Historical Crossover Suggests Ethereum (ETH) Top Is In
17 May 2023 - 03:00AM
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On-chain data shows the Ethereum taker buy/sell ratio has formed a
crossover recently that has historically signaled tops in the
asset’s price. Ethereum Taker Buy/Sell Ratio 280-Day and 476-Day
MAs Have Crossed Recently As pointed out by an analyst in a
CryptoQuant post, the last time this crossover formed was back in
May 2021, when ETH observed the bull rally top formation. The
relevant indicator here is the “Ethereum taker buy sell ratio,”
which measures the ratio between the taker buy volume and the taker
sell volume. When the value of this metric is lower than 1, it
means the short or the taker sell volume is currently higher than
the long or the taker buy volume in the market. This kind of trend
is a sign that there are more sellers willing to sell at a lower
price in the market right now, implying that the selling pressure
is dominant. On the other hand, when the indicator has a value
higher than 1, it suggests a bullish sentiment is shared by the
majority as the long volume is greater than the sell volume.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Active Addresses Sharply Decline Despite
Transaction Demand, Why? In the context of the current discussion,
the actual metrics of interest are the 280-day and 476-day moving
averages (MA) of the Ethereum taker buy/sell ratio. Here is a chart
that shows the trend in these MAs of the indicator over the last
few years: The values of the two metrics recently came together |
Source: CryptoQuant As shown in the above graph, the 280-day MA of
the Ethereum taker buy/sell ratio declined below the 476-day MA
last month. Interestingly, right as this crossover took place, the
asset’s price formed a local top around the $2,100 level. When the
280-day MA drops below the 476-day MA of this metric, it means that
the market sentiment is changing towards a more bearish one, as it
suggests a rise in the taker sell volume dominance. Due to this
reason, such a cross has been bearish for the cryptocurrency’s
value in the past. From the chart, it’s visible that this type of
crossover last formed back in May 2021, when ETH was at the height
of the bull run in the first half of 2021. Coinciding with the
crossover, the cryptocurrency’s price registered its then-all-time
high value. Based on this, it’s possible that the latest crossover
in the Ethereum taker buy/sell ratio MAs could also prove to be
bearish for the price. So far, ETH has only declined since the top
formed along with this indicator, so it seems that the crossover
effect may already be in action. However, the two MAs are still
quite close in value, so it’s possible a reverse cross could also
possibly form in the near future. Related Reading: Has Bitcoin
Rally Already Hit Top? Here’s What Puell Multiple Says In 2020,
both types of crossovers formed several times in quick succession,
until eventually the bullish type of cross won out and lead to the
2021 bull run, which could be the case here. It now remains to be
seen whether the two MAs will continue to diverge in the coming
weeks, or if they will converge again and form the reverse type of
crossover. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading
around $1,800, down 2% in the last week. ETH has been consolidating
recently | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView Featured image from
Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
CryptoQuant.com
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