Markel Corp.: A Strong Buy - Analyst Blog
17 April 2013 - 11:50PM
Zacks
On Apr 16, 2013, Zacks Investment Research upgraded
Markel Corp. (MKL) to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong
Buy).
Why the Upgrade?
Markel has been experiencing rising earnings estimates on the
back of improved fourth-quarter 2012 results. Moreover, the
company’s strong underwriting capabilities as well as improved debt
levels and coverage ratios have been impressive. Additionally, this
property-casualty insurer delivered positive earnings surprises in
all of the last 4 quarters with an average beat of 113.3%.
On Feb 4, Markel reported fourth-quarter 2012 operating earnings
of $5.78 per share, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
a loss of $2.70 and earnings of $5.19 per share in the year-ago
quarter.
Results were supported by 17.9% growth in operating revenue,
driven by higher premiums and net investment income. Although
operating expenses were higher than expected, tax expense declined
significantly and combined ratio improved to 97% from 102% in the
year-ago quarter. Even book value per share increased 15% at
2012-end.
Markel’s strategy of growth through acquisitions has been
scoring well with the ratings agencies. The latest acquisition of
Alterra Capital Holdings Ltd. (ALTE), scheduled to
culminate by mid-2013, is further projected to improve Markel’s
debt to capital ratio by 100 basis points (bps) to 27%.
Additionally, the acquisition is expected to improve the debt to
equity ratio by 400 bps to 34% over the same time period. The
creditworthiness of the company also helps retain investors’
confidence in the stock.
Based on Markel’s fundamental strength and claims management,
the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2013 rose 1.9% to $19.08 per share
in the last 60 days. The estimate for 2014 is pegged at $22.45, up
4.9% in the last 60 days. Meanwhile, no downward revision in
estimates was witnessed for both the years.
Moreover, the Most Accurate Estimate for Markel’s 2013 earnings
stands at $19.50 a share, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP
(Read: Zacks Earnings ESP: A Better Method) of +2.2%.
Other Stocks to Consider
Apart from Markel, other stocks that are outperforming in the
insurance sector include Hilltop Holdings Inc.
(HTH) and Everest Re Ltd. (RE). Both the stocks
carry a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
ALTERRA CAP HLD (ALTE): Free Stock Analysis Report
HILLTOP HLDGS (HTH): Free Stock Analysis Report
MARKEL CORP (MKL): Free Stock Analysis Report
EVEREST RE LTD (RE): Free Stock Analysis Report
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Zacks Investment Research
Alterra Capital Holdings Limited (MM) (NASDAQ:ALTE)
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