Samson Oil & Gas Limited:
December 31st ReservesNetherland, Sewell
& Associates, Inc. has completed its report estimating Samson’s
oil and gas reserves as of December 31, 2016:
OIL MBBL GAS MMCF
NPV10 MM PDP 3,052 1,853
$44.198 PDNP 245 486
$3.638 PUD 5,409 3,787
$55.329 TOTAL PROVED 8,707 6,126
$103.165
These estimates utilize the NYMEX strip price, adjusted for
delivery and quality differentials.
The current estimate of US$103 million in proved reserves can be
compared to the June 30, 2016 estimate, adjusted to exclude the
North Stockyard field that was sold in November 2016:
OIL MBBL GAS MMCF
NPV10 MM PDP 3,342 2,286
$47.242 PDNP 1,230 2,252
$16.196 PUD 5,400 3,780
$47.283 TOTAL PROVED 9,971 8,318
$110.720
The decrease from June 30 to December 31 is due to production
roll off and the temporary shut in, for various mechanical reasons,
of some producing wells. Substantially all of the shut in wells
have been returned to production since December 31.
In addition, the proved developed non-producing (PNDP) category
has been reduced due to a decision not to reflect the results of
potential workovers (such as fresh water clean outs and acid jobs)
until all work has been completed.
The proved undeveloped (PUD) category has seen an increase
because of increased oil prices.
The estimate uses variables particular to each well, based on
historical data. For Samson’s recently acquired Foreman Butte
project, which constitutes the bulk of the reserves, the variables
generally adhere to the following parameters:
a) A PUD well cost at $2.8 million.b) The PUD
wells use a type curve that generates an average EUR of 380,000
bbls.c) A realized oil price differential of $6.61 to WTI.d) A
fixed operating cost of $3,400 per month per well.e) A salt water
disposal cost of $1.50 per barrelf) Negligible value attributed to
gas sales.
Oil PriceThe oil price used as December 31st compared to
that used in the June 30th estimate is as follows:
Period Ending
June 30th Oil Price($/Barrel)
December 31st Oil Price($/Barrel)
December 2016 49.42
55.86
December 2017 52.17 56.59 December 2018
53.69 56.10 December 2019
54.60 56.05 Thereafter 55.43
56.21
Differentials
Samson is seeing increased competition in the provision of oil
marketing services due to expected additional pipeline capacity in
the Williston Basin. The December 31st 2016 estimate utilizes the
prior 12 months average, which is around $6.50 per barrel. We are
currently seeing contracts being offered that are closer to $5 a
barrel, which may be reflected in future estimates, positively
affecting reserve value.
Production costs
The current estimate reflects an increase in our production
costs based on the actual field experience since taking over
operatorship in May and June of 2016. Management is concentrating
its efforts on actively reducing these costs, which are dominated
by salt water disposal fees. Management presently expects to reduce
production costs in the near future by achieving greater
efficiencies in salt water disposal.
Pump efficiency
Samson has conducted a project wide fluid level study with the
aim of that study to determine whether the existing pump
configuration is maximizing the drawdown pressure on the reservoir.
As a result of this study Samson has selected 10 priority wells
where adjustments will be made to stroke length, stroke rate or
pump diameter. It is expected that an additional 350 BOPD of
production would be realized from this activity. If achieved, this
would result in a higher PDP reserve value in the future.
Infill Development Planning
In order to achieve a cost effective way of developing the
proved undeveloped acreage in the Foreman Butte Field, Samson has
designed a drilling method for its first Ratcliffe Formation PUD by
drilling a new deviated well bore from an existing zero value well.
This operation is expected to commence in the spring and will
involve a work over rig using slim hole directional drilling tools
from the casing shoe of the existing wellbore. It is expected to
cost around $375,000 per lateral.
Current planning includes a second lateral, being drilled into
the underlying Nesson Formation which has proven productive in an
offsetting well. This operation will then be able to use existing
surface facilities. The total cost of both short laterals (5,000
feet) estimated at $750,000 is competitive compared to a new well
cost of around $2.8 million.
Recompletions
Well recompletions scheduled for this Spring to test behind-pipe
pay zones include the Davidson 1, the Karst 13-5, and USA Salsbury
D-20 wells.
In the Davidson 1 well approximately 34’ of perforations will be
added to the Ratcliffe Formation after isolating the depleted
Nesson interval of the Mission Canyon Formation. A success in the
Davidson 1 well recompletion could potentially prove up a new oil
field in the Ratcliffe Formation.
In the Karst 13-5 well, perforations will be added in Ratcliffe
interval where 27’ of net pay has been identified through log
analysis. This well is currently shut-in and was a poor producer in
the Nesson.
The USA Salsbury D-20 is currently a shut-in well that
previously produced from the Red River Formation. The well will
test the uphole behind-pipe pay in the Ratcliffe Formation where
approximately 25’ of net pay has been identified on the electric
logs.
These operations continue Samson’s operational philosophy of
bringing on additional production in the most cost effective manner
available.
Samson’s Ordinary Shares are traded on the Australian Securities
Exchange under the symbol "SSN". Samson's American Depository
Shares (ADSs) are traded on the New York Stock Exchange MKT under
the symbol "SSN". Each ADS represents 200 fully paid Ordinary
Shares of Samson. Samson has a total of 3,282 million ordinary
shares issued and outstanding (including 230 million options
exercisable at AUD 3.8 cents), which would be the equivalent of
16.41 million ADSs. Accordingly, based on the NYSE MKT closing
price of US$0.57 per ADS on February 15th, 2017, the Company has a
current market capitalization of approximately US$9.4 million (the
options have been valued at an exchange rate of 0.77).
Correspondingly, based on the ASX closing price of A$0.004 for
ordinary shares and a closing price of A$0.001 for the 2017
options, on February 15th, 2017, the Company has a current market
capitalization of approximately A$13.1 million.
Competent Person Statement
The reserves quoted in this announcement were estimated by
Netherland Sewell & Associates, an independent petroleum
reserve engineering consulting firm based on the definitions and
disclosures guidelines contained in the Society of Petroleum
Engineers, World Petroleum Council, Association of Petroleum
Geologists and Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Petroleum
Resources Management Systems.
Information in this announcement relating to hydrocarbon
reserves is the responsibility of the CEO of Samson Oil and Gas
Ltd., Mr. T.M Barr a petroleum geologist who holds an Associateship
in Applied Geology and who has 40 years of relevant experience in
the oil and gas industry.
SAMSON OIL & GAS LIMITED
TERRY BARRManaging Director
Statements made in this press release that are not historical
facts may be forward looking statements, including but not limited
to statements using words like “may”, “believe”, “expect”,
“anticipate”, “should” or “will.” Actual results may differ
materially from those projected in any forward-looking statement.
There are a number of important factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from those anticipated or estimated by
any forward looking information, including uncertainties inherent
in estimating the methods, timing and results of exploration
activities. A description of the risks and uncertainties that are
generally attendant to Samson and its industry, as well as other
factors that could affect Samson’s financial results, are included
in the prospectus and prospectus supplement for its recent Rights
Offering as well as the Company's report to the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission on Form 10-K, which are available at
www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/webusers.htm.
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version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170215006312/en/
Samson Oil & Gas LimitedTerry Barr, CEO,
303-296-3994
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