Charles Schwab Indicator? Do BTC
Investors Need To Worry? Since the bull run top last year, the spot
exchange depositing addresses have been overall winding down,
seeing only a couple of peaks in the period. Some investors have
recently been wondering whether another sharp drawdown is coming
for Bitcoin in the near future, just like the one the 2018 bear
market saw after months of sideways movement similar to now.
Looking at the chart for the trend during the 2017/2018 cycle, it’s
apparent that the metric declined following the bull run top and
then plateaued at low levels as the bear market went on. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Dominance To Regain Control Over Crypto? | BTC.D
Analysis October 20, 2022 However, in Q3 2018, the indicator
suddenly jumped up. A couple of months or so after this happened,
the price observed a crash. As during recent weeks there has been
no such sharp increase in the indicator, the analyst believes there
is no indication that a decline similar to then would take place
now. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats
around $18.8k, down 4% in the last week. The value of the crypto
seems to have dipped below the $19k level again | Source: BTCUSD on
TradingView Featured image from André François McKenzie on
Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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