IC Potash to Advance Ochoa SOP Project on Positive Feasibility
Study Results
TORONTO, ON--(Marketwired - Jan 23, 2014) - IC Potash Corp.
(TSX: ICP) (OTCQX: ICPTF) -- Sidney Himmel, President and Chief
Executive Officer of IC Potash Corp. ("ICP" or the "Company"),
announced today the successful conclusion of an independent
feasibility study ("Study") for its 100%-owned sulphate of potash
("SOP") Ochoa Project ("Project") located in southeast New
Mexico. All dollar amounts in this press release are U.S.
dollars and all tons are short tons.
The Study projects an economically viable mining and processing
facility with the capacity and reserves to produce 714,400 tons of
SOP per year for a minimum of 50 years. The Study recommends
that the Company move to implementation by:
- Commencing engineering, procurement, and construction
management ("EPCM") activities;
- Completing environmental permitting; and
- Arranging Project financing.
The Study was prepared by a group of leading international
independent engineering, process design, and equipment supply
companies led by SNC-Lavalin Inc. ("SNC-Lavalin"). SNC-Lavalin
is a world leader in the consulting, design, engineering, and
construction of mining projects around the world, with specific
expertise in potash mining, processing, and distribution.
Mr. Sidney Himmel stated: "This feasibility study evaluated all
aspects of our plan to produce SOP from our polyhalite Mineral
Reserves. We are pleased with the technical validation of the
mining and processing design, and the resulting economic
characteristics. The Ochoa Project positions ICP to become a
world leader in SOP production and a bottom quartile cost SOP
producer. We intend to begin immediately with the next phases
of engineering and financing."
Financial Results
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Full Equity Basis (i.e. No Debt) |
|
Before Tax |
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After Tax |
Capital Cost |
|
$1,018 million |
|
$1,018 million |
Operating Cost Per Ton SOP at Steady State |
|
$195 |
|
$195 |
Internal Rate of ReturnA ("IRR") |
|
17.8% |
|
16.0% |
Net Present Value ("NPV"), 8% Discount Factor |
|
$1,502.3 |
|
$1,018.9 |
NPV, 10% Discount Factor |
|
$942.7 |
|
$612.0 |
Payback Period |
|
- |
|
5.4 years |
|
|
|
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|
The financial model covers approximately three years of
construction and commissioning beginning in Q2 2014 and continuing
through Q2 2017, followed by 50 years of operation. SOP
production in 2017 is estimated at 48% of annual capacity, with
full capacity expected in 2018. In the financial model, no
inflation or escalation factors were applied to cash inflows and
outflows.
After-tax IRR is sensitive to capital cost, operating cost, and
revenue assumptions. The table below shows the effect of
changing those assumptions to +/-20%.
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|
|
|
Input Variable to Financial Model |
|
- 20% |
|
-10% |
|
Base Case |
|
+10% |
|
+20% |
Capital Cost |
|
19.3% |
|
17.5% |
|
16.0% |
|
14.7% |
|
13.6% |
Revenue |
|
11.3% |
|
13.8% |
|
16.0% |
|
18.1% |
|
20.1% |
Operating Cost |
|
17.8% |
|
16.8% |
|
16.0% |
|
15.1% |
|
14.2% |
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|
Capital Cost
The capital cost of the Project is estimated to be $1,018
million, with an accuracy of +/-15%. Preparation of the
capital cost estimate is consistent with standards defined by the
Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International
for a Class 3 Estimate.B The table below summarizes the total
estimated capital cost by major area.
|
Estimated Capital Cost by Major Area (millions) |
Mine
Infrastructure and Development |
|
$107 |
Process Plant |
|
$527 |
Storage and Loading |
|
$37 |
Total
Direct Costs |
|
$671 |
EPCM
Services |
|
$99 |
Construction Indirect |
|
$22 |
Freight, Spares, and First Fills |
|
$34 |
Total
Indirect Costs |
|
$155 |
Owner
Costs |
|
$80 |
Contingency |
|
$112 |
Project Total |
|
$1,018 |
|
|
|
Operations
Operating costs are based on scheduled production, equipment
requirements, operating hours, equipment operating costs, and
manpower requirements. Steady state has been defined as the
operating years from 2022 through 2065. Steady state years
generally exclude major one-time costs that are included in years
2017 through 2021, such as start-up activities, equipment rentals,
initial receding face expenditures, and inventory adjustments.
|
Estimated Operating Cost Per Ton of SOP |
Steady State Production |
|
714,400 Tons Per Year of SOP |
Mining Cost Per Ton |
|
$78 |
Processing Cost Per Ton |
|
$108 |
General and Administrative Cost Per Ton |
|
$9 |
Total Operating Cost Per Ton |
|
$195 |
% of Operating Cost - Labor |
|
24.8% |
% of Operating Cost - Electricity |
|
24.5% |
% of Operating Cost - Natural Gas |
|
20.7% |
Sustaining Capital Per Ton Per Year |
|
$40 |
|
|
|
The plant is designed to operate 7,912 hours annually and employ
approximately 400 people at full production. The plant model
projects a K2OC process recovery of 82.2% based on the pilot test
work carried out by independent consultants and equipment
providers. As a result of the pilot test work, the Study
projects an SOP product with potassium content, or K2O equivalent,
between 50.3% and 53.7%.
Energy costs for the Project were obtained from public domain
sources. Xcel Energy, the local electricity supplier, provided
rates under regulated tariffs for transmission and sub-transmission
voltages. Transmission power costs were estimated at $0.0346
per kWh and sub-transmission rates at $0.0348 per kWh, plus
associated demand charges.
Natural gas pricing was estimated at $3.69 per MMBTU based on
the El Paso hub, which is the appropriate index given its proximity
to the Project. Also, the hub's natural gas characteristics,
such as heat value and moisture content, are the same as those of
the natural gas that will be used at the plant. Diesel fuel
pricing was based on the Rocky Mountain Index for No. 2 Diesel,
estimated at $3.95 per gallon.
Revenue Assumptions
SOP prices, based on projected grades, are FOB Jal, New Mexico
("FOB Jal") and net of other sales-related expenses. A.J. Roth
and Associates, a U.S. fertilizer consulting company with
international expertise in potash and phosphates, provided pricing
estimates by grades and receiving locations for the Study. The
relevant SOP grades are standard, granular, and soluble. Upon
full production of the estimated 714,400 tons per year, the product
mix is projected to be 229,400 tons of standard SOP, 385,000 tons
of granular SOP, and 100,000 tons of soluble SOP. The weighted
average FOB Jal SOP price used in the financial model was $636 per
ton. As reported in Green Markets, the average Q4
2013 granular SOP price was $680 per ton for California
Delivery. Granular SOP prices historically receive an average
premium of approximately $50 per ton above standard
SOP. During Q4 2013, ICP estimates the soluble SOP price was
$740 per ton for Florida Delivery.
Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves
The Study identified Measured and Indicated Resources of 1,017.8
million tons at an average grade of 83.9% by weight
polyhalite. The Resource was constrained by a minimum
polyhalite thickness of 4 feet and a minimum resource grade of 65%
polyhalite. Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do
not have demonstrated economic viability. Mineral Resources
are summarized in the table below.
|
Mineral Resources (effective date May 31, 2013) |
Category |
|
Average Thickness (ft) |
|
Resource Area (acres) |
|
In-Place Tons1,2,3 (millions) |
|
Polyhalite (wt %) |
|
Equivalent K2SO4 (wt %)7 |
|
Anhydrite (wt %) |
|
Halite (wt %) |
|
Magnesite (wt %) |
Measured4 |
|
5.2 |
|
26,166 |
|
511.7 |
|
84.5 |
|
24.4 |
|
4.02 |
|
3.27 |
|
7.94 |
Indicated5 |
|
5.0 |
|
26,698 |
|
506.0 |
|
83.3 |
|
24.1 |
|
4.00 |
|
3.30 |
|
8.61 |
Total M&I |
|
5.1 |
|
52,865 |
|
1,017.8 |
|
83.9 |
|
24.2 |
|
4.01 |
|
3.28 |
|
8.27 |
Inferred6 |
|
4.8 |
|
15,634 |
|
284.0 |
|
82.6 |
|
23.9 |
|
4.11 |
|
3.37 |
|
8.82 |
|
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|
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|
1Average in-situ bulk density of 173.5 pounds per cubic foot.
2Bed thickness cutoff of 4.0 feet, composite grade cutoff of 65.0%,
excluding out-of-seam dilution. 3Mineral Reserves are included in
Mineral Resources. 4Measured resource located within 0.75-mile
radius from an exploration core hole. 5Indicated resource located
between 0.75-mile and 1.5-mile radius from an exploration core
hole. 6Inferred resource located between 1.5-mile and 3.0-mile
radius from an exploration core hole. 7Pure polyhalite grades 28.9%
by weight K2SO4. This also equates to 15.6% by weight K2O.
Note: Gypsum weight percent negligible for all resource
classifications.
In addition to defining the Mineral Resources and Mineral
Reserves, the Study specified a 50-year mine plan. Contained
within the mine plan are approximately 182.4 million recoverable
tons of Proven and Probable Reserves grading 78.05% by weight
polyhalite. Mining was constrained to a minimum polyhalite
grade of 66%, as well as a minimum polyhalite thickness of 4
feet. A summary of these Mineral Reserves is listed in the
table below.
|
Mineral Reserves1 (effective date January 9,
2014) |
Category |
|
Average Mined Thickness2 (ft) |
|
50 Year Mine Plan Mined Area (million sq ft) |
|
ROM Mine Tons3,4 (millions) |
|
Mining Recovery5 (%) |
|
Polyhalite (wt %) |
|
Equivalent K2SO4 (wt %)6 |
|
Anhydrite (wt %) |
|
Halite (wt %) |
|
Magnesite (wt %) |
Proven |
|
5.9 |
|
246 |
|
125.0 |
|
47.1 |
|
78.42 |
|
22.66 |
|
11.29 |
|
3.66 |
|
7.79 |
Probable |
|
5.9 |
|
113 |
|
57.4 |
|
64.8 |
|
77.20 |
|
22.31 |
|
11.60 |
|
3.65 |
|
8.30 |
Total P&P |
|
5.9 |
|
359 |
|
182.4 |
|
51.5 |
|
78.05 |
|
22.55 |
|
11.39 |
|
3.66 |
|
8.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
1Mineral Reserves are included in Mineral Resources. 2Bed
thickness cutoff of 4.0 feet, composite grade cutoff of 66.0%,
including out-of-seam dilution. 3Average in-situ bulk density of
173.5 pounds per cubic foot. 4No inferred tons mined. 5Areal
recovery (mined area) inside 50 year mine plan boundary. 6Pure
polyhalite grades 28.9% by weight K2SO4. This also equates to
15.6% by weight K2O. Note: Gypsum weight percent negligible for all
resource classifications.
Updates to the Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves estimates
are based on the results from the completion of ICP's Phase 3A
exploration drilling program, a continuation of the exploration
program included in the report dated December 30, 2011, and titled
National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report Prefeasibility
Study ("PFS") for the Ochoa Project in Lea County, New
Mexico. Industry best practices were followed for the
exploration program. The investigations, interpretation of
exploration information, and the quality assurance and quality
control measures for the Phase 3A program were as reported in the
PFS.
Over 70,000 feet of exploration drilling has been completed to
date. Additionally, 855 petroleum wells were incorporated into
the model (for stratigraphy correlation and bed thickness only)
through geophysical logging. A higher minimum polyhalite grade
(66%) was defined for the Mineral Reserves to ensure compliance
with the Mineral Resource cutoff grade (65%) when developing mine
projections.
As compared to the PFS, Mineral Reserves increased over 30% from
139.5 million tons to 182.4 million tons while maintaining similar
polyhalite grades (79.39% in the PFS to 78.05% in the
Study). Measured and Indicated Resources (4-foot minimum
thickness) increased from 983.8 million tons to 1,017.8 million
tons. The Study is based on a mine life of 50 years.
Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources exist to the north,
east, and west of the 50-year mine plan boundary and there is a
reasonable expectation that those resources will be economically
mineable, which would allow for an extension of mining operations
beyond 50 years.
Environment and Permitting
The Company remains on schedule to receive a Record of Decision
on its Environmental Impact Statement ("EIS") in early April
2014. That schedule will allow construction to commence as
planned. The Bureau of Land Management ("BLM") and its
retained consultant are currently addressing review comments in
preparation for issuance of the final EIS. Once review
comments are incorporated into the document, the BLM will publish
the final EIS. Notice of availability of the final EIS is
expected to be published in February 2014.
In parallel with the EIS process, ICP also submitted an air
quality permit application for construction to the New Mexico
Environment Department Air Quality Bureau (NMED AQB). This
application was ruled administratively complete by the NMED AQB on
December 13, 2013, and technical review is expected to be completed
on or before June 10, 2014. The assessment included in the
permit application demonstrates that the Project complies with air
quality standards.
As previously announced by the Company there have been two major
permitting milestones to date. First, the Company received a
jurisdictional determination from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
("Corps") that concluded no authorization from the Corps is
required for construction. Second, authorization has been
received from the New Mexico Office of the State Engineer that the
Company has full right to appropriate non-potable water from the
Capitan Reef aquifer for mining and industrial use.
Mining
Room-and-pillar mining will be used to extract ore from the
deposit at a nominal rate of 3.7 million tons per
year. Equipment selection includes state-of-the-art,
high-horsepower continuous mining equipment currently in use
throughout the world in the coal, trona, and potash
sectors. During the course of the Study, ICP performed linear
cutting tests on the polyhalite core. A continuous mining
equipment manufacturer reviewed the linear cutting test results,
performed additional testing, and recommended the use of drum-type
continuous miners.
The ore bed will be accessed via a 25-foot diameter, two
compartment mine ventilation and service shaft, and a 12,000-foot
long slope (also referred to as a "ramp" or "decline") inclined at
8.5 degrees. The 1,525-foot deep shaft will have an intake air
compartment, equipped with an emergency escape hoist and cage as
well as electrical high voltage and communication cables. The
second compartment will be used for return air and will contain
fresh water and mine discharge water piping to prevent freezing
during the winter months. General mine ventilation will be
accomplished with dual 11-foot fans installed in parallel on the
return side of the shaft. The slope provides flexibility to
accommodate increased underground production as needed. Ore
will be transported to the surface via a 60-inch slope conveyor
with a capacity of 4,000 tons per hour.
The Study recommends the use of dual split super section
("DSSS") mining methods. Parallel sets of main entries are
developed five to seven entries wide each. Production panels
are developed up to 1000 feet wide to accommodate the DSSS concept
of operating two continuous miners side by side using a centrally
located single belt conveyor. DSSS supports the use of common
equipment such as section scoops, forklifts, and section
conveyors. DSSS keeps both capital and operating costs as low
as possible.
Surface Facilities
The plant will include several key unit operations to process a
continuous stream of polyhalite ore from the mine into finished SOP
products. The main process circuits include crushing and
washing, calcination, leaching, evaporation and crystallization,
and drying and granulation. In conjunction with the crushing
phase, washing removes sodium chloride from the ore and ensures a
high quality, appropriately sized feed to the
calciner. Fluid-bed calciners provide precise temperature
control and cause the ore to become readily soluble in
water. A two-stage counter-current leach circuit produces
brine containing potassium and magnesium sulphates. This brine
is fed to the evaporation and crystallization circuits where SOP is
crystallized. Following crystallization, drying and
granulation of the crystals produces the final products. Pilot
plant operation confirmed that the process is technically and
economically viable on a continuous basis. Portions of this
process are covered by U.S. Patent 8,551,429, with other U.S. and
foreign patents pending.
The SOP products are planned to be trucked 22 miles to the rail
loading and truck distribution facility. From this facility,
ICP will have the ability to reach domestic rail and truck markets,
as well as nearly any international dry bulk port facility in the
Americas. Tailings management will include a variety of
evaporation ponds and injection wells, in addition to a dry-stack
gypsum storage facility. Deep saline water will be sourced
from the Capitan Reef aquifer and treated, where necessary, through
reverse osmosis.
Engineering Consultants and Client Engineers
"We extend our heartfelt thanks for the stellar performances of
those contributing to this Study," said Randy Foote, Chief
Operating Officer. "During the course of our work, ICP and the
engineering consultants identified further opportunities with the
potential to increase processing efficiencies and lower both
capital and operating costs. We intend to implement these
enhancements."
In addition to SNC-Lavalin, other primary consulting engineering
groups, process design, and equipment supply groups include:
- Agapito Associates Inc. ("AAI"), a Colorado-based company
providing services in geology and mining engineering. AAI was
responsible for reviewing and auditing the exploration program,
developing the resource geologic model and the resources and
reserves estimates, providing mine design and mine engineering, and
developing the operating and capital costs for the mine.
- Veolia Water Solutions and Technologies ("Veolia"), a worldwide
process and technology equipment supplier, providing services in
water treatment and evaporation, as well as crystallization
technologies. Veolia was responsible for developing the
evaporation and crystallization circuits, and for pilot
testing.
- Novopro Projects Inc. ("Novopro"), a Canadian-based company
providing services in engineering, project development, and project
management, with particular expertise in potash mineral processing.
Novopro acted in the role of the owner's engineer, providing
project management, process development, testing, and contract
development services.
- Resource Development Inc. ("RDi"), a Colorado-based company
providing international services in mineral processing, leaching,
and circuit recovery. RDi provided overall technical reviews of
processing technology and surface facilities.
- Upstream Resources, a Washington, D.C.-based geosciences
company providing services in the design and execution of
exploration programs, data analysis, and geologic and resource
modeling, and with substantial international experience in potash
exploration and development. Upstream Resources carried out the
substantial portion of the exploration programs and subsequent data
analysis, and interpretation and geological modeling.
- Hazen Research Inc. ("Hazen"), a Colorado-based company
providing services encompassing research and development in the
adaptation of known technology to new situations, pilot plant
testing, preliminary engineering, and cost analysis. Hazen
designed numerous process testing procedures, provided laboratories
and facilities for bench-scale testing, and fabricated parts of the
pilot plant. Hazen also validated all phases of the ICP
process to optimize conversion of polyhalite into SOP.
- INTERA Incorporated ("INTERA"), a New Mexico-based company
providing services in water resources planning, development and
management. INTERA managed and coordinated environmental
permitting and hydrogeological modeling.
- Walsh Environmental Scientists and Engineers ("Walsh"), a
Colorado-based company with expertise in environmental consulting
services, ecological investigations and surveys, site assessment,
and National Environmental Policy Act regulations. Walsh
contributed to environmental permitting and related
activities.
In addition to the consultants mentioned above, several other
highly regarded professional companies contributed to the
completion of the Study. These include:
- AB Engineering Inc.
- Chastain Consulting
- Chemfelt Engineers
- FEECO International
- Fakatselis Consulting Inc.
- Gundlach Equipment Corporation
- Harrison Western Construction Corp.
- Metso Minerals Industries Inc.
- SGS Lakefield Research Limited
- Sage Earth Sciences
- Western Technologies Inc.
Qualified Persons
Gary Skaggs, P.E., P.Eng., AAI vice president/principal, is the
independent Qualified Person for the mine plan and Mineral
Reserves; Leo Gilbride, P.E, AAI vice president, is the independent
Qualified Person for Mineral Resources; Tom Vandergrift, P.E., AAI
vice president/principal, is the independent Qualified Person for
the mine geotechnical analysis; Susan Patton, Ph.D., P.E., AAI
senior associate, is the independent Qualified Person for mine
capital and operating cost; Vanessa Santos, CPG, AAI chief
geologist, is the independent Qualified Person for the geology and
exploration sections of the Study, each within the meaning of
National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for
Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101").
Lawrence Berthelet, P.Eng., MBA, VP Potash, SNC-Lavalin, is the
independent Qualified Person for mineral processing and
metallurgical testing, recovery, and project infrastructure;
Phillipe Poirer, P.Eng., VP Finance, SNC-Lavalin, is the
independent Qualified Person for the economic analysis, both within
the meaning of the NI 43-101.
The independent Qualified Persons within the meaning of the NI
43-101 for the evaporation and crystallization processes are John
DiMonte, P.E., VP Operations; Tony Banasiak, P.E., Electrical
Manager; Jean Claude Gallot, MS, Process Engineer; John Pitts,
CHMM-Engineering; Harry Parker, P.E., Technical Manager, Piping and
Facilities; David Gamache, CHE, Director of Research and
Development; Shawn Thornton, MS, Research and Development;
Charlotte Bessiere, Ph.D., Research and Development; all of Veolia
Water Solutions & Technologies.
Pursuant to NI 43-101, ICP will file a compliant technical
report on SEDAR addressing the applicable sections of this press
release within 45 days of the date of this disclosure.
All scientific and technical disclosures in this press release
have been prepared under the supervision of and approved by Deepak
Malhotra, Ph.D. and registered SME member, president of Resource
Development Inc., a Qualified Person within the meaning of NI
43-101 and an advisor to the Company.
Definitions AIRR is a measure used to establish economic
viability of the Project. It is the interest rate that equates
the discounted values of (i) the estimated capital costs to build
the mine and surface facilities with (ii) the projected cash flows
generated during the 50 year mine plan utilized in the
establishment of the Proven and Probable Reserves.
BAssociation for the Advancement of Cost Engineering
International standards define Class 3 estimates to be those
prepared as the basis for budget authorizations, appropriations,
and funding. Class 3 estimates use quotations for all major
items of capital. They include process and utility flow
diagrams, preliminary piping and instrument designs, and complete
equipment lists.
CK2O equivalent refers to the potassium content percentage of a
particular potassium fertilizer mineral. It is based on a
hypothetical potassium oxide percentage by weight of potassium
sulphate. Pure potassium sulphate, i.e. 100% potassium
sulphate by weight, has a K2O equivalent of 54.06%.
About IC Potash Corp. ICP has demonstrated a low-cost method to
produce sulphate of potash ("SOP") from its 100%-owned Ochoa
polyhalite deposit in southeast New Mexico. The Company intends to
become a primary, long-term producer of SOP. The global market for
SOP is 5.5 million tons per year, with producers benefiting from
substantial price premiums over regular potash, known as muriate of
potash ("MOP"). SOP is a non-chloride potash fertilizer widely
used in the horticultural industry and for high value crops, such
as fruits, vegetables, tobacco and potatoes. It is applicable
for soils where there are substantial agricultural activity, high
soil salinity, and in arid regions. The Ochoa Project has access to
excellent local labor resources, low-cost electricity and natural
gas, water, rail lines, and the Port of Galveston, Texas. ICP's
land holdings consist of nearly 90,000 acres of federal subsurface
potassium prospecting permits and State of New Mexico potassium
mining leases. For more information, please visit
www.icpotash.com.
Forward-Looking Statements Certain information set forth in this
news release may contain forward-looking statements that involve
substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other
factors which may cause the actual results, performance or
achievements of ICP to be materially different from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include
statements that use forward-looking terminology such as "may",
"will", "expect", "anticipate", "believe", "continue", "potential"
or the negative thereof or other variations thereof or comparable
terminology. Such forward-looking statements include, without
limitation, reserve estimates, ICP's expected position as one of
the lowest cost producers of SOP in the world, the timing of
receipt and publication of ICP's environmental permits, the
sufficiency of ICP's cash balances, the timing of production, and
other statements that are not historical facts. These
forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and
uncertainties, certain of which are beyond the control of ICP,
including, but not limited to, risks associated with mineral
exploration and mining activities, the impact of general economic
conditions, industry conditions, dependence upon regulatory
approvals, the uncertainty of obtaining additional financing, and
risks associated with turning reserves into product. Readers
are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such
information, although considered reasonable at the time of
preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance
should not be placed on forward-looking statements.
FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT: Mr. Mehdi Azodi Investor
Relations Director Phone: 416-779-3268 Email: Email Contact
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