Bitcoin Puell Multiple Hits 14-Month High, Here’s What It Means
20 February 2023 - 10:30PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the 7-day moving average (MA) Bitcoin Puell
Multiple has hit a 14-month high recently. Here’s what it may mean
for the market. Bitcoin 7-Day MA Puell Multiple Has Risen Above 1
Recently As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the
BTC price was around $48,000 the last time the metric was at its
current level. The “Puell Multiple” is an indicator that measures
the ratio between the daily revenue of the Bitcoin miners and the
365-day MA of the same (both in USD). When the value of this metric
is greater than 1, it means the miners are making more right now
than the average for the past year. If the indicator hits very high
values above this mark, then miners become likely to sell as they
are likely raking in a significant amount of profits. On the other
hand, the multiple being below the threshold implies the mining
revenues are less than the norm at the moment. Low enough values
under this mark have historically been a sign that the
cryptocurrency is undervalued. Now, here is a chart that shows the
trend in the 7-day MA Bitcoin Puell Multiple over the last couple
of years: Looks like the 7-day MA value of the metric has shown
some rise in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As displayed in the
above graph, the 7-day MA Bitcoin Puell Multiple had been below the
1 mark during the past year or so as the bear market had gripped
the asset. With the latest rally in the coin’s price, however, the
indicator seems to have seen some rapid rise, and it has now broken
out of the zone again. Related Reading: Brazilian Government To
Clarify Bitcoin Law With New Decree This is the first time in about
14 months that the metric has crossed above the 1 level. To see
what effect this might have on the current market, here is a chart
that highlights how the indicator behaved during the past cycles:
The trend in the indicator over the history of BTC | Source:
CryptoQuant In the graph, the quant has marked the different levels
that have been relevant for the 7-day MA Bitcoin Puell Multiple
during the previous cycles. It looks like sustainable rallies have
usually taken place whenever the metric has made a successful break
above the 1 mark. When the indicator is below 1, some miners may
have trouble running their operations as the lower revenues may not
pay costs like electricity bills. Thus, during times like this,
some miners may be forced to sell their reserves to keep their
facilities going. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At Risk of
Downside Thrust Before A Fresh Increase However, the analyst
explains that when the indicator shows a rising trend breaking
through 1, miners start getting more comfortable with keeping their
bills paid and therefore, the selling pressure goes down from this
cohort. If the same pattern follows this time as well, then the
current break of the Bitcoin Puell Multiple in the region above
this level could be good news for the viability of the current
rally. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around
$24,500, up 13% in the last week. Looks like BTC has moved sideways
since the rise | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from
Michael Förtsch on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
CryptoQuant.com
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