Russia ETFs Plunge On Protests, Crude Oil Slump - ETF News And Commentary
07 March 2012 - 6:01PM
Zacks
As expected, current Prime Minister of Russia, Vladimir Putin,
easily won the Russian Presidential election ensuring his return to
the Presidency for a six year term. Putin easily beat out his
competitors, garnering over 63% of the vote, although widespread
ballot stuffing and other voting irregularities were reported
across the country. Thanks to this, as well as general opposition
to another round of Putin’s rule by many in the opposition,
protests hit major cities in Russia leading to hundreds of
arrests.
As a result, there was an uneasy tone across much of the country
as Putin inevitable takes over from current leader Medvedev. The
news of the protests and the subsequent arrests lead some to
believe that the new Putin regime will be pretty similar to the old
one, although it should be noted that at least there were no
casualties among the protestors, at least at time of writing.
Nevertheless, the ratings agency Fitch warned about the dangers of
confrontation, suggesting that an escalation in the country could
do harm to investor confidence in the nation at this uncertain time
(read Is Now The Time To Buy Russia ETFs?).
Due to this perception, as well as the uncertainty over how
aggressive the opposition will become in the weeks and months
ahead, Russian stocks sold off recently following the protests. The
MICEX Index—a cap weighted benchmark of the 30 largest and most
liquid Russian stocks—plunged by nearly 4.5% in trading during, and
immediately following, the protests. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar
continued to strengthen against the Russian ruble, rising from just
under one dollar to 29.0 rubles at the end of the month to its
current level of one dollar for every 29.62 rubles (see Emerging
Market Currency ETFs: A Great Start to 2012).
Furthermore, the slump in crude oil didn’t help matters either
for Russian stocks, as the economy of the key market is heavily
dependent on petroleum products. Prices of Brent crude oil have
fallen by nearly $3/bbl. in about two trading sessions while
natural gas prices have remained weak as well. This downturn in
hydrocarbon prices, as well as continued concern over the Greek
crisis, have helped to push demand down for risky BRIC stocks,
adding to Russian equity woes in recent trading.
While only a handful of Russian securities trade on U.S.
exchanges, investors still have several options to play the market
via ETFs. Beyond the two 3x products from Direxion that track the
market on a daily basis—RUSS and
RUSL—there are currently four products that follow
Russian stocks. Below, we look to briefly highlight these funds and
how they have performed in the wake of Putin’s win and the recent
downturn in the price of oil:
Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX)
This fund is by far the most popular ETF tracking the Russia
market, having amassed over $2.2 billion in AUM. The ETF currently
holds 47 components in its basket, giving high weightings to the
energy (39%), basic materials (21%), and financials (12%). Large
cap exposure dominates the fund, making up just over 70% of the
product, although mid and small caps do receive a decent allocation
as well. In trading immediately following the protest, the ETF sank
by 5.8%, pushing the losses to 6.1% for the past five day period
(read Three Overlooked Emerging Market ETFs).
iShares MSCI Russia Capped Index Fund (ERUS)
iShares’ entrant in the space is ERUS, a fund that holds about
27 securities and charges investors 65 basis points a year in fees.
The fund is heavily concentrated in energy stocks as this sector
makes up 55% of the total fund exposure. In terms of industry
holdings, this leads integrated oil & gas firms to a 43%
allocation, banks with a 14% holding, and energy exploration and
production firms in third with nine percent. Additionally, the fund
is also heavily concentrated from an individual holding
perspective; Gazprom, Lukoil and Sberbank of Russia combine to
account for roughly 44% of the total assets. With this backdrop,
the fund lost about 6.5% in Tuesday trading while it has lost less
over the past five days, falling by 5.3%.
SPDR S&P Russia ETF (RBL)
For the cheapest—but least popular—ETF in the Russia space,
investors should look no further than RBL. The fund holds 42
securities in its basket while charging investors 59 basis points a
year in fees. The product has a similar concentration and top
holdings profile as ERUS, although it does put slightly more into
the basic materials sector. The fund also does pay a decent
dividend—2.2%-- but it does have the least in volume among the
three. In terms of performance, RBL was down about 4.4% after the
protests and the slide in oil, while it lost 5.1% in the trailing
five day period (see Five Cheaper ETFs You Probably
Overlooked).
Market Vectors Russia Small-Cap ETF (RSXJ)
If investors are looking for a small cap play on the Russian
market, RSXJ is the only real choice at this time. The fund trades
on light volume and has seen little in inflows, giving the fund a
relatively wide bid ask spread compared to many of its peers in the
space. Nevertheless, it could give investors a different way to
play the market since small caps account for 76% of the fund and
micro caps make up another 22%. In terms of sectors, energy still
receives the top spot, but industrials come in second and are
closely trailed by basic materials, and cyclical consumer stocks.
For performance, RSXJ declined by 4.4% in Tuesday trading, pushing
the product to a 6.3% loss in the trailing five day period.
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