NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--First-quarter earnings reporting season
gets under way in earnest next week, with five of the 30 components
of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and 29 companies in the
Standard & Poor's 500 Index posting results.
Last-minute filers will be working up to Wednesday night to
finish their income tax returns by the midnight deadline.
Economic reports are expected to show continued low inflation
and another drop in housing starts in March.
Some Mark Holidays Friday, Monday
U.S. stock markets are closed Friday in observance of Good
Friday, though government offices and many businesses will be open.
Congress continues its spring break through next week. In dozens of
countries, markets, banks, businesses and government offices will
close Good Friday and Easter Monday.
Goldman Sachs Likely To Post Profit
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is expected to return to a profit
after posting a quarterly loss in December, the first since it
became a public company in 1999. Goldman reports first-quarter
results Tuesday. Higher earnings are likely in the fixed-income,
currencies and commodities group, which benefited from wider
bid-ask spreads, while smaller markdowns are expected in the
principal investment group and commercial and leveraged loans
portfolio.
J&J, Abbott Labs To Report On 1Q
Two large U.S. drug makers, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and
Abbott Laboratories (ABT), report first-quarter results Tuesday and
Wednesday, respectively. The recession is hurting some J&J
segments, including the consumer-health care unit, its
fastest-growing segment, as consumers turn to cheaper store brands
of bandages, pain relievers and mouthwash.
By contrast, Abbott's results have been beating its rivals,
fueled in part by its fast-growing business in heart stents, which
are used to prop open damaged arteries. Abbott has a broader
product base than many drug companies, including a sizable
medical-devices business, and relatively little exposure to patent
expirations, the bane of Big Pharma.
Intel Could Signal Chip-Demand Shift
Semiconductor maker Intel Corp. (INTC) reports first-quarter
results Tuesday, and investors will be watching for any hints about
whether the steep drop in demand for chips is easing. Intel is
expected to post earnings of 2 cents a share, compared with 25
cents a share a year earlier, with a 28% decline in revenue. Some
analysts think Intel revenue could be lifted by
stronger-than-expected sales of low-end chips, used in products
such as the smaller and cheaper netbooks.
Traffic, Cash Trends In Airline Results
Traffic trends and cash - notably to buy new aircraft - will
dominate investor interest when AMR Corp. (AMR), parent of American
Airlines, and Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) report first-quarter
results next week. Southwest, with no international routes, has
been more adept than its peers at cutting capacity to match weak
demand, but has lost the earnings support from fuel hedges that it
had in recent years. American is suffering, like others, from
falling leisure and business travel, notably on its routes to
Europe and Latin America. Fuel prices have fallen, but with the
peak-travel Easter holiday in April, analysts forecast a net loss
of $1.48 a share when AMR reports Wednesday, compared with a loss
of $1.32 a share last year. For Southwest, which reports a day
later, per-share earnings are forecast at 3 cents, compared with 6
cents a year earlier.
Better Results Seen For JPMorgan, Citi
Two of the largest U.S. banks, JPMorganChase & Co. (JPM) and
Citigroup Inc. (C), will report first-quarter results Thursday and
Friday, respectively. Both said last month that they had seen
improved results in the first two months of this year after posting
mountains of losses in 2008.
JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank in stock-market value, is
expected to post per-share earnings of 32 cents on revenue of
$24.64 billion, compared with 68 cents and $16.89 billion a year
earlier. Wall Street expects Citigroup to post a loss of 37 cents a
share on revenue of $21.37 billion, compared with a loss of $1.02 a
share on revenue of $13.22 billion a year earlier.
Google One Of Few With Higher Profit
Internet-search giant Google Inc. (GOOG), which reports
Thursday, is expected to post higher per-share earnings and revenue
despite concerns about a decline in online advertising. The company
recently abandoned efforts to sell radio and print ads as it
focuses resources on more promising products, and it took a first
step toward selling ads targeted to viewers' likely interests, a
controversial kind of Web advertising its competitors already
offer.
Newspaper Companies' Results May Diverge
Two of the nation's troubled newspaper publishers, Gannett Co.
(GCI) and Media General Inc. (MEG), will post first-quarter results
next week amid continuing declines in advertising and readership.
Both companies have suspended dividends and cut jobs and other
costs as they try to adapt to more people getting news, ads and
entertainment online. Gannett is expected to see its per-share
earnings fall to 25 cents from 84 cents a year earlier, while for
Media General analysts projected a smaller loss, of 30 cents a
share, compared with a loss of 91 cents a year earlier. Gannett
will report Thursday and Media General a day later.
GE Report To Focus On Industrial Units
General Electric Co. (GE) reports first-quarter results April
17, with the focus expected to shift from its beleaguered finance
arm, GE Capital, to its big industrial businesses. GE has said GE
Capital may eke out a small profit in the quarter, but the company
has made clear it's counting on its divisions that sell aircraft
engines, locomotives and other industrial products to drive
results. Investors will be looking in particular at whether revenue
from services, such as maintenance, can offset what's likely to be
declining rates of new orders. Regardless, expectations are low,
with GE forecast to earn 21 cents a share, compared with 44 cents a
share a year earlier.
Income Tax Returns Due Wednesday
With money tight this year, more taxpayers are preparing returns
on their own, rather than turning to paid preparers, according to
data from the Internal Revenue Service. Those returns - or requests
for extensions - must be postmarked by Wednesday. Even those
requesting extensions are required to pay an estimate of what they
owe. People planning to file electronically shouldn't wait until
the last minute to push the button because of potential
crashes.
March Inflation, Housing Data Due
Major economic reports next week will detail the state of
inflation and the struggling housing market. The government will
report on March wholesale prices Tuesday and consumer prices a day
later; both are estimated to show rises of 0.1%. On Thursday, March
housing starts are expected to drop for the eighth time in nine
months after an unexpected jump last month.
A report on March retail sales Tuesday is expected to show a
gain of 0.3% after a drop of 0.1% in February. The government also
details February business inventories Tuesday and March industrial
production a day later. Also Wednesday, the Federal Reserve
releases its Beige Book of anecdotal reports on economic activity
in various regions.
Reports on manufacturing activity are due out Wednesday for New
York and Thursday for Philadelphia. And the Reuters/University of
Michigan consumer sentiment index releases its preliminary reading
for April on Friday.
Obama To Visit Mexico, Caribbean
President Barack Obama plans to visit Mexico City on Thursday on
his way to the Summit of the Americas in Trinidad and Tobago. One
issue for discussion is likely to be the intensified violence in
Mexico as drug traffickers battle the army and each other for
control of smuggling corridors.
The summit of 34 democratic nations is from April 17 to 19. The
gathering will be the fifth Summit of the Americas since 1994 and
the first in the Caribbean.
Conferences
Among the significant conferences next week are the
BIO-Windhover Conference from Monday through Wednesday in New York,
Infocast Renewable Energy Merger & Acquisition Summit from
Wednesday through Friday in Washington, D.C., and Argyle Executive
Forum Leadership in Hospitality & Leisure Conference on
Thursday in New York.
-By Kathy Shwiff, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5975;
kathy.shwiff@dowjones.com