Dogecoin Down 3%, Here’s The Metric That Signaled This Decline In Advance
17 February 2023 - 10:05PM
NEWSBTC
Dogecoin has declined around 3% in the past 24 hours following a
pattern formation that has often signaled tops in the past.
Dogecoin Social Volume And Sentiment Shot Up Shortly Before The
Decline As per data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment,
euphoria has historically led to price tops in the cryptocurrency.
A relevant indicator here is the “social volume,” which measures
the total number of text documents that contain a given search term
(which, in this case, is Dogecoin) at least once. The text
documents here include social media posts like tweets, telegram
messages, Reddit posts, and other forum-related text pieces. A key
feature of the social volume metric is that it doesn’t count these
documents based on the number of times they mention the search
term, but by if they do it even once. For example, if a tweet
mentions Dogecoin once, while a Reddit post mentions the meme coin
five times, the indicator will still count both of them as 1
document each (meaning that the total social volume here would be
2). Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the social volume
for DOGE over the last few months: Looks like the value of the
metric has been high in recent days | Source: Ali on Twitter As
displayed in the above graph, the Dogecoin social volume (in green)
has seen a sharp spike during the past couple of days, showing that
discussion around the meme coin has been at pretty high levels
recently. The chart also shows data for another indicator, called
the “weighted sentiment,” which first measures the general
sentiment in the market around the cryptocurrency, and then weighs
it against the social volume. This metric quantifies the sentiment
by going through the earlier mentioned social text documents and
checking whether users are talking positively or negatively about
the meme coin, using a machine learning model. Related Reading:
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Afterward, the indicator weighs this calculated sentiment against
the current social volume of the asset. In simpler terms, this
means that the metric will only show high values when both the
social volume is high and the overall sentiment is very positive at
the same time. From the graph, it’s visible that this indicator has
also shot up to very high values recently. In fact, the current
level of the indicator is the highest it has been since October of
last year. This means that not only are a lot of people talking
about DOGE right now, but they are also in fact mentioning it in a
positive light. Interestingly, back in October, the price of the
cryptocurrency was surging, but following both the social volume
and weighted sentiment spiking to extremely high values, Dogecoin
topped out and soon saw a sharp correction. Related Reading:
Polygon Whales Continue Accumulation, Add 55M MATIC While hype can
naturally generate a bullish wind for the coin, it’s also true that
too much of it can lead to the price hitting the top and declining
instead. “Regardless of your opinion on DOGE, hype on this asset in
particular historically foreshadows market corrections,” explains
Santiment. Following the latest spikes in the two metrics, Dogecoin
has already suffered a 3% drawdown after hitting a local high above
the $0.09 level. At present, it’s currently unclear whether it’s
truly the effect of euphoria that has appeared on the market with
this latest drawdown, but if it is, then DOGE may be in for a
further downtrend. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is
trading around $0.0864, up 5% in the last week. DOGE has declined
during the past day | Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView Featured image
from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
Santiment.net
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