News that the French government, and perhaps some other European
countries, will provide banks with funds to finance aircraft
ordered from Airbus, a unit of EADS (5730.FR), gives a boost to the
commercial aerospace sector, according to the head of an
international aircraft leasing company.
In an interview Tuesday, Klaus Heinemann, chief executive of
AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER), based in Amsterdam, said that, without
government help, the dry-up of available bank funds this year might
have forced Airbus to shut down aircraft production. From a
government's point of view, "it's a question of helping the company
directly or paying for unemployment benefits for employees at
Airbus and its many suppliers," he said.
In the commercial aerospace industry, there's an unprecedented
market of willing buyers and sellers unable to complete
multi-million dollar transactions, he said. "They need money for
the pre-payment, of 20% to 25% of the sales price, as well as for
the payment on delivery," Heinemann said. The French government has
directed banks to make that money available, and Germany and other
countries are mulling it over, he said.
Boeing Co. (BA), a keen competitor of Airbus on both large
aircraft sales and on resulting international trade issues, had no
comment Monday on the news that France will provide $5 billion for
banks to finance deals for Airbus customers.
In the current credit crisis, trade fairness is a moot point,
Heinemann said, noting that U.S. automakers and banks already have
received much-needed government funds. While that may give them an
unfair advantage with foreign competitors, it literally has saved
their lives.
Boeing and other U.S. aerospace companies could ask for help
from the U.S. TARP program, which is similar to the support France
is offering.
The U.S. Export-Import bank is another source of financing for
foreign buyers, although there are lending restrictions related to
the countries where customers are based.
Late last year, Boeing said it was working to assist its
customers to secure financing for aircraft purchases, and that the
Boeing Capital Corp. unit was prepared to step in with its own
money as a last resort.
EADS said it, too, has some ability to offer financial help to
customers.
But most aircraft buying is backed by banks. Bank loans are
almost impossible to get now, and where they are available,
interest rates have spiked to unsustainable levels, said John
Pritchard, a partner and specialist in aircraft financing at the
Knight & Holland law firm in New York. Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV), for example, said in December that it paid 10% interest on
financing, double the usual rate.
Airlines Cut Back, But Still Need New Planes
The global recession has cut into air traffic, forcing many
airlines to abandon growth plans. "It varies case by case, but
there are airlines out there that need to take delivery on new,
more efficient aircraft," Pritchard said. American Airlines, a unit
of AMR Corp. (AMR), and some other carriers are cutting out
unprofitable business, but they continue to replace some older
planes with new models.
Heinemann, the leasing company executive, said the industry
experienced a number of aircraft deferrals and cancelations last
year, so "most of the fluff is out of the order book." In
particular, he pointed to the market in India, where a number of
financially weak airlines went out of business in 2008.
The growth of air traffic tracks global economic growth. In the
past few years, the global airline industry grew rapidly, with
airlines in China, India, and the Middle East catering to an
explosion in air travel. Private equity investors and hedge funds
jumped in to help finance new aircraft to support that growth.
In recent years, the aircraft order cycle peaked, with Airbus
taking 777 orders last year, down from a record 1,341 orders in
2007, and Boeing tallying 662 orders last year, down from
1,407.
Airbus chief Thomas Enders said at a conference this week that
Airbus orders in 2009 could fall by as much as 50% to 60% from last
year. Even so, both Boeing and Airbus have order backlogs to fuel
production for the next five to six years.
Heinemann said AerCap's business is feeling a pinch from the
recession, but the leasing company continues to find homes for its
fleet of more than 300 newer aircraft.
-By Ann Keeton; Dow Jones Newswires
312-750-4120; ann.keeton@dowjones.com
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