Aehr Test Systems (NASDAQ: AEHR), a worldwide supplier of
semiconductor test and reliability qualification equipment, today
announced that at the Power America conference on Wide Bandgap
Semiconductors held in Raleigh, North Carolina, CEO Gayn Erickson
spoke today on Aehr’s interpretation of Tesla statements made at
Tesla’s Investor Day on March 1, 2023.
Gayn Erickson, President and CEO of Aehr Test
Systems, commented:
“At Tesla’s Investor Day held in Austin, Texas yesterday, Tesla
discussed their plans for a next generation drive unit that
includes an electric motor with an integrated DC to AC power
inverter based on silicon carbide semiconductor MOSFETs. In their
presentation, Tesla stated that this new inverter would have a 75%
reduction in silicon carbide. Aehr wants to make it clear that
despite Tesla’s statements yesterday, Aehr does not expect a 75%
reduction in the total market for silicon carbide wafers.
“In summary, we believe the announcement by Tesla does not
impact the market significantly, either higher or lower, as they
are adding a new half power drive train to be used on a new lower
cost platform that will increase the market opportunities for Tesla
and help drive volumes particularly in lower cost target markets
such as China, but also in the US and around the world. The move to
larger die to be packaged in module form is seen as a benefit for
Aehr’s wafer level test and burn-in solution total available
market.
“Specifically, Telsa clarified that the 75% reduction applies
only to the next generation lower cost drive units to be included
in the new model platform, which is still in development with a yet
to be announced initial ship date. Tesla clarified that this will
not impact the current high-performance model platforms including
the Model S/X and Model 3/Y vehicles. Also, we believe that the new
chips in the lower cost models will be 100 Amps per device versus
50 Amps per device today and likely 50% or more larger in surface
area; therefore, the number of wafers required will be less
impacted. This is important as Aehr’s total available market is
primarily driven by the number of wafers required, not the number
of devices. Tesla did not provide timing on availability of this
new drive unit and platform nor whether it would coincide with a
new Giga-factory such as the announced new factory to be built in
Mexico, or whether this would or could be made in one of Tesla’s
current Giga-factories. Tesla stated that this future platform and
drive unit would still be on a 400V battery architecture.
“The current Model S/X and Model 3/Y platforms today use an
inverter using a half bridge rectifier on each of three phases used
to power the engine. Both platforms and both models in each
platform all use the same inverter that uses 24 silicon carbide
devices which each have two silicon carbide die in each device
package. These 48 silicon carbide devices can drive 400A on the
400V system to drive the engine at a simplified 160 kVA power (400V
times 400A = 160 kVA).
“The silicon carbide semiconductor for the inverter on the
current Models 3, Y, S, and X were originally selected in 2017 and
used with the introduction of the Model 3 in 2018. These were
earlier generations of silicon carbide and had a lower current
density per unit area. They were also rated at lower current than
the typical ~ 100A silicon carbide MOSFETs being used in other
silicon carbide modules such as those used in other vehicle
manufacturers. 100A silicon carbide MOSFETs are also the “sweet
spot” for yield as devices exceeding 100A per device yield have
been widely reported to have a drop in yield quickly with higher
current due to the defect density of silicon carbide materials.
Aehr believes it makes sense and stands to reason that Tesla would
make a lower cost lower power inverter and drive unit for a new
low-cost platform. An inverter made of 12 100A silicon carbide
devices would provide a 200A, 400V, 3 phase 80 kVA inverter and
create a lower cost drive unit that would be only half the power of
the current drive units in current models. In Aehr’s opinion,
putting a Model 3 inverter into a lower performance “Model 2”
vehicle seems like overkill and unnecessary. It is also important
to understand that a 100A device using today’s generation of
silicon carbide devices is approximately 50% larger than the
devices used in the current Telsa inverters. So, while this new
lower performance 800 kVA inverter only uses 12 die or 75% less
than the current 48 die design, the die themselves are estimated to
be about 50% larger, or require 50% more wafers for the same number
of die.
“In addition, during the Q&A session, Tesla further
clarified that the new inverters would be made from a new
Tesla-proprietary custom module package, and that Tesla would
purchase the die from multiple manufacturers and package them in
this Tesla-proprietary custom module. Again, Aehr sees this as a
natural roadmap and consistent with the roadmaps stated by major
manufacturers of silicon carbide where the electric vehicle
inverters will migrate multi-chip modules to reduce power
conversion losses, improve thermal performance, simplify design,
and lower overall cost of the inverter system. As companies migrate
to silicon carbide modules with multiple die in a single module
package, the need for wafer level test and burn-in become critical
to ensuring automotive quality and reliability as well as cost as
the yield loss as a result of the stress test induced failures
during burn-in become extremely expensive as a single die failure
in a module results in throwing away the entire module including
the other die in the module. Therefore, we believe the business use
case for our solution actually increases. Wafer level test and burn
in of 100% of die and extended burn in times will be required to
earn Tesla’s business.
“For its fiscal year ending May 31, 2023, Aehr is reiterating
its previously provided guidance for total revenue to be $60
million to $70 million, with strong profit margins similar to last
fiscal year. Aehr also continues to expect bookings to grow faster
than revenues in fiscal 2023 as the ramp in demand for silicon
carbide in electric vehicles increases exponentially throughout the
decade.”
About Aehr Test Systems
Headquartered in Fremont, California, Aehr Test Systems is a
worldwide provider of test systems for burning-in semiconductor
devices in wafer level, singulated die, and package part form, and
has installed over 2,500 systems worldwide. Increased quality and
reliability needs of the Automotive and Mobility integrated circuit
markets are driving additional test requirements, incremental
capacity needs, and new opportunities for Aehr Test products in
package, wafer level, and singulated die/module level test. Aehr
Test has developed and introduced several innovative products,
including the ABTS™ and FOX-P™ families of test and
burn-in systems and FOX WaferPak™ Aligner, FOX WaferPak
Contactor, FOX DiePak® Carrier and FOX DiePak Loader. The ABTS
system is used in production and qualification testing of packaged
parts for both lower power and higher power logic devices as well
as all common types of memory devices. The FOX-XP and FOX-NP
systems are full wafer contact and singulated die/module test and
burn-in systems used for burn-in and functional test of complex
devices, such as leading-edge silicon carbide-based power
semiconductors, memories, digital signal processors,
microprocessors, microcontrollers, systems-on-a-chip, and
integrated optical devices. The FOX-CP system is a new low-cost
single-wafer compact test and reliability verification solution for
logic, memory and photonic devices and the newest addition to the
FOX-P product family. The WaferPak Contactor contains a unique full
wafer probe card capable of testing wafers up to 300mm that enables
IC manufacturers to perform test and burn-in of full wafers on Aehr
Test FOX systems. The DiePak Carrier is a reusable, temporary
package that enables IC manufacturers to perform cost-effective
final test and burn-in of both bare die and modules. For more
information, please visit Aehr Test Systems’ website at
www.aehr.com.
Safe Harbor Statement
This press release contains certain forward-looking statements
within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking
statements generally relate to future events or Aehr’s future
financial or operating performance. In some cases, you can identify
forward-looking statements because they contain words such as
"may," "will," "should," "expects," "plans," "anticipates,” “going
to,” "could," "intends," "target," "projects," "contemplates,"
"believes," "estimates," "predicts," "potential," “sees,” or
"continue," or the negative of these words or other similar terms
or expressions that concern Aehr’s expectations, strategy,
priorities, plans, or intentions. Forward-looking statements in
this press release include, but are not limited to, Aehr’s ability
to generate bookings and revenue increases in the future, including
the second quarter of fiscal 2023; future requirements and orders
of Aehr’s new and existing customers; bookings forecasted for
proprietary WaferPak™ and DiePak consumables across multiple
market segments; the temporary nature of customer pushouts;
shipping timelines for products and follow-on capacity orders; the
growth of Aehr’s systems and consumables, including as a percentage
of total sales; financial guidance for fiscal 2023, including
related to revenue and profitability, and expectations regarding
fiscal 2023; Aehr’s ability to expand its number of customers using
its FOX-P™ solutions; the ability to secure potential customer
engagements; and expectations related to long-term demand for
Aehr’s productions and the attractiveness of key markets. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release are also
subject to other risks and uncertainties, including those more
fully described in Aehr’s recent 10-K, 10-Q and other reports filed
from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Aehr
disclaims any obligation to update information contained in any
forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances
occurring after the date of this press release.
Contacts: |
|
|
|
Aehr Test Systems |
MKR Investor Relations Inc. |
Ken SpinkChief Financial Officer(510) 623-9400 x309 |
Todd Kehrli or Jim ByersAnalyst/Investor Contact(213)
277-5550aehr@mkr-group.com |
Aehr Test Systems (NASDAQ:AEHR)
Historical Stock Chart
From Apr 2023 to May 2023
Aehr Test Systems (NASDAQ:AEHR)
Historical Stock Chart
From May 2022 to May 2023