-- Posco posts 18% slump in third-quarter operating profit

-- Company expects fourth-quarter earnings to be worse than third quarter

-- Earnings hit by low demand and oversupply

-- Posco mulls buying Arrium, ThyssenKrupp's U.S. steel mill assets, U.S. shale gas assets

(Adds company cutting sales target in 5th paragraph.)

 
   By Kyong-Ae Choi 
 

SEOUL--Steelmaker Posco (005490.SE) on Tuesday posted an 18% slump in third quarter operating profit and said it expects a further deterioration in earnings for the fourth quarter but nevertheless was looking at some high-profile acquisitions.

"The fourth quarter earnings are likely to be worse than the third quarter's as low demand and overcapacity in countries including China will weigh on steelmakers' margins further," Posco Chief Financial Officer Park Ki-hong said in a briefing on the quarterly results.

The steelmaking industry's outlook is shrouded with uncertainty, with demand from China moderating and economic growth faltering in the U.S. and Europe. Analysts said that average selling prices of steel products will likely continue to fall due to sluggish demand from major clients in the fourth quarter.

Operating profit fell 18% to 1.062 trillion Korean won ($963 million) in the three months ended Sept. 30 from KRW1.288 trillion a year earlier.

Sales were down 7.2% at KRW15.739 trillion from KRW16.953 trillion. Posco also cut its 2012 consolidated sales target for the second time this year, to KRW67.2 trillion. In April, it cut the target to KRW70.4 trillion from KRW70.6 trillion.

But helped by increased sales of high-end products such as automotive and electric steel and currency gains, Posco's consolidated net profit for the September quarter jumped to KRW723 billion from KRW229 billion a year earlier, when it was hit by a hefty currency loss.

The company will continue to boost sales of value-added products and cut costs in the current quarter to offset falling margins in low-end products, said the CFO.

"We expect demand from car makers and shipbuilders to improve a bit in the fourth quarter but overall demand to remain weak through 2013," said Mr. Park.

Standard & Poor's on Monday cut its rating on Posco, citing a likely fall in steel demand, sending shares of the steelmaker 2.1% lower to close at KRW348,500 Tuesday. The broader market ended down 0.8%.

To weather the current challenging environment, the Pohang-based company said it would cut its consolidated spending this year by 5.6% to KRW8.4 trillion. It has also achieved 90% of its cost-reduction target of KRW1.1 trillion for the year.

"We will run a tight budget this year but won't cut down on overseas investments regarding raw materials (such as iron ore and coal), in particular," said the CFO.

The company is considering buying Australian mining firm Arrium Ltd. (ARI.AU) as part of a consortium and ThyssenKrupp AG's (TYEKY) U.S. steel mill assets because of its facilities, he said without elaborating.

The CFO also said Posco would keep an eye on U.S. shale gas assets because the new energy resource may replace coal, in a big change to the steel industry.

With the won forecast to rise further next year, prolonged strength in the currency may weigh on Posco's profits as the company earns 40% of its sales overseas, said Woori Investment & Securities analyst Will Byun.

However, the won's appreciation helped drive down Posco's dollar-denominated debts in the July-September period. The dollar fell to KRW1,118.60 at end-September from KRW1,153.80 at end-June. Posco inked KRW256 billion in translation gains for the three months.

In the year-ago period, sharp depreciation of the won left the company with currency translation losses of KRW675 billion.

Steel production rose 2.0% year on year to 9.66 million tons in the third quarter and sales were up 2.7% at 8.927 million tons.

Write to Kyong-Ae Choi at kyong-ae.choi@dowjones.com

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