By Kate Gibson
The stock market's enthusiasm over the government's "cash for
clunkers" program waned Thursday in the face of data suggesting
consumers exchanged old cars for newer models at the expense of
other retail spending.
Investors were taken aback by the Commerce Department's report
that U.S. retail sales fell 0.1% in July, as opposed to
expectations sales would gain 0.8%. Excluding autos, retail sales
declined 0.6% versus an expected gain of 0.1%. .
"The decline in retail sales is quite startling to say the
least," Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist, Miller Tabak
& Co., wrote in an emailed note.
"The cash for clunkers program was expected to have had quite an
effect on retail sales [but] motor vehicle and parts rose only
2.4%; expectations had looked for a gain more than double," he
said.
The 2.8% gain in auto and other motor vehicle dealers was
healthy, but still short of what many expected, he added.
The data helped offset early-day investor cheer, bolstered in
part by earnings results from retail goliath Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
(WMT), leaving the major stock indexes meandering between positive
and negative turf before finishing with modest gains.
While the worst is behind, the country's economic troubles
persist, with the July retail report illustrating the recession is
unlike its predecessors, said Liz Miller, president of Summit Place
Financial Advisors.
"We have a lot of consumers realizing that they've really got to
be reducing personal debt. That does hamper consumer spending,"
said Miller. Listen to more.
Up for a second consecutive day, the Dow Jones Industrial
Average (DJI) ended at 9,398.19, up 36.58 points, or 0.4%.
Finishing at its highest level since early October, the S&P 500
Index (SPX) rose 6.92 points, or 0.7%, to 1,012.73, while the
technology-led Nasdaq Composite (RIXF) gained 10.63 points, or
0.5%, to stand at 2,009.35.
Using discretion
Shares of home builders and auto retailers were among Thursday's
heaviest weights on the consumer-discretionary sector, including
shares of AutoZone Inc. (AZO), down more than 2%.
"All the cash-for-clunkers [program] did was steal sales from
other retailers. We'd argue that even more damage was done, as
consumers who did turn in their clunkers likely surrendered assets
with at least some residual value for debt and an equity stake in a
sharply deteriorating asset," said T.J. Marta, chief market
strategist, Marta on the Markets LLC.
The government's retail report had furniture sales slipping
0.9%, electronics declining 1.4%, building materials off 2.1% and
sales at department stores down 1.6%, "the fifth consecutive
decline in this measure and the largest decline since December,"
said Greenhaus.
Leading sector losses, shares of home-building giant D.R. Horton
Inc. (DHI) fell nearly 4%, with D.R. Horton shares also downgraded
by Citigroup analyst Josh Levin.
Speaking ahead of Thursday's retail report, Howard Ward, chief
investment officer of Gamco Growth Fund, pointed to the
government's incentive program as evidence that the consumer "is
not dead [but] still has a pulse."
"These are not Wall Street types trading in their Beemers," Ward
added.