Aetna Revenue and Profit Rises--Update
28 October 2016 - 4:40AM
Dow Jones News
By Anna Wilde Mathews and Austen Hufford
Aetna Inc. said revenue and profit rose in its latest quarter,
but the insurer is still struggling with pressure in the Affordable
Care Act business, which it will largely exit next year.
Revenue grew in Aetna's government business managing Medicare
and Medicaid plans, which was partially offset by membership
declines in commercial products. Profit rose on higher fees and
other revenue in Aetna's core health-insurance business and lower
general and administrative costs.
The Medicare and Medicaid business "continued to provide the
improvement in earnings, which offset the decline in earnings due
to the commercial small group and individual businesses," wrote
analyst Peter Costa of Wells Fargo.
Aetna tightened the range of its projected earnings for the
year, to between $7.95 and $8.05 per share from between $7.90 and
$8.10.
The insurer remained troubled by its individual ACA plans, which
account for a small portion of its overall membership, and it is
now projecting a loss of about $350 million for the year on them,
up from an earlier estimate of more than $300 million. Aetna said
it had about 775,000 individual members who bought their coverage
through the health law's exchanges, and an additional 270,000 who
have off-exchange plans.
Next year, Aetna is leaving 11 out of the 15 states' exchanges
where it currently sells plans, saying it is exiting business that
was worth around $2.7 billion in 2016 revenue. Despite the
pullback, however, Aetna warned it might still have losses on its
individual business next year.
Chief Executive Mark T. Bertolini said that, to consider
re-entering exchanges, Aetna would need to see changes to the ACA
program known as risk adjustment that is supposed to help smooth
results for insurers. Right now, he suggested, the pool of
enrollees will produce results for insurers that are cumulatively
about 10% to 15% below break-even. Without changes, "we're going to
find ourselves in a premium spiral" in the exchanges, with rates
increasing and healthy people leaving, he said. The soonest Aetna
could re-enter exchanges is 2019, he said, with 2020 more
likely.
Aetna's total medical membership fell 1.6% to 23.12 million in
the quarter. Medicaid membership grew 9.3% to 2.4 million, while
Medicare Advantage membership grew 9.5% to 1.4 million.
Aetna's medical-loss ratio, a key measure of the share of
premiums used to pay patient medical costs, rose to 82% from 81.1%.
The ratio rose for its commercial members, driven largely by the
ACA plans' performance, but fell for its government-based
business.
Aetna also said it was seeing losses for small-business plans
sold under the ACA, though its margins are positive for
small-business plans that were grandfathered from before the law
took full effect.
Shawn M. Guertin, Aetna's chief financial officer, said the
problems with the ACA small-business plans weren't as severe or
widespread as with individual plans sold under the law, but "there
have been a lot of forces that can create a selection dynamic that
is similar to what we have seen in individual."
Small businesses with healthier workforces may be sticking with
pre-ACA coverage, or choosing other options like versions of
self-insurance, he said.
In all for the quarter, Aetna reported earnings of $603.9
million, or $1.70 a share, up from $560.1 million, or $1.59 a
share, a year earlier. When excluding transaction costs and other
items, adjusted earnings rose to $2.07 a share from $1.90 a share.
The result came in above analysts' projections of around $2.04 a
share.
Revenue rose 5.5% to $15.78 billion as operating revenue, which
excludes net realized capital gains and losses, grew 5.2% to $15.05
billion. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had forecast $2.03 a
share in earnings on $15.71 billion in revenue.
Mr. Bertolini said Aetna's leaders "remain convinced of the
strategic and financial merits" of its deal to buy Humana Inc.,
despite the recent announcement that the smaller insurer was seeing
a decline in Medicare quality ratings, which is likely to affect
its 2018 results.
The two insurers are defending their combination against an
antitrust challenge by the Justice Department, with trial
proceedings set to begin Dec. 5.
Shares of Aetna were trading at $110.49, down 52 cents, early
Thursday afternoon.
Write to Anna Wilde Mathews at anna.mathews@wsj.com and Austen
Hufford at austen.hufford@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 27, 2016 13:25 ET (17:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.