Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Negative, Short Squeeze Incoming?
03 March 2023 - 10:35PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin saw its biggest long squeeze in four months at the start of
the trading day in Hong Kong today, which briefly sent the price
below $22,000. Within the last 24 hours, a total of over $73
million in longs were liquidated, and over $200 million in the
entire crypto market. As NewsBTC reported, the sudden crash can be
attributed to various reasons, with more than just the Silvergate
narrative likely playing a role. Apparently, there was a huge
transaction on Binance a minute before the collapse that triggered
the cascading effect. Bitcoin Funding Rates Fall Into Negative The
liquidation of the long positions has the positive side effect that
the Bitcoin funding rate across all exchanges is negative for the
first time since February 13. Remarkably, that day marked the last
local low before the Bitcoin price rallied from $21,300 to $25,200.
As the chart from CryptoQuant shows, the Bitcoin price was in a
consolidation phase from January 20 to mid-February, after a
massive Bitcoin rally during the first three weeks of January.
During the uptrend, the funding rate was consistently positive,
reflecting the bullish sentiment on the market. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Price Crashes Below $22,000, These Are The Reasons It
required a reset before the next leg up could happen. When the
sentiment seemed to turn around, the bulls took the opportunity to
short-squeeze the bears and initiated the next move upwards. This
scenario could now be on the table again. Funding rates are
periodic amounts paid between short and long traders holding
positions in open-ended futures contracts. Their purpose is to keep
the spread between Bitcoin spot and Bitcoin futures in sync. When a
funding rate is positive, long positions are paid with short
positions, reflecting bullish sentiment. The opposite is true, when
funding rates are negative, bearish sentiment prevails in the
market. Commenting on today’s pivot, analyst James V. Straten
said: Bitcoin perpetual funding rate turns negative. So far this
year it’s gone wrong for the bears every single time. Even though
Bitcoin’s funding rate is only slightly negative, today’s trend is
notable as the metric is negative for the first time in weeks,
reflecting concerns of another price drop. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Price Plunges 5% After Rejection and Now At Risk of Move To $21K
However, it is important to note that from a purely technical
perspective, Bitcoin is still in an uptrend. Theoretically, BTC
could fall even further to maintain the higher low structure.
Nevertheless, Bitcoin is now close to the “do or die” level. A fall
below the block around $21,600 would mean a break in the market
structure. Featured image from Dmitry Demidko / Unsplash, Chart
from TradingView.com
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