ProShares Launches Inverse Euro ETF - ETF News And Commentary
28 June 2012 - 9:01PM
Zacks
ProShares, a leader in inverse and leveraged ETFs, has launched
its latest product in the currency space, targeting the in focus
euro. The new fund, the ProShares Short Euro ETF
(EUFX), looks to give investors inverse daily exposure to
the performance of the U.S. dollar price of the euro.
The product looks to accomplish this task by entering into
euro/US dollar futures, the first series of which expires in mid
September. The product will cost investors 95 basis points a year,
in line with other ProShares ETFs but somewhat higher than other
non-leveraged currency products on the market.
It should also be noted that the product only seeks to match the
return of the euro short against the dollar over a single
day. Due to this and the compounding of daily returns, the
returns of the product may deviate from long term return rates,
suggesting that investors need to monitor their holdings closely if
they are going to be in EUFX for a long time period (see Leveraged
and Inverse ETFs: Only For Short Term Traders).
Short Euro ETF Timing
This brand new product comes at a great time for ProShares as
the common currency in much of Europe has become increasingly under
fire as of late thanks to a rash of bailouts and speculation over
broad defaults by some of the PIIGS bloc members. Thanks to these
issues, the euro has fallen from a rate of $1.45 dollars per euro
to its current level just below $1.25 (see Three European ETFs That
Have Held Their Ground).
This represents a nearly 12.5% loss in the past 52 week period
and puts the currency among the worst performers against the
dollar, out of the majors, in the time frame. Only a few emerging
market nations have seen their currencies fall by more against the
dollar in the last 52 weeks while only the Swiss franc—which is now
pegged to the euro—has seen its ETF product lose more than
what the euro has since the end of the second quarter in 2011.
Given this bearish performance and the sluggish outlook for the
region, a short euro play could be an interesting way to target the
currency market for many investors. This could be especially true
if investors continue to see high bond yields in nations like Spain
or Italy, or if Germany holds firm with its policy of opposition to
more integration (Read Beyond The PIIGS, Three Troubled European
ETFs to Watch).
Thanks to these trends, EUFX could see a great deal of interest
from a number of traders and hedgers. Particularly because there
aren’t really a whole lot of options in the short euro market, as
only two other inverse ETFs currently trade for the euro, the
ProShares UltraShort Euro Fund (EUO) and the
Market Vectors Double Short Euro ETN (DRR).
While both of these products have performed admirably over the
past 52 weeks, gaining roughly 24.5% each, it should be noted that
they apply -2x leverage to their models as well. This suggests that
these products will be much more volatile than EUFX and they could
also suffer from more ‘decay’ issues over long time periods.
Still, both have solid levels of volume and AUM, implying that
bid ask spreads will not be much of a problem for most investors.
This may not be the case—at least initially—for EUFX as the product
could see some wide spreads to begin with as it starts to
accumulate more assets (also read Health Care ETFs & The Fate
of Obamacare).
Nevertheless, EUFX could be a big hit for ProShares if investors
are looking to play the euro market with lower levels of risk and
volatility on the short side. It also doesn’t hurt that the new ETF
has a monopoly on the space (for now), suggesting that if the euro
continues to remain in focus, EUFX could be an interesting tool in
investors’ arsenals for reducing losses should the situation remain
dire in the common currency bloc.
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MKT-VEC DB S EU (DRR): ETF Research Reports
(EUFX): ETF Research Reports
PRO-ULS EURO (EUO): ETF Research Reports
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