UPDATE: July Same-Store Sales Fall, Though Some Cos Beat Views
07 August 2009 - 12:23AM
Dow Jones News
Consumers preferred government-sponsored incentives over
retailers' continued reliance on big markdowns, helping to make
July same-store-sales another washout.
Retailers weren't only competing with the continued problems of
low consumer confidence and employment levels, but also had the
government offering big incentives for auto and home purchases.
"That doesn't leave much left over for other purchases,
especially big ones like large screen TV's," said Chris Donnelly,
partner in Accenture's retail practice.
The poor July showing is also building a case for extreme
caution going into Christmas. Retailers are likely ordering less,
which may not mean discounts will have to be as big this holiday
season. But any uptick in demand won't be met with supply.
Big names like Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST), Target Inc. (TGT),
and Macy's Inc. (M) continued to miss low expectations.
Even perennial outperformer Buckle Inc. (BKE) succumbed, with a
2.8% increase of which was well below analysts' views for a 10%
jump. Shares were recently down 10% at $27.84 on the news. The
teen- and 20s-focused purveyor of trendy tops and edgy jeans and
footwear's 22-months of double-digit growth ended in June.
But there were some upside surprises, including Gap Inc. (GPS),
Limited Inc. (LTD), Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ), TJX Inc. (TJX), and Hot
Topic Inc. (HOTT), with the latter receiving a lift from Michael
Jackson-related merchandise.
Tax-holiday shifts, fewer clearance options because of leaner
inventories and cooler weather were among the causes of drags on
the month's sales, retailers said.
But there are also no real incentives for buying, except
tremendously lowered prices which can carry retailers only so
far.
Discounters, which have largely been holding up amid the
recession, reported largely lower results. Costco reported a 2%
drop in the U.S. excluding gasoline and Target maintained its woes
with a worse-than-expected 6.5% decline. Chairman and Chief
Executive Gregg Steinhafel said Target was beginning to see
"modestly improving risk trends" in its credit-card segment, which
has struggled amid rising delinquencies and charge-offs.
Smaller Costco rival BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. (BJ) continued its
recent outperformance, reporting 1.8% growth excluding gasoline,
although that was lower than expected.
The worst-performing retailer was Abercrombie and Fitch, which
posted another month of dour results with a 28% same-store-sales
drop. That was about what analysts were expecting, according to
Thomson Reuters. The company hasn't reported growth since April
2008 and is increasingly shedding its no-markdown mantra. Cheaper
rival Aeropostale Inc. (ARO) maintained its recent gains with a 6%
increase in July, though that missed views.
TJX Cos.' (TJX) beat views with a 4% increase in same-store
sales, while Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) also bested expectations with
a 4% gain.
The industry's results were only the third without Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. (WMT) in 30 years. The world's largest retailer said in
May it would stop giving monthly sales data, following the lead of
other smaller peers in recent years. But Macy's Inc. (M) last fall
began giving such data again, saying the economic turmoil warranted
its investors getting a read on the company's performance more
often.
Expectations for the month came in at about a 5% decline, with
analysts saying consumers are continuing to trade down as
unemployment and gasoline prices rise.
Department stores, for more than a year the laggard among the
various retail segments, again broke the mold. Macy's 11% drop came
in worse than analysts' expectations, while J.C. Penney Co. (JCP)'s
12% drop also missed the analysts' views, but was better than the
company's own forecast. J.C. Penney boosted its fiscal
second-quarter outlook, saying it now expects a 1-cent loss. It had
forecast a loss of 8 cents to 12 cents a share.
Another department store, Nordstrom Inc. (JWN)'s same-store
sales fell 6.9%, not as bad as analysts feared. But Stage Stores
Inc. (SSI) missed analysts' expectations with a 12% drop.
On the apparel side, Children's Place Retail Stores Inc. (PLCE)
beat expectations with a 4% decline in same-store sales, while
Limited Brands Inc. (LTD) posted a 7% decrease, better than
analysts had anticipated.
Gap Inc. (GPS) bested estimates with an 8% drop. The company
also said it expects fiscal second-quarter earnings of 30 cents to
32 cents, above the current estimate of 28 cents from analysts
surveyed by Thomson Reuters.
-By Kerry Grace Benn, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2353;
kerry.benn@dowjones.com