Economic uncertainty all over the world has taken a toll on
equity markets, rendering them highly unpredictable at this time.
Some respite comes from commodities like precious metals, but even
these have seen some weakness thanks to a stronger
dollar.
Beyond a strong dollar, commodities have also experienced
weakness thanks to a sluggish global economic outlook. Concerns
have centered on the deepening Euro zone debt crisis and a dismal
U.S. job scenario, both of which have kept commodity prices under
pressure in 2012 (Read: Precious Metal ETFs Slump On Bernanke
Testimony).
Despite these conditions, there have been a couple winners so
far this year, although they have been few and far between.
Seemingly, these top performers could act as a safe haven in the
current market storm or could at least hold up better than their
counterparts if the markets continue to remain sluggish (Read:
Cocoa ETFs: The Safe Haven In Agricultural Commodities?)
Interestingly, the top performers haven’t been focused on any
particular sector but have been spread out among the various
commodity groups. This suggests that there have been winners in
every corner of the space, implying that investors who have been
burned by broader based commodity funds this year may want to
consider looking at any of the following commodity ETFs that we
have highlighted below:
E-TRACS Natural Gas Futures Contango ETN
(GASZ)
Though the ramp up of natural gas production and subsequent
supply glut weighed on natural gas prices, this fund generated
exciting returns of more than 11% during the last five months in
the current turmoil. (Read: Have The Natural Gas ETFs Finally
Bottomed Out?) This is primarily driven by its contango effect in
natural gas markets, where longer-dated contracts are more
expensive.
The fund takes short positions in the near-term expiry futures
contracts and long positions in the mid-term expiry futures
contracts. As mid-term contracts are priced at higher prices than
near-term contracts, the fund capitalizes on the price difference
in the form of higher returns.
With AUM of $12.2 million, the ETN seeks to match the
performance of the ISE Natural Gas Futures Spread Index. The
product is less volatile and trades in small volumes say nearly
10,000 per share on a daily basis. The fund seems costly relative
to other ETFs in the space, charging investors a fee of 85 bps
annually, although it does arguably have a more advanced
strategy.
Teucrium Soybean Fund
(SOYB)
This fund surged more than 7% in the past five months since
soybean prices reached an all-time high due to lower plantings of
the key crop. The fund also benefited from the reduced effects of
backwardation and contango.
Investors seeking direct exposure to soybean may find this fund
an intriguing option. The product invests in three soybean futures
contracts, each having their own weightings in the basket. These
three futures contracts expiring November 2012, January 2013 and
November 2013 have weightings of 35%, 30%, and 35%,
respectively.
The fund has assets of about $4.5 million under its management
and is less liquid with small daily trading volume. The product is
the high cost choice in the space as it charges a fee of about 100
bps per year. Further, a large bid/ask spread increases the cost of
investment to those who are looking to make a quick trade.
Silver ETFs
Another segment which has been strong in the commodity world
this year has been that of the silver market. The white metal has
managed to add about 6% on the year, outpacing many other products
in the space.
Silver has largely been assisted by the fact that not only is it
a precious metal and a store of wealth, but it also has a number of
key industrial applications as well. Thanks to this, the metal can
perform better during uncertain market conditions where industries
haven’t gone down the tubes, making it a solid investment during
this type of market (Read: Silver ETFs Outshine Gold).
In order to play silver, ETF investors have a variety of options
at their disposal. Three of the most popular are DBS, SIVR, and
SLV, each of which we have briefly highlighted below:
PowerShares DB Silver Fund
(DBS)
DBS seeks to replicate the performance of the Deutsche Bank
Liquid Commodity Index - Optimum Yield Silver Excess Return, before
fees and expenses. The fund provides exposure in the futures market
rather than spot market.
The product has $68.9 million of assets under its management and
uses the passive approach. It charges an annual fee of 50 bps per
year and is highly volatile. The fund trades good volumes of about
17,000 per share on average daily basis.
ETFS Physical Silver Shares
(SIVR)
With AUM of $472.2 million, the fund tracks the spot price of
silver bullion, net of fees and expenses and own silver bars to
back the shares. SIVR is backed by physical silver under the
custody of HSBC Bank USA in London.
The fund is highly traded and provides ample flexibility. It
offers simple and cost-efficient ways to investors seeking exposure
to silver bullion. The product is the low cost choice in the
commodity space charging investors a fee of 30 bps per year with
low bid/ask spread and good tracking error.
iShares Silver Trust ETF
(SLV)
The fund seeks to match the spot price of silver bullion, net of
fees and expenses. It is backed by physical silver under the
custody of JP Morgan Chase Bank in London (See more ETFs in the
Zacks ETF Center).
The product is highly traded and is one of the largest ETFs in
the space with assets of $8.5 billion under its management. It
offers investors an easy and potentially lucrative method for
gaining exposure to the price of silver. Unlike SLVR, this fund is
quite expensive with an expense ratio of 0.50%.
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PWRSH-DB SILVER (DBS): ETF Research Reports
E-TRC NAT GAS (GASZ): ETF Research Reports
ETF-SILVER TRST (SIVR): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SLVR TR (SLV): ETF Research Reports
TEUCRM-SOYBEAN (SOYB): ETF Research Reports
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