(PIPE – TSX) Pipestone Energy Corp.
(
“Pipestone” or the
“Company”) is
pleased to provide an update on its operations with record
quarterly production achieved; and to report its year-end 2021
independent reserves evaluation prepared by McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. (“
McDaniel”) with an
effective date of December 31, 2021 (the “
McDaniel
Report”).
Recent Operations
Highlights:
- Record Production
Volumes: Q4 2021 production averaged 28,623 boe/d (30%
condensate, 44% total liquids), the highest quarterly production
since inception. Production during Q4 2021 was impacted by several
cold weather-related outages at 3rd party midstream
facilities;
- 2021 Production Guidance
Achieved: 2021 production averaged 24,584 boe/d(1) (31%
condensate, 45% total liquids) within previously announced guidance
of 24,000 – 26,000 boe/d; and
- Record Quarterly Operating
Netback: The Company realized continued improvement in
operating netback in Q4 2021 to a corporate record of $25.06/boe
(inclusive of $8.45/boe in realized hedging losses), an increase of
14% over Q3 2021, and a 148% increase over Q4 2020.
2021 Reserve
Highlights(1):
- Pipestone delivered 28% growth in
Proved Developed Producing (“PDP”) reserves from
31.7 MMboe in 2020 to 40.5 MMboe and achieved a Finding &
Development (“F&D”) cost of $10.37/boe,
coupled with a full year 2021 operating netback of $27.72/boe
(exclusive of hedging losses) drives a 2021 PDP F&D recycle
ratio(2) of 2.7x;
- Total Proved
(“1P”) reserve volumes increased year-over-year by
20% from 134 MMboe to 160 MMboe with an F&D recycle ratio(2) of
3.9x;
- Total Proved plus Probable
(“2P”) reserve volumes increased year-over-year by
21% from 228 MMboe to 275 MMboe with an F&D recycle ratio(2) of
6.6x;
- Increase in 1P Future Development
Capital (“FDC”) of 11% from $640 million to $708
million, and a 6% increase in 2P FDC from $935 million to $989
million, which is equivalent to approximately 5 years at our 2022
capital spending budget;
- Go-forward estimated undeveloped 1P
F&D cost (FDC / Undeveloped Reserves) of $6.15/boe ($6.33/boe
at YE 2020) and Undeveloped 2P F&D cost of $4.62/boe ($5.03/boe
at YE 2020) reflect the continued efficiencies achieved in the
business during 2021; and
- Updated 1P and 2P Net Asset Value
per Share (“NAVPS”) of $6.03 and $9.43 per fully
diluted share, respectively, utilizing a 10% discount rate at a
flat price deck (US$80/bbl WTI, C$3.50/GJ AECO, $0.80 CADUSD, no
inflation). These NAVPS values reflect a premium of 36% and 113%,
for 1P and 2P respectively, over the current share price of
$4.42.
|
(1) |
2021 annual
production volumes, capital expenditures and operating netbacks
referenced throughout this press release are unaudited. All reserve
volumes are reported on a net working interest, gross of royalties
basis. |
|
(2) |
Recycle Ratio is calculated by dividing Operating Netback per
boe by F&D costs per boe. 2021 Operating Netback (unaudited)
used to calculate Recycle Ratio is exclusive of realized hedging
impacts and is calculated as revenue less royalties, operating, and
transportation costs. Operating Netback is a non-GAAP measure, see
“Advisories” for further details. |
Operations Update:
Development Map:
An infographic accompanying this announcement is available
at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/ab1d192e-186d-4203-b449-559feabf88ff
Development Program:
Pipestone successfully executed on all of its
planned Q4 2021 development activities. During the quarter, the
Company drilled 6 wells on the 2-31 pad, which were subsequently
completed in early 2022. These wells are now equipped and will be
on production by the end of February. Also, during the fourth
quarter, Pipestone drilled 3 wells on the 6-30 pad, which were
completed in early January and will also be on production by the
end of February. In early January, Pipestone began drilling
operations at the 2-25 pad and is currently on the last of four
planned wells, with completions currently scheduled for Q1 2022.
Approximately $3 million of capital spending originally planned for
2022 was accelerated into Q4 2021 in order to gain operational
efficiencies. Total estimated capital expenditures for 2021 are
approximately $184 million.
Production & Well Results:
Based on field estimates, Pipestone is pleased
to confirm it met its previously announced average corporate
production target for November and December 2021 of 30,000 boe/d
with average production of 30,809 boe/d. As a result, Pipestone
delivered record quarterly production of 28,623 boe/d in Q4 2021,
which represents an increase of 16% over Q3 2021 and an increase of
61% over Q4 2020. During Q4 2021, the Company brought 3 new wells
at the 6-13 pad on production with a shorter average lateral length
of approximately 2,400 metres, which have achieved an average IP90
of 493 bbl/d wellhead condensate and 4.6 MMcf/d raw gas (condensate
gas ratio “CGR” of ~107 bbl/MMcf). Based on these results and an
actual achieved DCE&T cost of $4.9 million, the company
forecasts these wells to payback in approximately 4 months from
being brought on production at a flat price deck (US$80/bbl WTI,
C$3.50/GJ AECO, $0.80 CADUSD).
On the 14-4 delineation pad, Pipestone drilled
two Montney ‘B’ (2,920 metre average lateral length) wells which
were brought on production in November 2021. The two Montney ‘B’
wells are in-line with expectations, achieving an IP90 of 330 bbl/d
and 3.4 MMcf/d raw gas (CGR of ~97 bbl/MMcf). These wells are
forecast to produce ~85 Mbbls of wellhead condensate over the first
12 months on production. Based on these results and an actual
achieved DCE&T cost of $5.9 million, the Company forecasts
these wells to payback in approximately 7 months from being brought
on production at a flat price deck (US$80/bbl WTI, C$3.50/GJ AECO,
$0.80 CADUSD). A Lower Montney ‘D’ well on the 14-4 pad tested with
significant gas deliverability, averaging 4.4 MMcf/d raw gas and
365 bbl/d condensate, but with an elevated H2S content of 11%,
requiring the well to be shut-in while awaiting the installation of
blending equipment. Based on a current field average H2S content of
4 – 5%, Pipestone is capable of accommodating higher sulphur
content wells through blending.
In H1 2022, the Company expects to bring on
stream 13 additional wells, which will underpin its 2022 annual
production growth. The Company also continues to evaluate
alternatives to contract incremental gas processing capacity, which
it expects to contractually secure prior to the end of Q1 2022.
Year-End 2021 Reserve
Results:
|
|
December 31, 2021(1) |
December 31, 2020(2) |
|
2P Reserve Volumes (Working Interest) |
|
Amount |
Weight |
Amount |
Weight |
Change |
Condensate(3) |
Mbbls |
73,582 |
27% |
65,323 |
29% |
13% |
Other NGLs |
Mbbls |
42,036 |
15% |
30,382 |
13% |
38% |
Total Natural Gas Liquids |
Mbbls |
115,618 |
42% |
95,705 |
42% |
21% |
Shale Gas |
MMcf |
957,635 |
58% |
791,801 |
58% |
21% |
Total |
Mboe |
275,223 |
100% |
227,672 |
100% |
21% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total by
Category |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Developed Producing |
Mboe |
40,510 |
15% |
31,735 |
14% |
28% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
Mboe |
4,394 |
2% |
1,258 |
1% |
249% |
Proved Undeveloped |
Mboe |
115,244 |
42% |
100,984 |
44% |
14% |
Total
Proved |
Mboe |
160,148 |
58% |
133,977 |
59% |
20% |
Probable |
Mboe |
115,075 |
42% |
93,695 |
41% |
23% |
Total Proved +
Probable |
Mboe |
275,223 |
100% |
227,672 |
100% |
21% |
|
(1) |
Volumes
calculated using the 3 Consultant (“3C”) Average Price Deck as of
January 1, 2022. The 3C price Deck includes pricing forecasts from
McDaniel and Associates, GLJ Petroleum Consultants, and
Sproule. |
|
(2) |
Volumes calculated using the 3C Average Price Deck as of
January 1, 2021. |
|
(3) |
Included in the Total Condensate 2P Reserve Volumes (Working
Interest) are nominal Crude Oil Volumes. |
2021 Independent Reserves Evaluation:
McDaniel conducted an independent Reserves
Evaluation effective December 31, 2021, which was prepared in
accordance with definitions, standards, and procedures contained in
the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and NI 51-101. The
Reserves Evaluation was based on 3C forecast pricing and foreign
exchange rates at January 1, 2022 as outlined in this press
release.
Reserves included herein are stated on a company
gross basis (working interest before deduction of royalties without
the inclusion of any royalty interest) unless otherwise noted. In
addition to the information disclosed in this news release, more
detailed information will be included in Pipestone’s annual
information form for the year ended December 31, 2021, which will
be available on the Company’s website at www.pipestonecorp.com and
on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2022.
Company Gross (before royalties) Working
Interest Reserves:
|
2021 Year-End Reserves (Working
Interest)(1) |
|
|
|
Natural Gas |
Total |
|
Tight Oil |
Shale Gas |
Liquids(2) |
Company |
Reserve Category |
(Mbbl) |
(MMcf) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mboe) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
23 |
145,910 |
16,169 |
40,510 |
Developed Non-Producing |
- |
16,372 |
1,665 |
4,394 |
Undeveloped |
- |
391,595 |
49,979 |
115,245 |
Total
Proved |
23 |
553,877 |
67,813 |
160,149 |
Total
Probable |
7 |
403,757 |
47,775 |
115,075 |
Total Proved +
Probable(3) |
30 |
957,635 |
115,588 |
275,224 |
|
(1) |
Volumes
calculated using the 3C Average Price Deck as of January 1,
2022. |
|
(2) |
Natural Gas Liquids includes condensate volumes. Booked 2P
condensate volumes are 73,552 Mbbls as at December 31, 2021. |
|
(3) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
Company Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue
Using 3C Price Forecast (1):
|
Before Income Taxes |
$C Millions |
Discount Factor (% / Year) |
Reserve Category |
|
0% |
|
|
5% |
|
|
10% |
|
|
15% |
|
|
20% |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
$582 |
|
$510 |
|
$454 |
|
$411 |
|
$379 |
Developed Non-Producing |
$70 |
|
$57 |
|
$48 |
|
$42 |
|
$38 |
Undeveloped |
$1,749 |
|
$1,251 |
|
$934 |
|
$720 |
|
$570 |
Total
Proved(2) |
$2,401 |
|
$1,818 |
|
$1,436 |
|
$1,174 |
|
$987 |
Probable |
$2,051 |
|
$1,204 |
|
$782 |
|
$548 |
|
$408 |
Total Proved +
Probable(2) |
$4,452 |
|
$3,022 |
|
$2,218 |
|
$1,723 |
|
$1,395 |
|
(1) |
Calculated
using the 3C Average Price Deck as of January 1, 2022. |
|
(2) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
Future Development Capital and F&D
Costs:
FDC reflects McDaniel’s best estimate of the
future cost to bring Pipestone’s proved and probable developed and
undeveloped reserves on production. Changes in forecasted FDC occur
annually as a result of development activities, acquisition and
disposition activities, changes in capital cost estimates based on
improvements in well design and performance, and changes in service
costs. Undiscounted 2P FDC at December 31, 2021 increased
by $53 million relative to December 31, 2020, to
total $989 million.
|
|
Total Proved |
|
Total Proved |
+ Probable |
Year |
(C$MM) |
(C$MM) |
2022 |
$180 |
$180 |
2023 |
$197 |
$197 |
2024 |
$129 |
$129 |
2025 |
$139 |
$139 |
2026 |
$57 |
$75 |
Remainder Thereafter |
$6 |
$269 |
Total FDC
Undiscounted(1) |
$708 |
$989 |
Total FDC Discounted
(10%) |
$585 |
$736 |
|
(1) |
Amounts may
not add due to rounding. |
2021 F&D Costs | Recycle Ratio |
|
|
Proved Developed
Producing |
|
|
Reserve Additions |
Mboe |
|
17,748 |
2021 Capital Expenditures (Estimated) |
$MM |
$184 |
F&D per boe |
$/boe |
$10.37 |
2021 Operating Netback (Estimated) (1) |
$/boe |
$27.72 |
Recycle
Ratio |
|
2.7x |
Total
Proved |
|
|
Reserve Additions |
Mboe |
|
35,145 |
2021 Capital Expenditures (Estimated) |
$MM |
$184 |
2021 Change in FDC |
$MM |
$68 |
F&D per boe |
$/boe |
$7.17 |
2021 Operating Netback (Estimated) (1) |
$/boe |
$27.72 |
Recycle
Ratio |
|
3.9x |
Proved +
Probable |
|
|
Reserve Additions |
Mboe |
|
56,535 |
2021 Capital Expenditures (Estimated) |
$MM |
$184 |
2021 Change in FDC |
$MM |
$53 |
F&D per boe |
$/boe |
$4.20 |
2021 Operating Netback (Estimated) (1) |
$/boe |
$27.72 |
Recycle
Ratio |
|
6.6x |
|
(1) |
2021 Operating
Netback (unaudited) used to calculate Recycle Ratio is exclusive of
realized hedging impacts and is calculated as revenue less
royalties, operating, and transportation costs. Operating Netback
is a non-GAAP measure, see “Advisories” for further details |
1P / 2P Future Undeveloped F&D Costs |
|
|
Proved
Undeveloped |
|
|
1P Future Development Capital |
$MM |
$708.3 |
Proved Undeveloped Reserves |
Mboe |
|
115,244 |
1P
F&D |
$/boe |
$6.15 |
|
|
|
Proved +
Probable |
|
|
2P Future Development Capital |
$MM |
$988.7 |
Proved + Probable Undeveloped Reserves |
Mboe |
|
214,155 |
2P
F&D |
$/boe |
$4.62 |
Annual Reserve Reconciliation:
|
|
Tight Oil |
Natural Gas |
Natural GasLiquids(1) |
CompanyTotal |
Company Gross |
|
(Mbbl) |
(MMcf) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mboe) |
Proved Developed Producing |
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2020 |
|
25.8 |
|
116,852 |
|
12,234 |
|
31,735 |
|
|
Extensions(2) |
|
- |
|
5,703 |
|
737 |
|
1,688 |
|
|
Economic Factors(3) |
|
8.7 |
|
3,929 |
|
409 |
|
1,072 |
|
|
Technical Revisions(4) |
|
15.2 |
|
(30,568 |
) |
(2,342 |
) |
(7,422 |
) |
|
Technical Revisions - PUD Transfer(5) |
|
- |
|
79,784 |
|
9,112 |
|
22,409 |
|
|
Production |
|
(27.0 |
) |
(29,791 |
) |
(3,981 |
) |
(8,973 |
) |
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
|
22.7 |
|
145,910 |
|
16,169 |
|
40,510 |
|
|
Total Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2020 |
|
25.8 |
|
462,484 |
|
56,870 |
|
133,977 |
|
|
Extensions(2) |
|
- |
|
112,354 |
|
14,120 |
|
32,846 |
|
|
Economic Factors(3) |
|
8.7 |
|
8,339 |
|
917 |
|
2,316 |
|
|
Technical Revisions(4) |
|
15.2 |
|
471 |
|
(114 |
) |
(17 |
) |
|
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
Production |
|
(27.0 |
) |
(29,791 |
) |
(3,981 |
) |
(8,973 |
) |
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
|
22.7 |
|
553,877 |
|
67,813 |
|
160,148 |
|
|
Total Probable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2020 |
|
10.7 |
|
329,317 |
|
38,798 |
|
93,695 |
|
|
Extensions(2) |
|
- |
|
61,996 |
|
6,707 |
|
17,040 |
|
|
Economic Factors(3) |
|
1.0 |
|
6,957 |
|
741 |
|
1,901 |
|
|
Technical Revisions |
|
(4.8 |
) |
5,487 |
|
1,529 |
|
2,439 |
|
|
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
Production |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
|
6.9 |
|
403,757 |
|
47,775 |
|
115,075 |
|
|
Proved + Probable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2020 |
|
36.5 |
|
791,801 |
|
95,668 |
|
227,672 |
|
|
Extensions(2) |
|
- |
|
174,351 |
|
20,828 |
|
49,886 |
|
|
Economic Factors(3) |
|
9.7 |
|
15,296 |
|
1,658 |
|
4,217 |
|
|
Technical Revisions |
|
10.4 |
|
5,978 |
|
1,415 |
|
2,422 |
|
|
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
Production |
|
(27.0 |
) |
(29,791 |
) |
(3,981 |
) |
(8,973 |
) |
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
|
29.5 |
|
957,635 |
|
115,588 |
|
275,223 |
|
|
|
(1) |
Natural Gas
Liquids includes condensate volumes. Booked 2P condensate volumes
are 73,552 Mbbls as of December 31, 2021. |
|
(2) |
Total proved extensions are a result of 8 new booked locations
as a result of increased take away capacity. Proved + Probable
extensions are a result of 7 new booked locations. PDP extensions
are a result of a step out well that was not previously booked
being brought on production prior to YE2021. |
|
(3) |
Economic Factor changes are due to an increase in forecasted
commodity prices compared to 2020. |
|
(4) |
The technical revisions within the Proved Developed Producing
category relate primarily to a reduction in previously forecast
production due to higher fluid rates, as well as other
miscellaneous items. The majority of the technical revisions
reflect the transfer of reserves from Proved Developed Producing
into the Proved Developed Non-Producing category, as evidenced by
the minimal revision to Total Proved Reserves. The Company expects
to recover these volumes back into Proved Developed Producing
category over the course of 2022 through the ongoing optimization
of existing artificial lift systems as well as the potential
implementation of new systems. |
|
(5) |
Technical revision related to the conversion of Proven
Undeveloped Locations by 2021 capital expenditures. |
Pre-Tax Net Asset Value – Excludes Unbooked Land
Value:
|
As at December 31, 2021 |
|
|
3C Price |
Flat Price |
$C Millions |
|
Forecast |
Deck(1) |
2P Reserves, Before-Tax NPV10% |
|
$2,218 |
$2,884 |
(-) Abandonment Obligations
(Estimated) |
|
($15) |
($15) |
(-) Mark-to-Market of
Hedges(2) |
|
($6) |
($6) |
(-) Net Debt
(Estimated)(3) |
|
($204) |
($204) |
|
|
|
|
= Implied Net Asset
Value |
|
$1,993 |
$2,659 |
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding (millions)(4) |
|
282 |
282 |
Net Asset Value per
Share ($/share) |
|
$7.07 |
$9.43 |
Note: The above Net Asset Value excludes any
additional land value for approximately 70 net sections of unbooked
undeveloped land, which represents approximately 50% of the
Company’s total land base.
|
(1) |
Flat Price
Deck utilizes US$80 per barrel WTI, C$3.50 per GJ AECO, and $0.80
CADUSD exchange rate with no future inflation. |
|
(2) |
Hedges include commodity price hedges as at December 31,
2021. |
|
(3) |
Net debt represents bank debt and the addition of working
capital and is a non-GAAP measure. See “Advisories” for further
details. |
|
(4) |
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding at December 31, 2021 assumes
full dilutive impact of the convertible preferred shares balance as
at December 31, 2021 and other dilutive instruments. |
Q4 2021 and Full Year 2021 Financial
Results Conference Call
Fourth Quarter and Full year 2021 results are
expected to be released before market open on March 9, 2022. A
conference call has been scheduled for March 9, 2022 at 9:00 a.m
Mountain Time (11:00 a.m Eastern Time) for interested investors,
analysts, brokers, and media representatives.
Conference Call Details:
Toll-Free: (866) 953-0776International: (630)
652-5852Conference ID: 5089085
Pipestone Energy Corp.
Pipestone is an oil and gas exploration and
production company focused on developing its large contiguous and
condensate rich Montney asset base in the Pipestone area near
Grande Prairie. Pipestone expects to grow its production to 35
Mboe/d (midpoint) in 2022, while generating significant free cash
flow and de-leveraging the business. Pipestone is committed to
building long term value for our shareholders while maintaining the
highest possible environmental and operating standards, as well as
being an active and contributing member to the communities in which
it operates. Pipestone has achieved certification of all its
production from its Montney asset under the Equitable Origin
EO100TM Standard for Responsible Energy Development. Pipestone
shares trade under the symbol PIPE on the TSX. For more
information, visit www.pipestonecorp.com.
Pipestone Energy Contacts:
Paul WanklynPresident and Chief Executive Officer(587)
392-8407paul.wanklyn@pipestonecorp.com |
Craig NieboerChief Financial Officer(587)
392-8408craig.nieboer@pipestonecorp.com |
|
|
Dan van KesselVP Corporate Development(587)
392-8414dan.vankessel@pipestonecorp.com |
|
Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP
Measures
Non-GAAP measures
This press release includes references to
financial measures commonly used in the oil and natural gas
industry. The terms “free cash flow”, “operating netback”, and “net
debt”, are not defined under IFRS, which have been incorporated
into Canadian GAAP, as set out in Part 1 of the Chartered
Professional Accountants Canada Handbook – Accounting, are not
separately defined under GAAP, and may not be comparable with
similar measures presented by other companies. The reconciliations
of these non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure are
discussed in the MD&A dated November 10, 2021, a copy of which
is available electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
Management believes the presentation of the
non-GAAP measures provide useful information to investors and
shareholders as the measures provide increased transparency and the
opportunity to better analyze and compare performance against prior
periods.
Free cash flow
“Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure that is
calculated as cash from operating activities plus changes in
non-cash working capital and decommissioning provision costs
incurred, less capital expenditures incurred, and is not defined
under IFRS. Free cash flow should not be considered an alternative
to, or more meaningful than, cash from operating activities, income
(loss) or other measures determined in accordance with IFRS as an
indicator of the Company’s performance. Management uses free cash
flow to analyze operating performance and leverage and believes it
is a useful supplemental measure as it provides an indication of
the funds generated by Pipestone’s principal business activities,
inclusive of ongoing capital expenditures, prior to consideration
of changes in working capital.
Operating netback
“Operating netback” is a non-GAAP measure that
is calculated on either a total dollar or per-unit-of-production
basis and is determined by deducting royalties, operating and
transportation expenses from liquids and natural gas sales adjusted
for realized gains/losses on commodity risk management
contracts.
Operating netback is a common metric used in the
oil and natural gas industry and is used by Company management to
measure operating results on a per boe basis to better analyze and
compare performance against prior periods, as well as formulate
comparisons against peers.
Net debt
“Net debt” is a non-GAAP measure that equals
bank debt outstanding plus adjusted working capital. The Company
does not consider its convertible preferred share obligation to be
part of net debt as this represents a non-cash obligation that will
ultimately be settled by conversion into Pipestone common shares
and reclassified from a liability to share capital on the Company’s
statement of financial position. Net debt is considered to be a
useful measure in assisting management and investors to evaluate
Pipestone’s financial strength.
NAVPS
NAVPS is a non-GAAP financial ratio calculated
as the before-tax NPV for 1P and 2P reserves discounted at 10%,
less abandonment obligations, mark-to-market of hedges, and Net
Debt divided by the fully diluted common shares outstanding as at
December 31, 2021.
Advisory Regarding
Forward-Looking Statements
In the interest of providing shareholders of
Pipestone and potential investors information regarding Pipestone,
this news release contains certain information and statements
(“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking
information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or
events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, expectations and
beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause
actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated
or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of
current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always,
identified by words such as “anticipate”, “estimate”, “expect”,
“intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “propose”, “may”, “will”,
“should”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”,
“potential” and similar or other expressions indicating or
suggesting future results or events.
Forward-looking statements are not promises of
future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events
indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the
plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or
upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be
realized (or if they do, what benefits Pipestone may derive
therefrom).
In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements
pertaining to: expected timing to bring the 2-31 pad, 6-30 pad, and
2-25 pad on production; the expected payout periods for the 14-4
and 6-13 pads, including the expected condensate volume recovery
from the 14-4 Montney ‘B’ wells; contractually securing incremental
natural gas processing capacity prior to the end of Q1 2022; the
expectation to recover the majority of the Proved Developed
Non-Producing volumes back into the Proved Developed Producing
category over the course of 2022; and the total number of wells
expected to be brought on production in the first half of 2022. In
addition, statements relating to reserves are deemed to be
forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves
described can be profitably produced in the future.
With respect to the forward-looking statements
contained in this news release, Pipestone has assessed material
factors and made assumptions regarding, among other things: future
commodity prices and currency exchange rates, including consistency
of future oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas prices
with current commodity price forecasts; the ability to
contractually secure incremental natural gas processing capacity,
beginning in 2023, on terms acceptable to Pipestone or at all; the
economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic; the ability to integrate
Blackbird Energy Inc.’s (“Blackbird”) and Pipestone Oil Corp. ’s
(“Pipestone Oil”) historical businesses and operations and realize
financial, operational and other synergies from the combination
transaction completed on January 4, 2019; Pipestone’s continued
ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and
cost-efficient manner; the predictability of future results based
on past and current experience; the predictability and consistency
of the legislative and regulatory regime governing royalties,
taxes, environmental matters and oil and gas operations, both
provincially and federally; Pipestone’s ability to successfully
market its production of oil, NGLs and natural gas; the timing and
success of drilling and completion activities (and the extent to
which the results thereof meet expectations); Pipestone’s future
production levels and amount of future capital investment, and
their consistency with Pipestone’s current development plans and
budget; future capital expenditure requirements and the sufficiency
thereof to achieve Pipestone’s objectives; the successful
application of drilling and completion technology and processes;
the applicability of new technologies for recovery and production
of Pipestone’s reserves and other resources, and their ability to
improve capital and operational efficiencies in the future; the
recoverability of Pipestone's reserves and other resources;
Pipestone’s ability to economically produce oil and gas from its
properties and the timing and cost to do so; the performance of
both new and existing wells; future cash flows from production;
future sources of funding for Pipestone’s capital program, and its
ability to obtain external financing when required and on
acceptable terms; future debt levels; geological and engineering
estimates in respect of Pipestone’s reserves and other resources;
the accuracy of geological and geophysical data and the
interpretation thereof; the geography of the areas in which
Pipestone conducts exploration and development activities; the
timely receipt of required regulatory approvals; the access,
economic, regulatory and physical limitations to which Pipestone
may be subject from time to time; and the impact of industry
competition.
The forward-looking statements contained herein
reflect management's current views, but the assessments and
assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect.
Although Pipestone believes that its underlying assessments and
assumptions are reasonable based on currently available
information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the
accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both
general and specific, many of which are beyond Pipestone’s control,
that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from
those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements.
Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to,
volatility in market prices and demand for oil, NGLs and natural
gas and hedging activities related thereto; the ability to
successfully integrate Blackbird’s and Pipestone Oil’s historical
businesses and operations; general economic, business and industry
conditions; variance of Pipestone’s actual capital costs, operating
costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the ability to
find, develop or acquire additional reserves and the availability
of the capital or financing necessary to do so on satisfactory
terms; and the availability of sufficient natural gas processing
capacity; and risks related to the exploration, development and
production of oil and natural gas reserves and resources.
Additional risks, uncertainties and other factors are discussed in
the MD&A dated November 10, 2021 and in Pipestone’s annual
information form dated March 10, 2021, copies of which are
available electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Certain information in this news release is
“financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities
laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers
with disclosure of the company’s reasonable expectations of our
anticipate results. The financial outlook is provided as of the
date of this news release. Certain assumptions made underlying the
financial outlook are disclosed herein under “2022 Guidance &
Corporate Forecast Update”. Readers are cautioned that this
financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes. The
forward-looking statements contained in this news release are made
as of the date hereof and Pipestone assumes no obligation to update
or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by
applicable securities laws. All forward-looking statements herein
are expressly qualified by this advisory.
Initial Production Rates and Short-Term
Test Rates
This document may disclose test rates of
production for certain wells over short periods of time (i.e.
IP90), which are preliminary and not determinative of the rates at
which those or any other wells will commence production and
thereafter decline. Short-term test rates are not necessarily
indicative of long-term well or reservoir performance or of
ultimate recovery. Although such rates are useful in confirming the
presence of hydrocarbons, they are preliminary in nature, are
subject to a high degree of predictive uncertainty as a result of
limited data availability and may not be representative of
stabilized on-stream production rates.
Production over a longer period will also
experience natural decline rates, which can be high in the Montney
play and may not be consistent over the longer term with the
decline experienced over an initial production period. Initial
production or test rates may also include recovered “load” fluids
used in well completion stimulation operations. Actual results will
differ from those realized during an initial production period or
short-term test period, and the difference may be material.
Oil and Gas Measures
Basis of Barrel of Oil Equivalent
Petroleum and natural gas reserves and
production volumes are stated as a “barrel of oil equivalent”
(boe), derived by converting natural gas to oil equivalency in the
ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. Readers are
cautioned that boe figures may be misleading, particularly if used
in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to
one barrel of oil is based on energy equivalency, which is
primarily applicable at the burner tip, and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead.
CGR
Any references herein to “CGR” mean
condensate/gas ratio and is expressed as a volume of condensate
(expressed in barrels) per million cubic feet (mmcf) of natural
gas.
DCE&T
This news release contains reference to
DCE&T (drilling, completion, equip and tie-in costs), which
does not have a standardized meaning or standard method of
calculation and therefore such measure may not be comparable to
similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to
make comparisons. This metric has been included herein to provide
readers with an additional measure to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, this measure is not a reliable indicator of
the future performance and future performance may not compare to
the performance in previous periods and therefore such a metric
should not be unduly relied upon. DCE&T includes all capital
spent to drill, complete, equip and tie-in a well.
F&D costs
The calculation of F&D costs includes all
exploration and development capital for the year plus the change in
future development capital for the year. This total capital
including the change in future development capital is divided by
the change in reserves for the year.
Recycle Ratio
Recycle Ratio is measured by dividing the
Operating Netback, excluding realized hedging impacts, by the
F&D cost per boe for the year.
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