Farmland Values Fall in Much of Central
12 February 2016 - 9:51AM
Dow Jones News
By Jesse Newman
Farmland values dropped across much of the U.S. Midwest in the
fourth quarter, according to reports from the Federal Reserve on
Thursday, a symptom of continued weakness in the agricultural
sector fueled by several years of depressed crop prices.
Average farmland prices in the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's
district, which includes Illinois and Iowa, fell 3% from a year
earlier and slipped 1% from the third quarter of 2015, officials
said.
In the St. Louis Fed's district, which is composed of parts of
Illinois, Indiana and Missouri, prices for farmland fell 2.5%
compared with a year ago, as farm incomes slid, the bank said.
In the Kansas City Fed's district, which includes Kansas and
Nebraska, nonirrigated cropland values sank 4% from a year before,
while the average price of irrigated land declined 2%, the bank
said. Irrigated farmland, which is common in the region, depends on
man-made water systems for moisture rather than rainfall.
The three Fed reports reflect a continuing downturn in the U.S.
farm economy, which has been marked by listless crop prices and
softer demand for agricultural land after prices for both shot
higher for much of the past decade. The yearslong farmland boom was
fueled by drought and growing demand for grain from ethanol
producers and foreign importers.
But last year, U.S. farmers collected bumper corn and soybean
crops for the third-straight season, adding to already-plentiful
world supplies at a time when a strong dollar and stiff global
export competition are damping demand for U.S. supplies. Revenue
for farmers has declined as a result, prompting the U.S. Department
of Agriculture this week to project that net U.S. farm income will
fall this year to the lowest level since 2002.
Midwestern bankers surveyed by the Fed banks in St. Louis and
Kansas City said farm income dropped in the fourth quarter, and
many lenders in all three districts expect land values to soften
further in the current quarter as crop prices and farm profits
remain subdued.
"Sustained weakness in corn, soybean and wheat prices has had a
particularly negative effect on farm income because these three
crops account for about 70% of harvested crop acreage in the Tenth
District States," the Kansas City Fed said in its report on
Thursday.
Average values for ranchland, used for grazing livestock, were
flat to lower in parts of the Midwest, according to the St. Louis
and Kansas City Fed districts.
The St. Louis Fed said ranch or pasture land prices fell 5.3% in
the last three months of 2015 versus prior-year levels. That figure
represents the largest drop since the second quarter of 2014, the
bank said. The Kansas City Fed said ranchland values in the fourth
quarter showed zero growth amid a sharp drop in cattle prices and
reduced profit margins in the livestock sector.
"The downturn in crop and livestock prices helped stretch the
slide in agricultural land values for at least another year," wrote
David Oppedahl, senior business economist at the Chicago Fed.
The Chicago and Kansas City Fed districts said credit conditions
for farmers declined in the fourth quarter, with repayment rates
for loans excluding real estate softening, while demand for farm
loans stayed strong or notched higher in many areas.
In the Chicago region, Mr. Oppedahl said, an index of loan
repayment rates fell to the lowest level since the first quarter of
1999, while the volume of the farm loan portfolio said to have
"major" or "severe" repayment difficulties rose to 5%, or 2.1
percentage points higher than year-ago levels.
"No improvements in the short-term prospects of the farm sector
were anticipated by the survey respondents," wrote Mr. Oppedahl,
adding that Midwestern lenders said "controlling costs and
utilizing risk-management tools would be critical to the health of
farms in the coming year."
Write to Jesse Newman at jesse.newman@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 11, 2016 17:36 ET (22:36 GMT)
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