TIDM44EB

RNS Number : 3048J

London & Quadrant Housing Trust

20 August 2021

London & Quadrant Housing Trust Trading Update for the period ending 30 June 2021

London & Quadrant Housing Trust ('L&Q') is today issuing its consolidated unaudited trading update for the three months ending 30 June 2021 ('2021 Q1'). All statement of comprehensive income comparatives are to L&Q's consolidated unaudited prior year equivalent period being the three months ending 30 June 2020 ('2020 Q1').

HIGHLIGHTS

   --    There are 119,120 units in management (as at 31 March 2021: 117,788) 
   --    L&Q has completed 1,003 new residential homes (2020 Q1: 150) 
   --    Turnover was GBP286m (2020 Q1: GBP209m) 
   --    EBITDA(1)  was GBP121m (2020 Q1: GBP96m) 
   --    EBITDA   margin(2)  was 36% (2020 Q1: 44%) 
   --    EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3)  was 59% (2020 Q1: 57%) 
   --    Gross sales margin(4)  was 20% (2020 Q1: 20%) 
   --    Net sales margin(5)  was 15% (2020 Q1: 8%) 
   --    EBITDA / interest cover(6)  was 327% (2020 Q1: 260%) 
   --    EBITDA social housing lettings interest cover(7)  was 189% (2020 Q1: 213%) 
   --    Operating surplus was GBP112m (2020 Q1: GBP84m) 
   --    Debt to assets(8)  was 41% (2020 Q1: 42%) 
   --    Sales as a % of turnover(10)  was 51% (2020 Q1: 25%) 

Commenting on the results Waqar Ahmed, Group Director, Finance said:

"L&Q continues to recover from the restrictions imposed during the Covid-19 pandemic with our unaudited Q1 trading results demonstrating a material year-on-year increase in turnover, EBITDA and housing completions whilst retaining an exceptionally strong liquidity position.

Forward guidance to the year ending 31(st) March 2022 remains unchanged from our last trading update. This reflects our continued strategy to divert a greater level of expenditure towards our residents' homes as we commit to delivering those targets set out in our five-year corporate strategy which prioritises investment in safety and the quality of existing homes and services.

L&Q's renewed focus on residents' homes and services will not diminish L&Q's commitment to tackling the UK housing crisis through investment in new homes. In the three months to 30(th) June 2021, L&Q has completed 1,003 new residential homes, of which 64% are for social tenure - a clear signal that we are committed to our social purpose and lowering our risk profile."

FORWARD GUIDANCE FOR THE YEARING 31ST MARCH 2022

The following assumes that current market conditions continue and is unchanged from the guidance issued in our last trading statement.

We project EBITDA to be in the range of GBP340m to GBP360m and gross capital expenditure(11) to be in the range of GBP900m to GBP1bn. Included within our EBITDA projections are c.GBP30m of costs assigned to conduct fire remedial and safety works. Our projections for surplus after tax are expected to be in the range of GBP230m to GBP250m. Net debt is expected to be in the range of GBP5.7bn to GBP5.8bn.

 
 Financial Metrics                                   Forward Guidance to 31 March 2022 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 EBITDA margin(2)                                                                  24% 
 EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3)                                                39% 
 Net sales margin(5)                                                               10% 
 EBITDA interest cover(6)                                                         220% 
 Social housing lettings EBITDA interest Cover(7)                                 136% 
 Debt to assets(8)                                                                 43% 
 Gross debt to EBITDA(9)                                                           17x 
 Sales as a % of turnover(10)                                                      51% 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 

HOUSING COMPLETIONS

L&Q, including joint ventures, has completed 1,003 (2020 Q1: 150) residential homes in the financial year to date. This comprises of 646 (2020 Q1: 91) completions for social housing tenures and 357 (2020 Q1: 59) completions for market tenures. During that same time 651 new build residential homes commenced on site (2020 Q1: 760).

DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

L&Q, including joint ventures, is operating from 196 (2020 Q1: 158) active sites. L&Q has approved an additional 135 (2020 Q1: 141) residential homes during the financial year to date bringing total homes in the approved development pipeline to 31,888 (2020 Q1: 28,403), of which 69% are currently on site. This represents a significant investment in new supply and affordable output. Of the homes approved in the development pipeline 60% are for social housing tenures and 40% are for market tenures. L&Q holds a further potential 80,950 (2020 Q1: 72,042) strategic land plots.

The future projected cost of the entire development pipeline (including work in progress and developments not yet committed or on site) that extends until the financial year ending 31 March 2040 is estimated at GBP4.9bn (2020 Q1: GBP5.3bn ) of which GBP4.1bn (84%) is currently committed (2020 Q1: GBP4.3bn).

UNAUDITED FINANCIALS

The unaudited financials exclude further adjustments that are subject to audit review:

Statement of Comprehensive Income

 
                                                        2021 Q1 (GBPm)   2020 Q1 (GBPm)   Change 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
 Turnover 
 Non-sales                                                         171              169 
 Sales                                                             115               40 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
                                                                   286              209      37% 
 Operating costs and cost of sales 
 Non-sales                                                       (105)             (98) 
 Sales                                                           (100)             (38) 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
                                                                 (205)            (136)    (51%) 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets and investments                21                9 
 Share of profits from joint ventures                               10                2 
 Change in value of investment property                              -                - 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                                 112               84      33% 
 Net interest charge                                              (26)             (26) 
 Other finance income/ (costs)                                     (1)              (1) 
 Taxation                                                            -                - 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
 Surplus for the period after tax                                   85               57      49% 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  ------- 
 

EBITDA and Net Cash Interest Paid

 
                                           2021 Q1 (GBPm)   2020 Q1   Change 
                                                             (GBPm) 
----------------------------------------  ---------------  --------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                    112        84 
 Change in value of investment property                 -         - 
 Amortised government grant                           (6)       (6) 
 Depreciation                                          23        23 
 Impairment                                             -         - 
 Capitalised major repairs                            (8)       (5) 
----------------------------------------  ---------------  --------  ------- 
 EBITDA                                               121        96      26% 
----------------------------------------  ---------------  --------  ------- 
 
 Net interest charge                                 (26)      (26) 
 Capitalised interest                                (11)      (12) 
----------------------------------------  ---------------  --------  ------- 
 Net cash interest paid                              (37)      (38)       3% 
----------------------------------------  ---------------  --------  ------- 
 

Statement of Financial Position

 
                                               2021 Q1 (GBPm)   31 March 2021 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------------  -------------- 
 Housing properties                                    10,950                 10,906              44 
 Other fixed assets                                        78                     78               - 
 Investments                                            1,616                  1,592              24 
 Net current assets                                       548                    484              64 
--------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------------  -------------- 
 Total assets less current liabilities                 13,192                 13,060             132 
--------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------------  -------------- 
 
   Loans due > one year                                 5,183                  5,152              31 
 Unamortised grant liabilities                          2,132                  2,123               9 
 Other long term liabilities                              379                    372               7 
 Capital and reserves                                   5,498                  5,413              85 
--------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------------  -------------- 
 Total non-current liabilities and reserves            13,192                 13,060             132 
--------------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------------  -------------- 
 

Non-Sales Activities

 
                                         2021 Q1   2020 Q1   Change (GBPm) 
                                          (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Net rents receivable                        159       157               2 
 Charges for support services                  3         2               1 
 Amortised government grants                   6         6               - 
 Other income                                  3         4             (1) 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Turnover                                    171       169               2 
 Management costs                           (15)      (13)             (2) 
 Service costs                              (21)      (22)               1 
 Maintenance costs                          (40)      (28)            (12) 
 Support costs                               (3)       (3)               - 
 Depreciation & impairment                  (23)      (23)               - 
 Other costs                                 (3)       (9)               6 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Operating costs                           (105)      (98)             (7) 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets          21         9              12 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Operating surplus                            87        80               7 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 

Sales Activities

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
                                         2021 Q1 (GBPm)   2020 Q1 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Property sales income                               90               18              72 
 Land sales income                                   25               22               3 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Turnover from sales (excluding JV's)               115               40              75 
 Cost of property sales                            (75)             (17)            (58) 
 Cost of land sales                                (18)             (14)             (4) 
 Operating costs                                    (7)              (7)               - 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Total costs (excluding JV's)                     (100)             (38)            (62) 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Operating Surplus (excluding JV's)                  15                2              13 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Joint venture turnover                              54               16              38 
 Joint venture cost of sales                       (43)             (14)            (29) 
 Joint venture operating costs                      (1)                -             (1) 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 Share of profits from joint ventures                10                2               8 
--------------------------------------  ---------------  ---------------  -------------- 
 

AVERAGE SELLING PRICE

The average selling price, including JV's, for outright market sales during the financial year to date was GBP461k (2020 Q1: GBP468k) of which 83% were conducted under Help to Buy (2020 Q1: 75%). The average selling price of first tranche shared ownership sales during the financial year to date was GBP470k (2020 Q1: GBP431k) with an average first tranche sale of 34% (2020 Q1: 35%). Shared ownership average selling price is higher than the outright market sales due to the geographical location of properties sold in the year to date.

SALES MARGINS

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
                       Shared          Outright   Land Sales   Outright Sales (JV's)   Q1 2021    Q1 2020   Change 
                       Owner-    Sales (Non-JV) 
                         ship 
                       (GBPm)            (GBPm)       (GBPm)                  (GBPm)    (GBPm)     (GBPm) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Turnover                  33                57           25                      54       169         56      113 
 Cost of sales           (25)              (50)         (18)                    (43)     (136)       (45)     (91) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Gross profit               8                 7            7                      11        33         11       22 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Gross margin             24%               12%          28%                     20%       20%        20%        - 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Operating costs          (1)               (3)          (3)                     (1)       (8)        (7)      (1) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Operating surplus          7                 4            4                      10        25          4       21 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 Net margin               21%                7%          16%                     19%       15%         8%       7% 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  --------  ---------  ------- 
 

UNSOLD STOCK

As at 30 June 2021, L&Q, including joint ventures, held 639 completed homes as unsold stock with a projected revenue of GBP111m. Projected revenue for shared ownership assumes a first tranche sale of 25%. Of the total unsold stock 42% has been held as stock for less than one month.

L&Q's forward order book excluding joint ventures consists of 15 exchanged homes with projected revenue of GBP3m and 192 reservations with projected revenue of GBP32m.

 
 Tenure               Projected Revenue   No. of Homes   <1 Month   1-3 Months   3-6 Months   6-12 Months   >12 Months 
                                 (GBPm) 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Shared Ownership                    55            470        219           69           78            75           29 
 Outright Sale 
  (non-JV's)                         33             77         16            6            5             9           41 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total excluding 
  JV's                               88            547        235           75           83            84           70 
 Outright Sale 
  (JCA's)                             1              4          0            1            3             0            0 
 Outright Sale 
  (JCE's)                            22             88         36            1           17            11           23 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Joint 
  Ventures                           23             92         36            2           20            11           23 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Unsold Stock                 111            639        271           77          103            95           93 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 

NET DEBT AND LIQUIDITY

As at 30 June 2021, net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) was GBP5,449m (as at 31 March 2021: GBP5,385m) and available liquidity within the group in the form of committed un-drawn revolving credit facilities and non-restricted cash was at GBP1,107m (as at 31 March 2021: GBP1,159m). Approximately 54% of L&Q's loan facilities and 65% of drawn loan facilities are at a fixed cost.

UNENCUMBERED ASSETS

 
                                                                                Q1 2021   31 March 2021 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  -------------- 
 No. of units under management                                                  119,120         117,788 
 No. of social housing homes provided as collateral against debt facilities    (59,051)        (60,085) 
 No. of private rented homes provided as collateral against debt facilities     (1,107)         (1,107) 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  -------------- 
 Total no. of unencumbered units under management                                58,962          56,596 
 % of units under management held as collateral against debt facilities             51%             52% 
 Unencumbered asset ratio(12)                                                       44%             44% 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  -------------- 
 

L&Q CREDIT RATINGS

As at date of trading statement release:

 
 Rating Agency                    S&P     Moody's       Fitch 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ---------- 
 Long-term credit ratings   A-/Stable   A3/Stable   A+/Stable 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ---------- 
 

Notes:

(1) Operating surplus - change in value of investment properties - amortised government grant + depreciation + impairment - capitalised major repairs +/- actuarial losses/gains in pension schemes

(2) EBITDA / (turnover + turnover from joint ventures - amortised government grant)

(3) EBITDA from non-sales activities / turnover from non-sales activities

(4) Gross profit from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(5) Operating surplus from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(6) EBITDA / net cash interest paid

(7) EBITDA from social housing lettings / net cash interest paid

(8) Net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) / total assets less current liabilities

(9) Gross debt / EBITDA

(10) Sales turnover (including joint ventures) / (turnover plus turnover from joint ventures)

(11) Capitalised development expenditure + acquisition of investment property + purchase of other fixed assets

(12) 100% less (loans due after more than 1 year + derivative liabilities + unamortised grant liability) / total assets less current liabilities

This trading update contains certain forward-looking statements about the future outlook for L&Q. Although the Directors believe that these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, any such statements should be treated with caution as the future outlook may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different.

For further information, please contact:

investors@lqgroup.org.uk

   James Howell, Head of External Affairs                    020 8189 1596 

www.lqgroup.org.uk

END

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