Hog Futures Sink, Wiping Out Recent Gains
25 March 2017 - 7:30AM
Dow Jones News
By Benjamin Parkin
CHICAGO--Hog futures plunged 3% Friday as traders reversed an
unexpected rally the previous day.
Lean hog futures declined during much of the week on a gloomy
long-term outlook. That changed late in Thursday's session, when
traders decided to take advantage of the considerable discount from
cattle futures to put their money into hog contracts. The
possibility of increased export demand for relatively cheap U.S.
pork in light of a tainted-meat scandal in Brazil also helped spur
buying.
But traders lost confidence in those bets at the opening bell on
Friday, prompting a selloff throughout the session.
April lean hog futures fell 3% to 67.275 cents a pound at the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange. June contracts were down 2.4% to
75.750 cents a pound.
Tightening pork packer margins, which fell to $19.07 a head
Thursday from as much as $27.07 at the end of last week, made the
meat a less attractive processing choice for packers than beef,
which is yielding considerably higher margins.
Analysts have been undecided as to what this means for hog
futures going into the summer. Cheap pork prices could mean more
demand and with a U.S. Department of Agriculture report this week
showing pork belly stocks around a quarter of year-ago levels, they
say there is plenty of room for price increases this summer. But
traders Friday weren't convinced.
Live cattle futures were calm by contrast, as a report released
after the closing bell showed a steady supply of cattle in U.S.
commercial yards.
The USDA's report was largely in line with market expectations.
Total cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market for
feedlots came to 10.8 million head on March 1, a marginal increase
from the previous year. U.S. feedlots brought in 1.7 million cattle
in February, 1% less than a year ago, while feedlots sold 4% more
cattle in February than a year ago.
Futures prices largely consolidated after some volatility this
week. April live cattle futures rose 0.3% to $1.22100 a pound in
Friday's session, while the cash market trade continued quiet.
Dealers said they expected the cash trade to take off after the
report Friday. Cattle sales averaged at $1.33 a pound during an
online auction on Wednesday, prices sufficiently high enough to
scare packers off buying in the hope that they would cool later in
the week.
Write to Benjamin Parkin at benjamin.parkin@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 24, 2017 16:15 ET (20:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.