Quant Explains Bitcoin Funding Rates Pattern That Precedes Uptrends
21 April 2023 - 02:00AM
NEWSBTC
A quant has explained how a specific Bitcoin funding rates pattern
has preceded uptrends in the asset’s price during recent months.
The Bitcoin 72-Hour MA Funding Rates Pattern That May Kick Off
Uptrends As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the
price has started rising recently whenever the metric has been near
zero inside the negative zone. The “funding rate” is an indicator
that measures the periodic fee that traders on the Bitcoin futures
market are currently exchanging with each other. When the value of
this metric is negative, it means the short contract holders are
currently paying a premium to the long holders in order to hold
onto their positions. Such a trend suggests that bearish sentiment
is more dominant in the market right now. On the other hand,
positive values of the indicator imply the longs are paying a fee
to the shorts at the moment, and hence, the holders with a bullish
mentality outweigh those with a bearish one. Related Reading:
Traders Count Losses As Total Liquidations Approach $300 Million
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 72-hour moving
average (MA) Bitcoin funding rate over the last few months: Looks
like the 72-hour MA value of the metric has been positive in recent
days | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the
quant has marked the relevant portions of the trend for the 72-hour
MA Bitcoin funding rates. It seems like there have been a few
instances during the last few months where the indicator has just
turned negative (that is, still near the zero mark) and the price
of the cryptocurrency has followed up by catching some upwards
momentum shortly after. While the left and right instances in the
chart had the metric coming back inside the positive zone not too
long after forming this pattern, the middle occurrence saw it go
much deeper inside the negative territory first, and it was only
after the initial leg up in the price that the funding rate became
positive again. Based on this, it seems like a neutral to a
negative value of the 72-hour MA Bitcoin funding has provided the
proper ground for the price to rally during these last few months.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Supply Older Than 7 Years
On The Move Recently, the indicator has had positive values,
implying that the total number of long positions has been
overwhelming that of the short positions. Though, in the last few
days, the metric has been gradually going down. Despite this
drawdown, however, the 72-hour Bitcoin funding rate is still
significantly above the zero line, meaning that if the pattern that
has apparently held during the last few months has to form again,
more bearish positions would need to be opened on the market to
nudge the balance towards the negative zone. BTC Price At the time
of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $28,600, down 6% in the last
week. The value of the asset seems to have sharply gone down in
recent days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from
Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
CryptoQuant.com
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