U.S. Job Creation Kept Momentum in October Despite Economic Slowdown -- ADP
03 November 2022 - 12:02AM
Dow Jones News
By Xavier Fontdegloria
Hiring in the U.S. private sector accelerated in October, in a
sign the labor market remained resilient as high inflation and
rising interest rates hit economic growth.
Employment in the nonfarm private sector increased by 239,000 in
October from 192,000 in September, data from the ADP National
Employment Report showed Wednesday. September's figure was
downwardly revised from an initial estimate of a 208,000 payroll
gain.
Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal expected an
increase of 195,000.
"This is a really strong number given the maturity of the
economic recovery but the hiring was not broad-based," said Nela
Richardson, chief economist at ADP.
The ADP estimate is based on aggregated payroll data of more
than 25 million U.S. workers and is independent from the Labor
Department official data. The report's methodology has been
upgraded and developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
Before the change in methodology, the ADP series could diverge
considerably from the Labor Department's data.
Medium-sized businesses led job creation in October, with
218,000 new jobs. Small businesses added 25,000 jobs, while large
businesses shed 4,000 jobs, according to the report.
By sector, services providers created 247,000 jobs, with leisure
and hospitality adding 210,000 payrolls as restaurants, retailers
and the travel sector ramped up hiring in advance of the
holidays.
However, goods producers lost on average 8,000 jobs, led by a
20,000 jobs in the manufacturing sector.
"Goods producers, which are sensitive to interest rates, are
pulling back, and job changers are commanding smaller pay gains,"
Ms. Richardson said. "While we're seeing early signs of Fed-driven
demand destruction, it's affecting only certain sectors of the
labor market," she said.
Annual pay rose 7.7% in October, easing slightly from the 7.8%
rise registered in September, the data showed. Pay data is based on
the salaries of almost 10 million individual employees over a
12-month period.
The U.S. Labor Department is expected to release its October
employment report on Friday. Economists polled by The Wall Street
Journal expect nonfarm payrolls to increase by 205,000, and the
unemployment is seen unchanged at 3.5%.
Write to Xavier Fontdegloria at xavier.fontdegloria@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 02, 2022 08:47 ET (12:47 GMT)
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