NOV Upgraded to Hold - Analyst Blog
20 March 2013 - 2:40AM
Zacks
On Mar 16, Zacks Investment
Research upgraded oilfield services behemoth National
Oilwell Varco Inc. (NOV) to a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Why the Upgrade?
Houston, Texas based NOV boasts of a healthy backlog, solid balance
sheet and strength in international operations, particularly in the
Middle East and Brazil. The just-completed Robbins & Myers
acquisition will further boost NOV’s earnings visibility by
expanding its blowout preventer product line; a critical safety
machine for a well. The recent influx of offshore rig awards adds
to the positive sentiment.
Detailed Analysis
NOV is one of the biggest manufacturers of drilling equipment in
the world with an impressive business model. The company’s large
installed base of rigs worldwide provides for a steady recurring
revenue stream through demand for maintenance, parts and other
expendable products.
NOV’s recent $2.5 billion acquisition of smaller rival Robbins
& Myers will allow the energy equipment contractor to broaden
scale and scope of the solutions that it offers to oil and gas
customers worldwide. In particular, the move will help NOV to
strengthen its position as a supplier of blowout preventer (a
critical safety machine that can shut a well off in case of an
emergency), as Robbins & Myers is the fourth-largest maker of
such devices.
The growing search for oil into new deepwater frontiers has
significantly increased the demand for rigs capable of tackling the
immense challenges of drilling in a mile or more of water. NOV is
well positioned to supply such technologically-advanced production
equipment.
However, with new competitors entering the market and shrinkage of
capital expenditure spending by the drilling contractors, NOV –
which ranks ahead of Cameron International Corp.
(CAM) as the biggest U.S. maker of oilfield equipment – has seen
its new equipment package pricing fall around 10% below the levels
achieved during the peak of 2007–2008.
In particular, NOV’s margins have been hit hard by the ongoing
North American drilling slump. We expect the situation –
characterized by tepid demand and weak pricing – to normalize only
sometime in late 2013.
Stocks That Warrant a Look
While we expect NOV to perform in line with its peers and industry
levels in the coming months and advice investors to wait for a
better entry point before accumulating shares, one can look at
Calumet Specialty Products Partners L.P. (CLMT)
and Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) as good buying
opportunities. These oil refiners and marketers – sporting a Zacks
Rank #1 (Strong Buy) – have solid secular growth stories with
potential to rise significantly from current levels.
CAMERON INTL (CAM): Free Stock Analysis Report
CALUMET SPECLTY (CLMT): Free Stock Analysis Report
MARATHON PETROL (MPC): Free Stock Analysis Report
NATL OILWELL VR (NOV): Free Stock Analysis Report
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