Southern Pacific Resource Corp. ("Southern Pacific" or the
"Company") (TSX VENTURE: STP) is pleased to announce that after a
successful winter drilling program and further technical evaluation
of its oil sands lands in McKay, Alberta, the estimate of the gross
Probable ("2P") recoverable bitumen reserves has increased by 149%
to 168.1 million barrels (MMbbl). This equates to a net present
value before tax of $368 million (discounted at 10%). Additionally,
116.7 MMbbl of recoverable bitumen has been assigned to the gross
Best ("P50") Estimate contingent resources category. These numbers
come from report by GLJ Petroleum Consultants of Calgary ("GLJ"),
effective March 15, 2010, incorporating the past winter's 21 new
coreholes drilled in the McKay area, plus all of the technical data
and studies collected and analyzed over the past three winters.
The reserves, resources and values presented in this release
represent a 100% working interest. Southern Pacific's interest in
these lands is currently 80%. As announced on March 19, 2010, the
Company's acquisition of the remaining 20% interest is expected to
close on June 1, 2010. This will result in Southern Pacific owning
an undivided 100% working interest in its McKay lands.
The following table summarizes the results from the completed
report of the Company's McKay lands:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
100%
Working Net Present Value before tax
Exploitable Interest (Cdn $ million)
Bitumen in Recoverable -----------------------------
Place (MMbbl) 8% 10% 12%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reserves
Probable Reserves (2P) 345.5 168.1 $576 $368 $225
Probable + Possible
Undeveloped (3P) 379.3 186.9 $764 $509 $336
Contingent Resources
Low Estimate (P90)
Contingent Resource 443.9 161.1 $417 $232 $106
Best Estimate (P50)
Contingent Resource 362.7 116.7 $409 $271 $176
High Estimate (P10)
Contingent Resource 345.5 377.2 $1,256 $862 $591
Total 2P Reserves + Best
(P90) Estimate Contingent 708.2 284.8 $985 $639 $401
Total 3P Reserves + High
(P10) Estimate
Contingent 1012.5 493.9 $2,021 $1,370 $927
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It should be noted that reserves and contingent resources
involve different risks associated with achieving commerciality.
There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to
produce any portion of the contingent resources. Please refer to
the attached reserve and resource definitions and Safe-harbour
discussion of risks.
Additions and Revisions
The reserves report incorporates all of the drilling and
technical data recovered from STP's McKay lands up to and including
the most recent corehole drilling program completed in March 2010.
This past winter's program totalled 21 coreholes, 11 of which were
drilled inside the 10.5-section STP-McKay project, and the
remaining 10 wells were drilled on the acreage outside the current
project area, particularly in the south McKay block. The Company
has now drilled a total 52 coreholes within the STP-McKay project
area, and 22 coreholes on the remaining McKay lands. These wells,
coupled with the drilling results from the past few years on
surrounding offset land, have demonstrated a significant
exploitable bitumen trend in the McKay area. In addition to the
further delineation of the project area, additional contingent
resources were identified on the Company's south block from which
the Company expects to pursue plans for development.
In addition to recognizing more bitumen in place on the Company
lands in McKay, the recovery factors from the McMurray formation
have also been increased. This is in recognition of the reservoir
quality, offset analog performance and the recognition of infill
horizontal wells as a demonstrated technology that has always been
in the STP-McKay project development plan and application. On
average, an overall recovery factor of 49.1% was assigned to the 2P
category and a 60.1% recovery factor to the 3P category. The steam
oil ratios for the reserve categories were determined to be 2.9 and
2.7 for the 2P and 3P cases respectively.
Production Forecasts
The 2P reserves result in a project life of 50 years, the
maximum allowable life from which reserves can be booked. A maximum
rate of 11,400 bbl/d (12,000 bbl/d with a 95% load factor) would be
achievable in the third producing year (2015) and would be expected
to be stable for the following 28 years. The best (P50) estimate of
contingent resources are quantities of bitumen that are either
outside or inside the project area, but cannot be processed through
the applied for project permit because of the application
constraints (project area and/or throughput). The technical
criteria are very similar between 2P reserves and P50 contingent
resources, the difference being that contingent resources require a
new application, and then an expansion or a new facility. To
process the P50 contingent resources at McKay, an additional 10,000
bbl/d capacity must be applied for and constructed, which results
in a total 2P reserves plus P50 contingent plant capacity
requirement of 22,000 bbl/d.
The probable plus possible reserves (3P) are limited by a 50
year project life utilizing the facility design currently under
regulatory review. Similar to the 2P case, the maximum rate of
11,400 bbl/d would be achievable in the third producing year
(2015), and would be expected to be stable for the next 35 years.
The high (P10) estimate of contingent resources, again, are either
outside the project area, or cannot be processed through the
applied for facility due to application constraints. The technical
criteria are very similar between 3P reserves and P10 contingent
resources, the difference being the contingent resources require a
new application, and then expansion or a new facility. To process
the P10 contingent resources at McKay, a new project must be
applied for and constructed, which will result in a total 3P
reserves plus P10 contingent resources plant capacity requirement
of 40,000 bbl/d.
New Project Planning Commences
Based on the results of Southern Pacific's drilling program and
its ongoing technical review, the Company has begun planning for
its next SAGD oil sands project on its McKay block. Southern
Pacific currently has an application for a 12,000 bbl/d SAGD
project (STP-McKay) under regulatory review, with approval expected
in the fall of 2010. The next project is being planned to recover
the contingent resources on both the north and south blocks of the
Company's McKay leases. Initial plans are to size the facilities
for approximately 24,000 bbl/d of bitumen production, which may be
further divided into two 12,000 bbl/d facilities to take advantage
of the repeatable efficiency of projects this size. This new
project would make use of existing infrastructure being planned for
the STP-McKay project such as road access, pipelines and staff.
Southern Pacific is currently preparing to commence environmental
work this spring and summer and will begin scouting for adequate
surface locations to host facilities and well pads. A program to
acquire further the technical data required to finalize a project
application will also be planned for next winter.
Evaluation Of Additional Assets
Southern Pacific has engaged GLJ to continue with the evaluation
of the Company's other assets. GLJ has already commenced the
evaluation of Southern Pacific's SAGD heavy oil project in Senlac,
Saskatchewan. The Company's remaining oil sands leases will be
evaluated by GLJ for contingent resources shortly thereafter. GLJ
has had extensive experience in evaluating SAGD assets, in
particular around the Company's McKay lands to the north and south,
where a well established exploitable bitumen trend is being
delineated by Southern Pacific and other operators. The plan is to
complete all of these evaluations before Southern Pacific's fiscal
year end of June 30, 2010.
Conference Call
Southern Pacific has scheduled a conference call to discuss the
increase in its reserves and recent corporate developments. The
call is set for 9 a.m. Mountain Time (11 a.m. Eastern Time) on
Friday, March 26, 2010. To participate, please call 416-340-8530 or
877-240-9772. A presentation by Byron Lutes, President & CEO,
Southern Pacific, will be followed by a question and answer period.
If you are unable to participate, a taped broadcast will be
available until April 2, 2010. To access the replay, dial
416-695-5800 or 1-800-408-3053. The pass code is 6106870.
Readers' Advisory
Barrel of Oil Equivalent: Where amounts are expressed on a
barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") basis, natural gas volumes have
been converted to boe at a ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas
to one barrel of oil equivalent. This conversion ratio is based
upon an energy equivalent conversion method primarily applicable at
the burner tip and does not represent value equivalence at the
wellhead. Boe figures may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation.
Definitions
"Best (P50)" means the best estimate of the quantity that will
actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the
best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be
at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities
actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.
"Contingent Resources" means those quantities of petroleum
estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from
known accumulations using established technology or technology
under development, but which are not currently considered to be
commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies.
Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal,
environmental, political, and regulatory matters or a lack of
markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources
the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a
project in the early evaluation stage.
"High (P10)" means an optimistic estimate of the quantity that
will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If
probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10
percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered
will equal or exceed the high estimate.
"Low (P90)" means a conservative estimate of the quantity that
will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining
quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic
methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability
(P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed
the low estimate.
"Probable reserves" means those additional reserves that are
less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally
likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be
greater or less than the sum of the estimated Proved plus Probable
reserves.
"Possible reserves" means those additional reserves that are
less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. It is unlikely
that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum
of the estimated Proved plus Probable plus Possible reserves.
"Proved reserves" means those reserves that can be estimated
with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely
that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the
estimated Proved reserves.
Safe Harbour
This news release contains certain "forward-looking information"
within the meaning of such statements under applicable securities
law including estimates as to: future production, operations,
operating costs, commodity prices, administrative costs, commodity
price risk management activity, acquisitions and dispositions,
capital spending, access to credit facilities, income and oil
taxes, regulatory changes, and other components of cash flow and
earnings anticipated discovery of commercial volumes of bitumen,
the timeline for the achievement of anticipated exploration,
anticipated results from the current drilling program and, subject
to regulatory approval and commercial factors, the commencement or
approval of any SAGD project.
Forward-looking information is frequently characterized by words
such as "plan", "expect", "project", "intend", "believe",
"anticipate", "estimate", "may", "will", "potential", "proposed"
and other similar words, or statements that certain events or
conditions "may" or "will" occur. These statements are only
predictions. Forward-looking information is based on the opinions
and estimates of management at the date the statements are made,
and are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other
factors that could cause actual events or results to differ
materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
These factors include, but are not limited to, the ability to
complete the Acquisition on the proposed terms or at all, the
inherent risks involved in the exploration and development of
conventional oil and gas properties and of oil sands properties,
difficulties or delays in start-up operations, the uncertainties
involved in interpreting drilling results and other geological
data, fluctuating oil prices, the possibility of unanticipated
costs and expenses, uncertainties relating to the availability and
costs of financing needed in the future and other factors including
unforeseen delays. As an oil sands enterprise in the development
stage, with some conventional production Southern Pacific faces
risks including those associated with exploration, development,
start-up, approvals and the continuing ability to access sufficient
capital from external sources if required. Actual timelines
associated may vary from those anticipated in this news release and
such variations may be material. Industry related risks could
include, but are not limited to, operational risks in exploration,
development and production, delays or changes in plans, risks
associated to the uncertainty of reserve estimates, health and
safety risks and the uncertainty of estimates and projections of
production, costs and expenses. For a description of the risks and
uncertainties facing Southern Pacific and its business and affairs,
readers should refer to Southern Pacific's most recent Annual
Information Form. Southern Pacific undertakes no obligation to
update forward-looking statements if circumstances or management's
estimates or opinions should change, unless required by law.
The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on this
forward-looking information.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this release.
Contacts: Southern Pacific Resource Corp. Byron Lutes President
& CEO 403-269-1529 blutes@shpacific.com Southern Pacific
Resource Corp. Jeff Barefoot Vice President, Resource Development
403-269-1528 jbarefoot@shpacific.com www.shpacific.com
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