Bitcoin Targets $40K? Why Crypto Could See General Price Reversion
26 January 2022 - 05:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin finally sees some relief after a start of 2022 with
relentless selling pressure. The first crypto by market cap trades
at $36,815 with a 9.6% profit in 24 hours. Related Reading |
Bitcoin Supply Shock: Only 12% Of BTC Supply Is On Exchanges Now
Bitcoin is moving towards a 1:1 correlation to the U.S. Stock
Market, in the short term, according to Bloomberg Intelligence’s
Senior Commodity Analyst Mike McGlone. The crypto market has been
reacting to the potential shift in the U.S. Federal Reserve
monetary policy. The financial institution has hinted at an
increase in its interest rates to, at least, a 0.25% in 2022’s Q1
and a tapering of their asset purchase. The goal is to stop
inflation as the CPI stands at a 40 year high. This has translated
into a selloff which begun in Q4, 2021. In addition, investors seem
to be trying to get ahead of a potential hike in interest rates, a
thesis which could receive confirmation tomorrow during the FED’s
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). If the institution hints a
tougher shift, Bitcoin could retest its critical support level at
$33,000. In expectation of this and other events, investors could
be sitting in cash, waiting to bid on BTC when the economic outlook
looks clearer. In other words, the demand is low for risk assets
and could remain as such for the near future. Analyst John Nash
believes the FOMC meeting is already priced in with a “too early”
reversal in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, Nash
expects to see a stronger bounce towards $40,000, before BTC’s
price dives back into the $25,000 to $28,000 range. At present,
Bitcoin must flip $36,000 and $38,000 from local resistance into
support to continue it moves towards $40,000. After, Nash believes
investors should follow the old adagio but with a twist: “Buy in
May and go away”. Bitcoin To Come On Top In 2022? On this note, he
seems to concur with McGlone. The Bloomberg expert has been bullish
on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies on current market conditions. In
fact, he expects the upcoming economic shift to provide the digital
asset sector, at least for BTC and ETH, with legitimacy. He wrote:
Price reversion in cryptos is likely to spread in 2022, after the
assets were a poster child of speculative inflationary excess in
2021, but Bitcoin stands to come out ahead. Related Reading | TA:
Ethereum Turns Red, What Could Trigger Steady Recovery Other
analysts expect some similar with BTC tracking the traditional
market, but progressively decoupling as it shows more strength
during times of weakness for stocks. Recently, as pointed by
pseudonyms analyst MacroScope, the first crypto by market cap has
briefly decouple from stock futures. The analyst said: No secret
BTC has become a risk-on asset closely linked to stocks. But as
stocks take a hit, keep watch for a possible decoupling. Could be
gradual or sharp. A few scenarios are possible (longer tweet). If
it happens, would be “shot heard ’round the world” for macro
managers.
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