Solana (SOL) Surges 18%, But Watch Out For Crowd FOMO
29 June 2024 - 7:30AM
NEWSBTC
Solana has been showing a breakout over the last few days, but data
shows crowd FOMO is rising, which could be a bad sign for the
rally. Solana Social Volume Has Shot Up Alongside The Rally
According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the
SOL social volume has observed a sharp increase following the
recent recovery of cryptocurrency. The “Social Volume” here refers
to an indicator that keeps track of the degree of discussion that
any given asset receives on the major social media platforms.
Related Reading: Retail Losing Interest In Bitcoin? Volume Plunges
30% This metric makes this measurement by counting up the unique
number of posts/threads/messages, making at least one mention of
the cryptocurrency. The indicator doesn’t simply count up the
mentions themselves because sometimes a large number of mentions
can crop up within a couple of posts, while at the same time, the
discussion could be more or less dead on the rest of social media.
The high mentions would suggest a lot of discussion in this case,
but in reality, the talk is all contained within niche circles. By
measuring the number of posts, the Social Volume can tell us about
the trend across social media. Now, here is a chart that shows the
trend in the Solana Social Volume over the past week or so: As is
visible in the above graph, the Solana Social Volume has registered
some rapid growth recently. This would imply that the intensity of
discussions related to the asset has suddenly spiked. The driver
behind this increase in the indicator is likely to be the rally
that the coin’s price has enjoyed recently. In this new surge, SOL
has recovered from a low of around $124 to the current $146 mark,
meaning it has seen returns of almost 18% in just a few days. The
Social Volume spiking alongside a rally isn’t unusual, as social
media users find sharp price action exciting, so they participate
in more discussions than normal. However, the scale of the spike
that the metric has seen this time may be worth noting.
Historically, the asset’s price has tended to move against the
majority’s expectations, so too much excitement too suddenly can be
a bearish sign for the cryptocurrency. In the same chart, Santiment
has attached the Social Volume for Avalanche (AVAX) data, which has
also witnessed a recovery run. It would appear that, unlike the
Solana surge, few are paying attention to Avalanche’s rally, as the
indicator’s value has remained relatively low. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Near ‘Euphoria’ Boundary: What Happens After A Breach?
Therefore, AVAX’s rally could be more likely to be sustainable than
SOL’s, as it has been seeing much less FOMO, at least according to
the Social Volume. SOL Price Solana had broken past the $151 level
yesterday, but the asset has since seen a minor pullback to $146.
It’s currently unclear if this means that the negative effect of
FOMO is already kicking in for SOL. Featured image from
Shutterstock.com, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
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