CALGARY,
AB, March 8, 2023 /CNW/ - Surge Energy Inc.
("Surge", "SGY", or the "Company") (TSX: SGY) is pleased to
announce its financial and operating results for the quarter and
year ended December 31, 2022; its
year end 2022 reserves as independently evaluated by Sproule
Associates Limited ("Sproule"); and a new Total Proven Plus
Probable ("TPP") net asset value1 ("NAV") of
$22.37 per share.
Surge's new year end 2022 Proved Developed Producing ("PDP")
NAV1 per share increased 107 percent from $3.51 per share on December 31, 2021, to $7.28 per share as independently evaluated by
Sproule.
The Company's 2022 financial and operating results contained
herein include only 12 days of operating and financial contribution
from Surge's strategic, core area, crude oil acquisition of 3,850
boepd (99 percent liquids) (the "Acquisition") from Enerplus Corp.,
which closed on December 19, 2022 for
a net purchase price of $198 million
(after interim adjustments).
SURGE ENERGY: RECORD PERFORMANCE IN 2022
During 2022 Surge delivered a total shareholder return ("TSR")
of 112 percent (share capital appreciation plus dividend),
exceeding the Capped Energy Index TSR by 110
percent2.
The Company's following operating and financial results are set
forth below:
- delivered record cash flow from operating activities in 2022 of
$276.1 million, an increase of 175
percent as compared to 2021 cash flow from operating activities of
$100.5 million;
- increased the Company's adjusted funds flow3 ("AFF")
by over 190 percent, from $100.4
million in 2021 to $293.6
million in 2022;
- achieved average daily production of 21,262 boepd (85 percent
liquids) in 2022, a 21 percent increase as compared to production
of 17,642 boepd (84 percent liquids) in 2021;
- increased the Company's cash flow from operating activities per
share by 78 percent from $1.83 in
2021 to $3.26 in 2022;
- delivered an increase in operating netbacks3 of
nearly 100 percent, from $21.84 per
boe in 2021 to $43.47 per boe in
2022;
- reinstituted Surge's annual base cash dividend, as announced on
June 15, 2022 at $0.42 per share per year;
- completed the strategic Acquisition of core area, light and
medium gravity crude oil production (3,850 boepd; 99 percent oil),
with an internally estimated 12 percent decline1, for a net
purchase price of $198 million which
closed on December 19, 2022;
- announced an increase of 14 percent to Surge's annual base cash
dividend, in conjunction with the closing of the Acquisition, from
$0.42 per share per year to
$0.48 per share per year – effective
February 15, 2023;
- completed a highly successful, upsized, oversubscribed
$80 million common share equity
offering with a syndicate of 10 underwriters in conjunction with
the Acquisition;
- reported a new Frobisher light
oil pool extension discovery at Steelman,
Saskatchewan, which added more than 40 highly
economic4 internally estimated locations to Surge's
large light oil drilling location inventory in its SE Saskatchewan core area; and
- continued to grow the Company's Sparky core area, increasing
Surge's medium gravity (average 25°API) crude oil production to
more than 10,500 boepd (85 percent liquids) today, up over 775
percent from 1,200 boepd eight years ago.
2022 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
Highlights from the Company's Q4/22 and year end 2022 financial
report and operations include:
- a very successful 2022 drilling program of 83 gross (69.1 net)
wells, with activity strategically focused to medium and light
gravity crude oil in the Company's conventional Sparky and
SE Saskatchewan core areas;
- continued the Company's focus on ESG efforts, highlighted by
spending a total of $11.2 million on
abandonment activities during the year. This resulted in Surge
abandoning 139 gross wells during 2022, representing 2 wells
abandoned for each new net well drilled in 2022. These operations
were funded using a combination of cash flow from operating
activities, as well as grants received through the Alberta Site
Rehabilitation Program and the Saskatchewan Accelerated Site
Closure Program;
- replaced and replenished over 200 percent of the wells drilled
by the Company in 2022 through a combination of organic drilling
inventory additions via strategic land acquisition programs, as
well as the Acquisition;
- delivered Q4/22 cash flow from operating activities of
$79.0 million and adjusted funds flow
of $71.8 million, increases of over
57 percent and 66 percent, respectively, as compared to Q4/21;
and
- increased Q4/22 cash flow from operating activities per share
by 43 percent, from $0.63 per share
in Q4/21 to $0.90 per share in
Q4/22.
2022 YEAR END RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS
With Surge's December 31, 2022
Sproule reserve report, the Company delivered the following
results, using Sproule's 2022YE price deck that averages
approximately US$83 WTI per barrel
crude oil over the first five years:
- Surge's PDP NAV per basic share increased 107 percent in 2022
from $3.51 per share on December 31, 2021, to $7.28 per share on December 31, 2022;
- a TPP NAV of $22.37 per basic
share, and a Total Proved ("TP") NAV of $13.73 per basic share;
- a PDP Finding & Development ("F&D")1 cost of
$22.08/boe, including changes in
future development costs ("FDC"), resulting in a 2.54x PDP Recycle
Ratio1 on a 2022 average operating netback (before realized losses
on financial contracts) of $56.12/boe;
- a PDP Finding, Development & Acquisition ("FD&A")1 cost
of $21.95/boe, resulting in a 2.56x
Recycle Ratio on a 2022 operating netback (before realized losses
on financial contracts) of $56.12/boe;
- organically replaced 99 percent of production on PDP, and 103
percent of production on TPP;
- replaced 223 percent of production on PDP, and 323 percent of
production on TPP, including acquisitions and dispositions;
- FDC on a TP basis increased to $846
million ($670 million at
year-end 2021) and on a TPP basis, increased to $1,075 million ($832
million at year-end 2021). The increase in FDC is
attributable to inflationary pressures consistent with industry
averages, and acquisitions and dispositions; and
- strong reserve life index1 of 9.3 years on TP reserves, and
13.4 years on TPP reserves.
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
FINANCIAL AND
OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
|
Three Months Ended
December 31,
|
Years Ended December
31,
|
($000s except per
share amounts)
|
2022
|
2021
|
%
Change
|
2022
|
2021
|
%
Change
|
Financial
highlights
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil sales
|
152,465
|
131,019
|
16 %
|
672,862
|
374,658
|
80 %
|
NGL sales
|
3,871
|
3,846
|
1 %
|
16,783
|
10,283
|
63 %
|
Natural gas
sales
|
9,472
|
8,516
|
11 %
|
37,583
|
25,122
|
50 %
|
Total oil, natural gas,
and NGL revenue
|
165,808
|
143,381
|
16 %
|
727,228
|
410,063
|
77 %
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
78,975
|
50,417
|
57 %
|
276,125
|
100,484
|
175 %
|
Per share - basic
($)
|
0.90
|
0.63
|
43 %
|
3.26
|
1.83
|
78 %
|
Per share diluted
($)
|
0.88
|
0.63
|
40 %
|
3.17
|
1.79
|
77 %
|
Adjusted funds
flowa
|
71,807
|
43,320
|
66 %
|
293,555
|
100,438
|
192 %
|
Per share - basic
($)a
|
0.82
|
0.55
|
49 %
|
3.47
|
1.83
|
90 %
|
Per share diluted
($)
|
0.80
|
0.54
|
48 %
|
3.37
|
1.79
|
88 %
|
Net
incomeb
|
103,502
|
42,868
|
141 %
|
231,718
|
407,608
|
(43) %
|
Per share basic
($)
|
1.17
|
0.54
|
117 %
|
2.74
|
7.42
|
(63) %
|
Per share diluted
($)
|
1.15
|
0.53
|
117 %
|
2.66
|
7.28
|
(63) %
|
Expenditures on
property, plant and equipment
|
47,728
|
22,456
|
113 %
|
169,944
|
103,786
|
64 %
|
Net acquisitions and
dispositions
|
200,302
|
78,004
|
157 %
|
200,270
|
65,413
|
206 %
|
Net capital
expenditures
|
248,030
|
100,460
|
147 %
|
370,214
|
169,199
|
119 %
|
Net debta,
end of period
|
352,213
|
331,434
|
6 %
|
352,213
|
331,434
|
6 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
highlights
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil (bbls per
day)
|
18,127
|
17,192
|
5 %
|
17,413
|
14,280
|
22 %
|
NGLs (bbls per
day)
|
695
|
720
|
(3) %
|
708
|
600
|
18 %
|
Natural gas (mcf per
day)
|
19,647
|
19,503
|
1 %
|
18,844
|
16,571
|
14 %
|
Total (boe per day)
(6:1)
|
22,097
|
21,163
|
4 %
|
21,262
|
17,642
|
21 %
|
Average realized price
(excluding hedges):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil ($ per
bbl)
|
91.43
|
82.84
|
10 %
|
105.87
|
71.88
|
47 %
|
NGL ($ per
bbl)
|
60.51
|
58.10
|
4 %
|
64.96
|
46.95
|
38 %
|
Natural gas ($ per
mcf)
|
5.24
|
4.75
|
10 %
|
5.46
|
4.15
|
32 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Netback ($ per
boe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenue
|
81.56
|
73.65
|
11 %
|
93.71
|
63.68
|
47 %
|
Realized loss on
commodity and FX contracts
|
(4.71)
|
(15.95)
|
(70) %
|
(12.65)
|
(14.29)
|
(11) %
|
Royalties
|
(13.50)
|
(12.03)
|
12 %
|
(16.44)
|
(9.08)
|
81 %
|
Net operating
expensesa
|
(20.98)
|
(16.91)
|
24 %
|
(19.70)
|
(17.37)
|
13 %
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(1.40)
|
(1.27)
|
10 %
|
(1.45)
|
(1.10)
|
32 %
|
Operating
netbacka
|
40.97
|
27.49
|
49 %
|
43.47
|
21.84
|
99 %
|
G&A
expense
|
(2.06)
|
(2.00)
|
3 %
|
(2.14)
|
(2.06)
|
4 %
|
Interest
expense
|
(3.59)
|
(3.24)
|
11 %
|
(3.50)
|
(4.19)
|
(16) %
|
Adjusted funds
flowa
|
35.32
|
22.25
|
59 %
|
37.83
|
15.59
|
143 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common shares
outstanding, end of period
|
96,477
|
83,357
|
16 %
|
96,477
|
83,357
|
16 %
|
Weighted average basic
shares outstanding
|
88,094
|
79,469
|
11 %
|
84,619
|
54,931
|
54 %
|
Stock based
compensation dilution
|
2,097
|
1,108
|
89 %
|
2,404
|
1,061
|
127 %
|
Weighted average
diluted shares outstanding
|
90,191
|
80,577
|
12 %
|
87,023
|
55,992
|
55 %
|
a) This is a
non-GAAP and other financial measure which is defined in the
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures section of this
document.
|
b) The three
and twelve months ended December 31, 2021 includes non-cash
impairment reversals of $9.8 million and $333.5 million,
respectively.
|
2022 YEAR-END RESERVES
The Company's reserves were independently evaluated by Sproule
in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101") effective
December 31, 2022. Surge's Annual
Information Form (the "AIF") for the year ended December 31, 2022 contains Surge's reserves data
and other oil and natural gas information as mandated by NI
51-101.
The following tables summarize Surge's working interest oil,
natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves and the net present
values ("NPV") of future net revenue for these reserves (before
taxes) using forecast prices and costs as evaluated in the Sproule
reserves report. The evaluation is based on Sproule's forecast
pricing and exchange rates at December 31,
2022 which is available on their website www.sproule.com.
All references to reserves in this release are to gross Company
reserves, meaning Surge's working interest reserves before
deductions of royalties and before consideration of the Company's
royalty interests. The amounts in the tables may not add due to
rounding.
RESERVES SUMMARY AND NET PRESENT VALUE
Gross
Reserves(a)
|
Crude Oil and
NGLs
(Mbbl)(b)
|
Natural
Gas
(MMcf)(c)
|
Oil Equivalent
Total Reserves
(Mboe)
|
Before Tax NPV of
Future Net
Revenue(d) Discounted at
|
5%
($MM)
|
10%
($MM)
|
15%
($MM)
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved
Producing
|
39,070
|
33,053
|
44,579
|
1,179
|
1,054
|
947
|
|
Proved
Non-Producing
|
1,509
|
1,013
|
1,678
|
48
|
40
|
35
|
|
Proved
Undeveloped
|
32,518
|
35,762
|
38,478
|
776
|
581
|
446
|
Total
Proved
|
73,097
|
69,828
|
84,735
|
2,003
|
1,676
|
1,429
|
|
Probable
|
32,702
|
31,400
|
37,935
|
1,126
|
835
|
651
|
Total Proved Plus
Probable
|
105,799
|
101,229
|
122,670
|
3,130
|
2,511
|
2,080
|
a) Amounts may
not add due to rounding.
|
b) Includes
light, medium, heavy and natural gas liquids.
|
c) Includes
non-associated and natural gas, solution gas and coal bed
methane.
|
d) Total ADR
(Abandonment, Decommissioning, Reclamation) is included in the
reserves report, as it is best practice stated in the COGE
Handbook.
|
FUTURE DEVELOPMENT CAPITAL ("FDC")
|
|
Total
Proved
|
Total Proved
Plus Probable
|
|
|
($MM)
|
($MM)
|
2023
|
|
126
|
153
|
2024
|
|
220
|
239
|
2025
|
|
200
|
232
|
2026
|
|
153
|
223
|
2027
|
|
103
|
163
|
Remaining
|
|
44
|
67
|
Total
(Undiscounted)
|
|
846
|
1,077
|
Total (Discounted at
10%)
|
|
667
|
829
|
F&D AND FD&A COSTS
|
2022
|
3-Year
Average
|
F&D Costs,
including total change in FDC (a)
Proved Developed
Producing
|
$22.08
|
$20.24
|
Total Proved
|
$45.58
|
$24.80
|
Total Proved +
Probable
|
$42.59
|
$30.99
|
FD&A Costs,
including total change in FDC (b)
Proved Developed
Producing
|
$21.95
|
$22.79
|
Total Proved
|
$28.25
|
$26.40
|
Total Proved +
Probable
|
$24.50
|
$28.69
|
a) 2022 FDC costs
calculated using capital of $170 million plus changes in FDC of
$102 million (TP) and $169 million (TPP)
|
b) 2022 FDC costs
calculated using capital of $370 million plus changes in FDC of
$176 million (TP) and $243 million (TPP)
|
NET ASSET VALUE
|
PDP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
Reserve Value NPV10 BT
($mm)
|
1,055
|
1,676
|
2,511
|
|
Net Debt
($mm)
|
(352)
|
(352)
|
(352)
|
|
Total Net Assets
($mm)
|
703
|
1,324
|
2,159
|
|
Basic Shares
Outstanding (mm)
|
96.5
|
96.5
|
96.5
|
|
Estimated NAV per Basic
Share ($/share)
|
7.28
|
13.72
|
22.37
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SUMMARY OF PRICING AND INFLATION RATE ASSUMPTIONS
As
at December 31, 2022
|
|
Canadian
Light
|
Western
Canada
|
Natural
Gas
|
|
|
WTI
|
Sweet
Crude
|
Select (WCS)
Crude
|
AECO-C
|
Exchange
Rate
|
Sproule
|
Cushing,
Oklahoma
|
40°
API
|
20.5
API
|
Spot
|
Forecast(a)
|
($US/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/mmbtu)
|
($US/$Cdn)
|
Year
|
2022
|
2021
|
2022
|
2021
|
2022
|
2021
|
2022
|
2021
|
2022
|
2021
|
Forecast
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2023
|
$86.00
|
$70.00
|
$110.67
|
$82.40
|
$88.00
|
$71.56
|
$4.33
|
$3.36
|
0.750
|
0.8
|
2024
|
$84.00
|
$68.00
|
$101.25
|
$79.80
|
$89.38
|
$68.74
|
$4.34
|
$3.02
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2025
|
$80.00
|
$69.36
|
$96.18
|
$81.39
|
$84.06
|
$70.12
|
$4.00
|
$3.08
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2026
|
$81.60
|
$70.75
|
$98.10
|
$83.02
|
$85.74
|
$71.52
|
$4.08
|
$3.14
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2027
|
$83.23
|
$72.16
|
$100.06
|
$84.68
|
$87.46
|
$72.95
|
$4.16
|
$3.21
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2028
|
$84.90
|
$73.61
|
$102.06
|
$86.38
|
$89.21
|
$74.41
|
$4.24
|
$3.27
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2029
|
$86.59
|
$75.08
|
$104.10
|
$88.10
|
$90.99
|
$75.90
|
$4.33
|
$3.34
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2030
|
$88.33
|
$76.58
|
$106.18
|
$89.87
|
$92.81
|
$77.42
|
$4.42
|
$3.40
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2031
|
$90.09
|
$78.11
|
$108.31
|
$91.66
|
$94.67
|
$78.96
|
$4.50
|
$3.47
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
2032
|
$91.89
|
$79.67
|
$110.47
|
$93.50
|
$96.56
|
$80.54
|
$4.59
|
$3.54
|
0.800
|
0.8
|
a) Prices
escalate at two percent after 2033, with the exception of foreign
exchange which stays flat.
|
OPERATIONS UPDATE
In 2022 Surge successfully drilled a total of 83 gross (69.1
net) wells, spending a total of $169.9
million including expenditures on property, facilities, and
equipment. The Company focused drilling operations primarily on its
medium and light gravity crude oil assets in Sparky core area and
SE Saskatchewan. Through the
Acquisition, as well as organic land additions, Surge replaced over
200 percent of the wells drilled by the Company in 2022, growing
its internal corporate drilling inventory to more than 1,150 gross
(1,050 net) locations, representing a 13 year drilling
inventory4.
As previously announced, in Q2/22 Surge was successful at a
highly competitive Saskatchewan Crown Land Sale in the Steelman area, which added more than 40 net
internally estimated4, light oil Frobisher drilling locations to the Company's
inventory. As part of the Company's 2H/22 drilling program in
SE Saskatchewan, 6 gross (6 net)
horizontal Frobisher wells were
drilled on the newly acquired lands. All 6 of these wells are
currently on production and are exceeding internal type curve
expectations with average 30 day initial production rates of more
than 450 boepd (86% light oil) per well, versus an internal type
curve expectation of 250 boepd per well. Each of the 6 wells had a
pay out of less than 11 weeks (at an average WTI price of
US$85/bbl from August to December 2022) demonstrating the strong economics
associated with Surge's large development drilling
inventory4 in SE
Saskatchewan.
At the Company's Sparky core area, current production is now
exceeding 10,500 boepd (>85 percent liquids; 25° API average oil
quality) for the first time in the Company's history, up over 775
percent from 1,200 boepd eight years ago. Surge has a 12 year
Sparky drilling inventory of more than 480 internally estimated
locations4, as well as further waterflood upside.
In addition to adding the low, 12 percent decline, waterflooded
assets through the Acquisition, Surge has continued to
strategically pursue waterfloods in both its Sparky and
SE Saskatchewan core areas, as
well as at Sawn Lake. In 2022 Surge converted 8 wells to water
injection in the Sparky core area, 1 well to injection at its
Midale oil pool at Steelman, Saskatchewan, and 3 wells to
injection in the Company's Slave Point pool at Sawn Lake in
northern Alberta. The continued
pursuit of waterflood with the conversion of wells to water
injection in the Company's core areas helps lower declines,
improves recovery factors, and adds to the sustainability of
Surge's dividend plus modest growth business model.
Surge has continued the Company's operational momentum into
early 2023, with two drilling rigs active in its Sparky and
SE Saskatchewan core areas. Surge
plans to drill 67 net wells in 2023, comprised of 37 net Sparky
wells, and 30 net SE Saskatchewan
wells.
On this basis, the Company commenced Surge's winter drilling
program in December of 2022, and has now completed the drilling of
10 net Sparky locations and 8 net wells in SE Saskatchewan. All wells from both the Q1/23
Sparky and SE Saskatchewan
drilling programs are anticipated to be completed and on production
prior to March 31, 2023.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE
Surge's 2021 Sustainability Report was published Q4 2022 and can
be found on the company's website. Surge's 2022 Sustainability
Report is expected to be published in Q3 2023.
Surge continues to focus on its operational footprint,
particularly with respect to emissions related to our production
operations. Further to Surge's $11.2
million 2022 ARO program, Surge continued to deploy capital
focused on the reduction and conservation of associated
emissions. Surge's emission reduction budget of $2 million included tie in of two multiwell
batteries, vent reduction projects, flare repair, as well as the
installation of vapor recovery units. These projects have
served to reduce Surge's corporate Scope 1 emissions by
approximately 10 percent. Surge Management and Board are
proud to showcase these achievements as demonstrations of projects
that are both environmentally responsible and also economically
beneficial to Surge stakeholders.
Surge also continued our commitment to abandonment and
reclamation work. During 2022, Surge expanded its focus beyond
downhole abandonments and undertook extensive pipeline
abandonments. Surge engaged a host of different vendors for this
project, which supported the communities we operate in throughout
the year. In total, during 2022, Surge abandoned over 290 km of
pipeline, completed 139 downhole abandonments, and spent
$11.2 million in its overall
abandonment and reclamation activities.
Furthermore, the Company was awarded the United Way's "Award of
Excellence" in the under 250 employee category. This award
recognizes outstanding and innovative United Way campaigns that
make Calgary a resilient and
caring community. Surge is committed to continue our award-winning
programs and partnerships that benefit our local communities.
Surge is a leader and trusted steward in the responsible
development of Canadian resources. Through sustainable asset
development and continuous engagement with stakeholders, the
Company is dedicated to creating value for current and future
generations.
OUTLOOK: POSITIONED FOR SUCCESS IN 2023 AND BEYOND
Management is excited regarding Surge's exposure to the
potential for rising crude oil prices in 2023.
Surge is now a 25,000 boepd (87 percent liquids) intermediate,
light and medium gravity crude oil producer, with over 1,050 net
internally estimated development drilling locations, providing a
estimated 13 year drilling inventory.
In 2022, Surge's AFF increased by 192 percent to $293.6 million from $100.4
million in 2021, and average production increased 21 percent
from 17,642 boepd in 2021 to 21,242 boepd in 2022. Further, Surge's
2022 AFF and average production results include only 12 days of
operational and financial contribution from the Company's highly
accretive Acquisition, which closed on December 19, 2022.
With more than 3.0 billion barrels of net (internally estimated)
original oil in place ("OOIP")1, a low 7.7 percent recovery factor
at year end 2022, and a dominant operational position in two of the
most economic[5] light and medium gravity crude oil plays in
Canada, Surge believes that the
Company is poised to deliver strong results both operationally and
financially in 2023 and beyond. In addition, with $1.44 billion in estimated tax pools, supporting
more than $160 million in forecast
free cash flow3 before dividends in 2023, Surge is well
positioned to deliver to its shareholders a combination of:
- continued net debt repayment (increasing Surge's NAV per
share);
- a sustainable, base monthly dividend;
- share buybacks;
- a modest production per share growth wedge; and
- potential for variable or special dividends.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS:
This press release contains forward-looking statements. The use
of any of the words "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect",
"may", "will", "project", "should", "believe" and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking
statements.
More particularly, this press release contains statements
concerning: Surge's declared focus and primary goals; Surge's
reserve life index, drilling inventory and locations, decline rates
and reserves; Surge's ongoing waterflood program; ; the timing of
bringing recently drilled wells onto production; the timing of
publication of Surge's 2022 Sustainability Report; the Company's
commitment to abandonment and reclamation work; the Company's
dedication to creating value for current and future generations;
Surge's belief that it is poised to deliver strong results
operationally and financially; the Company's expectation that it
will be positioned to deliver to its stakeholders a combination of:
continued net debt repayment (increasing Surge's NAV per share), a
sustainable, base monthly dividend; share buybacks; a modest
production growth wedge; and potential for variable or special
dividends.
The forward-looking statements are based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by Surge, including expectations
and assumptions the performance of existing wells and success
obtained in drilling new wells; anticipated expenses, cash flow and
capital expenditures; the application of regulatory and royalty
regimes; prevailing commodity prices and economic conditions;
development and completion activities; the performance of new
wells; the successful implementation of waterflood programs; the
availability of and performance of facilities and pipelines; the
geological characteristics of Surge's properties; the successful
application of drilling, completion and seismic technology; the
determination of decommissioning liabilities; prevailing weather
conditions; exchange rates; licensing requirements; the impact of
completed facilities on operating costs; the availability and costs
of capital, labour and services; and the creditworthiness of
industry partners.
Although Surge believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
statements because Surge can give no assurance that they will prove
to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future
events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent
risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially
from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and
risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with
the condition of the global economy, including trade, public health
(including the impact of COVID-19) and other geopolitical risks;
risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g.,
operational risks in development, exploration and production;
delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of
reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections
relating to production, costs and expenses, and health, safety and
environmental risks); commodity price and exchange rate
fluctuations and constraint in the availability of services,
adverse weather or break-up conditions; uncertainties resulting
from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; and
failure to obtain the continued support of the lenders under
Surge's bank line. Certain of these risks are set out in more
detail in Surge's AIF dated March 8,
2023 and in Surge's MD&A for the period ended
December 31, 2022, both of which have
been filed on SEDAR and can be accessed at www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release
are made as of the date hereof and Surge undertakes no obligation
to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Oil and Gas Advisories
The term "boe" means barrel of oil equivalent on the basis of 1
boe to 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas. Boe may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 1 boe
for 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
"Boe/d" and "boepd" mean barrel of oil equivalent per day. Bbl
means barrel of oil and "bopd" means barrels of oil per day.
NGLs means natural gas liquids.
This press release contains certain oil and gas metrics and
defined terms which do not have standardized meanings or standard
methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be
comparable to similar metrics/terms presented by other issuers and
may differ by definition and application. All oil and gas
metrics/terms used in this document are defined below:
Original Oil in Place ("OOIP") means Discovered Petroleum
Initially In Place ("DPIIP"). DPIIP is derived by Surge's internal
Qualified Reserve Evaluators ("QRE") and prepared in accordance
with National Instrument 51-101 and the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluations Handbook ("COGEH"). DPIIP, as defined in COGEH, is that
quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be
contained in known accumulations prior to production. The
recoverable portion of DPIIP includes production, reserves and
Resources Other Than Reserves (ROTR). OOIP/DPIIP and potential
recovery rate estimates are based on current recovery technologies.
There is significant uncertainty as to the ultimate recoverability
and commercial viability of any of the resource associated with
OOIP/DPIIP, and as such a recovery project cannot be defined for a
volume of OOIP/DPIIP at this time. "Internally estimated" means an
estimate that is derived by Surge's internal QRE's and prepared in
accordance with National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. All internal estimates
contained in this news release have been prepared effective as of
Jan 1, 2021.
Net Asset Value is calculated as reserve value discounted at 10%
on a BTax basis, less Surge's net debt at December 31, 2022 of $352.2 million and is divided by 96.5 million
basic shares.
Sproule's 2022YE reserves for the ERF Acquisition has a PDP
decline of 12 percent and a P+PDP decline of 9.6 percent.
PDP F&D (Finding & Development) is calculated on the
Capital spent for 2022 development of all properties (other than
those Acquired or Disposed of in 2022), divided by the sum of all
reserve additions other than those from Acquisitions &
Dispositions.
Recycle Ratio is equal to F&D divided by netback.
Finding, Development and Acquisition (FD&A) is the sum of
the Capital spent for 2022 development including Acquisition &
Divestiture properties, plus 2022 total Acquisition &
Disposition capital, plus the delta on Future Development Costs
(from 2021YE vs 2022YE), divided by the sum of all reserve
additions including those from Acquisitions & Dispositions.
Reserve Life Index is calculated as total Company share
reserves divided by Surge's estimated 2023 production (25,000
boe/d).
Drilling Inventory
This press release discloses drilling locations in two
categories: (i) booked locations; and (ii) unbooked locations.
Booked locations are proved locations and probable locations
derived from an internal evaluation using standard practices as
prescribed in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluations Handbook and
account for drilling locations that have associated proved and/or
probable reserves, as applicable.
Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on prospective
acreage and assumptions as to the number of wells that can be
drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review.
Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources.
Unbooked locations have been identified by Surge's internal
certified Engineers and Geologists (who are also Qualified Reserve
Evaluators) as an estimation of our multi-year drilling activities
based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering,
production and reserves information. There is no certainty that the
Company will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled
there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional
oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling
locations on which the Company actually drills wells will
ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory
approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices,
costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information
that is obtained and other factors. While certain of the unbooked
drilling locations have been de-risked by drilling existing wells
in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations,
the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away
from existing wells where management has less information about the
characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more
uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if
drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in
additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.
Assuming a Jan 1, 2023 reference
date, the Company will have over >1,150 gross (>1,050 net)
drilling locations identified herein; of these >625 gross
(>575 net) are unbooked locations. Of the 489 net booked
locations identified herein, 366 net are Proved locations and 122
net are Probable locations based on Sproule's 2022YE reserves.
Assuming an average number of wells drilled per year of 80, Surge's
>1,050 net locations provide 13 years of drilling.
Assuming a Jan 1, 2023 reference
date, the Company will have over >480 gross (>480 net)
Sparky Core area drilling locations
identified herein; of these >300 gross (>300 net) are
unbooked locations. Of the 182 net booked locations identified
herein, 126 net are Proved locations and 56 net are Probable
locations based on Sproule's 2022YE reserves. Assuming an average
number of wells drilled per year of 40, Surge's >480 net
locations provide >12 years of drilling.
Assuming a Jan 1, 2023 reference
date, the Company will have over >325 gross (>275 net) SE
Sask drilling locations identified herein; of these >140 gross
(>120 net) are unbooked locations. Of the 154 net booked
locations identified herein, 105 net are Proved locations and 49
net are Probable locations based on Sproule's 2022YE reserves.
Assuming an average number of wells drilled per year of 40,
Surge's >275 net locations provide ~7 years of drilling.
Assuming a subset of SE Sask inventory, and a Jan 1, 2023 reference date, the Company will have
over >190 gross (>160 net) SE Sask Frobisher drilling
locations identified herein; of these >80 gross (>75 net) are
unbooked locations. Of the 89 net booked locations identified
herein, 56 net are Proved locations and 33 net are Probable
locations based on Sproule's 2022YE reserves.
Surge's internally used type curves were constructed using a
representative, factual and balanced analog data set, as of
January 1, 2022. All locations were
risked appropriately, and EUR's were measured against OOIP
estimates to ensure a reasonable recovery factor was being achieved
based on the respective spacing assumption. Other assumptions, such
as capital, operating expenses, wellhead offsets, land
encumbrances, working interests and NGL yields were all reviewed,
updated and accounted for on a well by well basis by Surge's
Qualifies Reserve Evaluators. All type curves fully comply
with Part 5.8 of the Companion Policy 51 – 101CP.
Surge's average internal Frobisher type curve (Steelman land sale) economics have a payout of
~3.5 months @ US$75/bbl WTI
(C$95 LSB) and are supported by
>125 internally evaluated Frobisher locations by Surge's Qualified
Reserve Evaluators, with average metrics of: ~$1.4 MM per well capital, ~240 boe/d IP30 per
well and ~82 mboe (73 mbbl Oil + NGL's) Estimated Ultimate
Recoverable reserves per well).
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
This press release includes references to non-GAAP and other
financial measures used by the Company to evaluate its financial
performance, financial position or cash flow. These specified
financial measures include non-GAAP financial measures and non-GAAP
ratios, are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as
non-GAAP and other financial measures. Certain secondary financial
measures in this press release – namely, "adjusted funds flow",
"adjusted funds flow per share", "adjusted funds flow per boe",
"free cash flow", "net debt", "net operating expenses", and
"operating netback" are not prescribed by GAAP. These non-GAAP and
other financial measures are included because management uses the
information to analyze business performance, cash flow generated
from the business, leverage and liquidity, resulting from the
Company's principal business activities and it may be useful to
investors on the same basis. None of these measures are used to
enhance the Company's reported financial performance or position.
The non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore are unlikely
to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers.
They are common in the reports of other companies but may differ by
definition and application. All non-GAAP and other financial
measures used in this document are defined below, and as
applicable, reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP
measure for the year ended December 31,
2022, have been provided to demonstrate the calculation of
these measures:
Adjusted Funds Flow & Adjusted Funds Flow Per
Share
Adjusted funds flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. The Company
adjusts cash flow from operating activities in calculating adjusted
funds flow for changes in non-cash working capital, decommissioning
expenditures, and cash settled transaction and other costs.
Management believes the timing of collection, payment or incurrence
of these items involves a high degree of discretion and as such may
not be useful for evaluating Surge's cash flows.
Changes in non-cash working capital are a result of the timing
of cash flows related to accounts receivable and accounts payable,
which management believes reduces comparability between periods.
Management views decommissioning expenditures predominately as a
discretionary allocation of capital, with flexibility to determine
the size and timing of decommissioning programs to achieve greater
capital efficiencies and as such, costs may vary between periods.
Transaction and other costs represent expenditures associated with
property acquisitions and dispositions, debt restructuring and
employee severance costs, which management believes do not reflect
the ongoing cash flows of the business, and as such reduces
comparability. Each of these expenditures, due to their nature, are
not considered principal business activities and vary between
periods, which management believes reduces comparability.
Adjusted funds flow per share is a non-GAAP ratio, calculated
using the same weighted average basic and diluted shares used in
calculating income per share.
The following table reconciles cash flow from operating
activities to adjusted funds flow and adjusted funds flow per
share:
|
Three Months Ended
December 31,
|
Years Ended December
31,
|
($000s except per
share amounts)
|
2022
|
2021
|
2022
|
2021
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
78,975
|
50,417
|
276,125
|
100,484
|
Change in non-cash
working capital
|
(14,152)
|
(15,659)
|
4,271
|
(18,144)
|
Decommissioning
expenditures
|
2,367
|
2,089
|
7,895
|
6,738
|
Cash settled
transaction and other costs
|
4,617
|
6,473
|
5,264
|
11,360
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
$
71,807
|
$
43,320
|
$
293,555
|
$
100,438
|
Per share -
basic
|
$
0.82
|
$
0.55
|
$
3.47
|
$
1.83
|
Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated as
cash flow from operating activities less expenditures on property,
plant and equipment and dividends paid. Management uses free cash
flow to determine the amount of funds available to the Company for
future capital allocation decisions.
|
|
|
|
Years ended December
31,
|
($000s)
|
|
|
|
2022
|
2021
|
Less: expenditures on
property, plant and equipment
|
(169,944)
|
(103,786)
|
Free Cash
Flow
|
|
|
106,181
|
(3,302)
|
Net Debt
Net debt is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated as bank
debt, term debt, plus the liability component of the convertible
debentures plus current assets, less current liabilities, however,
excluding the fair value of financial contracts, decommissioning
obligations, and lease and other obligations. There is no
comparable measure in accordance with IFRS for net debt. This
metric is used by management to analyze the level of debt in the
Company including the impact of working capital, which varies with
the timing of settlement of these balances.
($000s)
|
As at Dec 31,
2022
|
As at Dec 31,
2021
|
Accounts
receivable
|
60,623
|
55,738
|
Prepaid expenses and
deposits
|
3,032
|
3,152
|
Accounts payable and
accrued liabilities
|
(93,373)
|
(84,330)
|
Dividends
payable
|
(3,375)
|
—
|
Bank debt
|
(30,597)
|
(98,066)
|
Net Bank
Debt
|
(63,690)
|
(123,506)
|
Term debt
|
(256,032)
|
(133,993)
|
Convertible
debentures
|
(32,491)
|
(73,935)
|
Net Debt
|
(352,213)
|
(331,434)
|
Net Operating Expenses
Net operating expenses is a non-GAAP financial measure,
determined by deducting processing income, primarily generated by
processing third party volumes at processing facilities where the
Company has an ownership interest. It is common in the industry to
earn third party processing revenue on facilities where the entity
has a working interest in the infrastructure asset. Under IFRS this
source of funds is required to be reported as revenue. However, the
Company's principal business is not that of a midstream entity
whose activities are dedicated to earning processing and other
infrastructure payments. Where the Company has excess capacity at
one of its facilities, it will look to process third party volumes
as a means to reduce the cost of operating/owning the facility. As
such, third party processing revenue is netted against operating
costs when analyzed by management.
|
|
|
|
Years ended December
31,
|
($000s)
|
|
|
|
2022
|
2021
|
Operating
expenses
|
|
|
160,133
|
116,413
|
Less: processing
income
|
|
|
(7,242)
|
(4,575)
|
Net operating
expenses
|
|
|
152,891
|
111,838
|
Operating Netback & Adjusted Funds Flow per boe
Operating netback is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated as
petroleum and natural gas revenue and processing and other income,
less royalties, realized gain (loss) on commodity and FX contracts,
operating expenses, and transportation expenses. Operating netback
per boe is calculated as operating netback divided by total barrels
of oil equivalent produced during a specific period of time. There
is no comparable measure in accordance with IFRS. This metric is
used by management to evaluate the Company's ability to generate
cash margin on a unit of production basis.
Operating Netback & Adjusted Funds Flow are Calculated on a
per unit basis as follows:
Neither the TSX nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts
responsibility for the adequacy
or accuracy of this release.
_________________
|
1 See Oil
and Gas Advisories section of the Forward Looking
Statements.
|
2 As
reported by FactSet Research Systems Inc; comparing the TSR of SGY
at 112 percent versus XEG at 53 percent from January 1, 2022
through December 31, 2022.
|
3 This is a
non-GAAP and other financial measure which is defined in the
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures section of this
document.
|
4 See
Drilling Inventory section of the Forward Looking
Statements.
|
5 As per
Peters Oil & Gas Plays Update from Jan 9, 2023: North American
Oil and Natural Gas Plays – Half Cycle Payout Period. Note:
Sparky is represented as "Conventional Heavy Oil Hz" by
Peters.
|
SOURCE Surge Energy Inc.