S&P Lowers UK Outlook To Negative
01 October 2022 - 8:37AM
Dow Jones News
By Stephen Nakrosis
S&P Global Ratings on Friday said it was lowering its
outlook on the U.K. to negative from stable, reflecting "what we
view as rising risks to the U.K.'s fiscal position over the next
two years."
S&P also said: "We estimate that the U.K.'s general
government deficit will widen by an average 2.6% of GDP annually
through 2025, while net general government debt will continue on an
upward trajectory, in contrast to our previous expectation of it
declining as a percentage of GDP from 2023."
S&P said the U.K. government plans to fund their stimulus
"through additional borrowing with no offsetting measures on the
revenue or expenditure side." As a result, S&P said it expects
the general government deficit will rise to an average 5.5% of GDP
annually over 2023-2025. "We forecast net general government debt
will reach 97% of GDP by 2025," S&P said.
The agency said it expects the U.K. will be in a technical
recession in coming quarters, adding its full-year growth forecast
for the U.K. is at negative 0.5% in 2023, with 1.4% growth expected
in 2024. S&P also said "we estimate annual average inflation at
9.5% this year before declining to 5.8% in 2023 and under 2% in
2024-2025.
S&P affirmed the U.K.'s 'AA/A-1+' unsolicited long- and
short-term foreign and local currency sovereign ratings.
Write to Stephen Nakrosis at stephen.nakrosis@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 30, 2022 18:22 ET (22:22 GMT)
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