UK house price growth continues to cool
31 January 2015 - 3:41AM
Property
UK house prices increased 0.3 per cent in January
2015 compared to December 2014, slightly faster than the previous
month’s rise of 0.2 per cent, but annual growth slowed from 7.2 per
cent to 6.8 per cent. This is the fifth month in a row in which
annual growth has slowed.UK house prices are now an average of
£188,446, says the lender, which bases its figures on mortgages
approved during the month, slightly lower than the £188,559
recorded in December. On a seasonally adjusted basis, though, UK
house prices are currently 2.4 per cent above their pre-crisis
peak.Commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief
Economist, said: "The further moderation in the pace of price
growth is unsurprising, given the slowdown in housing market
activity in recent months. The number of mortgages approved for
house purchase has been around 20% below the level prevailing at
the start of 2014 and surveyors continue to report subdued levels
of new buyer enquiries. "The reasons for the slowdown in activity
remain unclear. Unemployment has continued to decline and wage
growth has started to outstrip increases in the cost of living for
the first time since the financial crisis. Surveys suggest that
consumer confidence remains elevated – a view corroborated by
healthy gains in retail sales over recent months. "Although house
price growth continues to outpace income growth by a significant
margin, affordability does not appear stretched at a national
level. The cost of servicing a typical mortgage remains close to
the long run average as a share oftake home pay, in part thanks to
the ultra-low level of mortgage rates."Indeed, Gardner forecasts
that activity will increase in the coming months, as the economic
backdrop continues to improve, although uncertainty surrounding the
general election and the ongoing shortgage of supply could still
keep sentiment muted.
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