Forget Big Pharma, It Is Time For A Biotech ETF - ETF News And Commentary
09 February 2012 - 8:17PM
Zacks
Recent earnings reports from a few bellwethers in the
pharmaceutical space suggest that more pain is likely ahead for the
beleaguered industry. Both Pfizer (PFE) and
Eli Lilly (LLY) managed to beat expectations for
the latest quarter, but clearly competition from generics and a
lack of new products in the pipeline are beginning to have a huge
impact on securities in this space. In fact, in this the first
quarter in which both PFE’s and LLY’s once blockbuster drugs were
off patent, net income fell by 50% and 27% respectively, for the
giants. This suggests that the only thing that kept these
securities from tumbling was the incredibly low expectations that
analysts have for the firms and that further weakness could be seen
unless R&D efforts pay off soon.
Meanwhile, in the biotech space, the situation is much brighter
thanks to strong sales for many of the industry’s top drugs. This
is best evidenced by Biogen’s (BIIB) recent surge
in income thanks to its multiple sclerosis drugs, as well as an
increase in revenues for Amgen although earnings did slump below
estimates in a recent release but the firm did increase its
guidance for the 2012 fiscal year (read Are Telecom ETFs In
Trouble?).
Additionally, the rather robust pipelines of many firms could
also assist many biotechs in becoming takeover targets, either by
larger biotechs or firms that are more in the pharma space.
According to recent reports, giants in the space such as the
aforementioned PFE as well as Johnson &
Johnson (JNJ) and Merck (MRK), combine to
have more than $60 billion in cash on hand, meaning that a flurry
of smaller biotech acquisitions shouldn’t be out of the question
for these firms. In fact, we are already starting to see this
trend play out—at least from the biotech giants-- as Amgen recently
announced plans to purchase Micromet while Celgene
(CELG) revealed a deal to scoop up Avila Therapeutics for
$925 million, possibly foreshadowing a wave of mergers in the space
which could boost stock prices of many of the smaller firms in the
sector that have quality pipelines (see Three Low Beta Sector
ETFs).
In this space, investors currently have five choices from which
to pick from. Although each of the funds offer quality levels of
exposure to the space, there are a few key differences that
investors should be aware of before making a play on this
intriguing sector:
iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology ETF (IBB)
This fund tracks the NASDAQ Biotechnology Index which consists
of companies that are exposed to the sector and that trade on the
NASDAQ market. The product currently consists of about 120
securities and charges investors 48 basis points a year in fees.
Top holdings include Amgen (AMGN) at 8.5% of the
portfolio, Alexion (ALXN) at 6.5% and Celgene at
6.4%. Over the past fifty two weeks, the product has risen by 28.7%
and has surged by 25.7% in the past three month period alone (read
Which Auto ETF Should You Take For A Ride?).
PowerShares Dynamic Biotech & Genome Portfolio (PBE)
For investors seeking greater exposure to the genome side of the
market, PBE could make for an interesting pick. The fund tracks a
slightly more ‘active’ index which looks to screen out some of the
lowest rated stocks, giving the portfolio just 30 securities in
total. Still, the product is pretty well diversified among
individual securities as Life Technologies (LIFE)
takes the top spot with 5.6% of the assets but
Vertex (VRTX) and Amgen each also comprise at
least 5.2% of the fund as well. Longer term performance has been
subpar for this small cap heavy fund in light of the recession but
it has managed to turn things around recently, gaining 17.6% in the
past quarter but just 8.1% in the past one year period.
SPDR S&P Biotech (XBI)
State Street’s entrant in the space is XBI, a fund that follows
the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index. This benchmark
produces a fund that holds just under 50 holdings while charging
investors a pretty low 35 basis points a year in fees. Like many
products in the space, this one is skewed towards mid and small cap
securities, as XBI has an average market cap of just $7.4 million.
Top holdings include a large number of these types of firms as
Denderon (DNDN) takes the top spot but is closely
followed by Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN).
XBI’s performance has been pretty solid over the past 52 weeks as
the fund has gained just over 29.6% in the time period including a
nearly 27.5% gain in the past quarter (read Time To Buy The Media
ETF).
First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Fund (FBT)
For investors seeking a more a very pure play approach to the
space, FBT could be an interesting choice. The fund tracks firms
that are primarily engaged in the use of biological processes to
develop products or services. With this tight focus, the fund only
has 20 securities in its basket but charges investors 60 basis
points a year in fees for its services. Thanks to the use of equal
weighting, small caps play an outsized role in the fund and no one
security takes up too much of the assets. In fact, the top three
holdings make up roughly 6% each while every security in the top
ten accounts for at least 4.8% of the assets. Performance has
been pretty solid in this fund too, as FBT rose by about 27.4% in
the past quarter but has slumped from longer term metrics, gaining
8.4% in the past one year period (read Three Technology ETFs
Outperforming XLK).
Market Vectors Biotech ETF (BBH)
This former Merrill Lynch HOLDR recently underwent a conversion
to become the Market Vectors Biotech ETF, tracking the Market
Vectors US Listed Biotech 25 Index. Thanks to this, the product now
charges investors 35 basis points a year in fees but is still
seeing light volume post-conversion. Nevertheless, the product
could see more of a tilt towards the large caps in the space and
thus be an interesting play from that perspective. Top holdings
include Amgen at close to 16.9% while Gilead
Sciences (GILD) and Celgene occupy roughly 10% and 9%,
respectively. In terms of performance, direct comparisons are not
really possible due to the conversion and the shifting benchmark,
but investors should note that the product is up double digits
since its conversion in late December including a 20.4% jump since
the start of the year.
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Disclosure: Author holds a small position in PFE and PBE.
AMGEN INC (AMGN): Free Stock Analysis Report
BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB): Free Stock Analysis Report
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD): Free Stock Analysis Report
LILLY ELI & CO (LLY): Free Stock Analysis Report
MERCK & CO INC (MRK): Free Stock Analysis Report
PFIZER INC (PFE): Free Stock Analysis Report
VERTEX PHARM (VRTX): Free Stock Analysis Report
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