Osmium Partners Believes Redbubble is Significantly Undervalued and Urges the Board to Immediately Retain a Top Tier Investment Bank and Explore the Immediate Sale of the Company
28 February 2022 - 8:00AM
Business Wire
- Osmium Strongly Believes that in a Well-Organized Sale to a
Strategic Buyer, Redbubble Could Achieve a Sale Price of $5-$7+ Per
Share
- Osmium Seeks the Immediate Appointment of Mike McConnell to
Redbubble’s Board of Directors
- Osmium Looks Forward to Working Constructively with Redbubble’s
Board of Directors to Realize Shareholder Value
- PLEASE BE SURE TO READ THE DISCLAIMER OF RISK FACTORS AT THE
END OF THIS RELEASE
Osmium Partners today issued a letter to the Redbubble Board of
Directors.
Letter #1’s full text is available at
www.unlockshareholdervalue.com.
Dear Redbubble Board Members,
Osmium Partners, Ltd. (together with its affiliates, “Osmium” or
“we”) has been a long-term shareholder of Redbubble Ltd
(“Redbubble” or the “Company”) and currently beneficially owns
15,889,901 ordinary shares or approximately 6% of the outstanding
shares. We have had a constructive relationship with Chairwoman
Anne Ward and management to date but strongly believe now is the
time to face facts and act. Accordingly, we are writing this letter
to urge the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) to
immediately explore the sale of the company to a strategic
buyer.
Why Sell Redbubble Now?
- We strongly believe a strategic buyer
such as Etsy, eBay, Amazon, or Walmart Digital could increase
Redbubble’s 2025 EBITDA targets from
$187 million to $400 million+. We believe if Etsy converted
just 5% of its buyers and sellers to Redbubble’s platform, the
result would be nearly $800 million in high-margin incremental
revenue! Additionally, we believe Etsy’s annual revenue growth rate
would increase from 20% to nearly 40% for 2022 and likely drive
high growth over the coming years. Lastly, our discounted cash flow
model suggests that public markets could add $3 billion-$4 billion
to Etsy’s market cap under this accelerated growth trajectory.
- Since 2016 Redbubble has delivered an impressive 233% revenue
growth and generated $100 million in free cash flow. In addition,
Redbubble total custom t-shirt revenue of $180 million (USD)
represents just under 10% of the North American market share of $2
billion in annual sales. We believe this type of strong market
penetration could spread to other growing products. Unfortunately,
despite these accomplishments, Redbubble has failed to find footing
as a public company. Redbubble’s current
valuation of 0.6x sales is now 1/10th of our peer universe despite
ranking in the top 33% for growth and top 45% for operating cash
flow over the last five years. We believe that now is the
time to acknowledge the strategic value that has been built but
gone unrecognized in the public markets and evaluate the best
risk-adjusted path forward.
- Currently, digital marketplaces account for more than $1
trillion in market cap. Given the high barriers to entry, it is
less risky and more cost-effective to buy a digital marketplace
than to build one from scratch. We believe this dynamic makes
Redbubble a highly attractive acquisition candidate especially
given robust M&A activity – the top 10 buyers of digital
marketplaces/e-commerce have made more than 100 acquisitions.
We strongly believe that Redbubble could sell
for $5-$7 per share in a well-organized sale process, benefitting
employees, shareholders, artists, and customers.
Sincerely,
John H. Lewis on behalf of Osmium Partners, LLC
About Osmium Partners
We seek to generate strong, risk-adjusted returns by investing
in undervalued, small capitalization companies across equity
markets. Our Osmium 8 research process is based on eight simple
factors involving factors such as balance sheet strength, aligned
interests, attractive reinvestment opportunities, a low valuation,
and reasonable growth prospects. As engaged owners, we actively
discuss corporate strategy and capital structure with management
teams and boards of directors. We prefer to conduct these
discussions in private, but we will publicly debate important items
with all shareholders when appropriate. Osmium has appointed over
15 directors to public companies and had in excess of 20 of our
public holdings acquired by largely strategic buyers.
Disclaimer
Certain factual and statistical (both historical and projected)
industry and market data and other information contained herein was
obtained by Osmium Partners from independent, third-party sources
that it deems to be reliable. However, Osmium Partners has not
independently verified any of such data or other information, or
the reasonableness of the assumptions upon which such data and
other information was based, and there can be no assurance as to
the accuracy of such data and other information. Further, many of
the statements and assertions contained herein reflect the belief
of Osmium Partners, which belief may be based in whole or in part
on such data and other information.
The analyses provided may include certain statements,
assumptions, estimates, and projections prepared with respect to,
among other things, the historical and anticipated operating
performance of the companies. Such statements, assumptions,
estimates, and projections reflect various assumptions by Osmium
Partners concerning anticipated results that are inherently subject
to significant economic, competitive, and other uncertainties and
contingencies and have been included solely for illustrative
purposes. No representations, express or implied, are made as to
the accuracy or completeness of such statements, assumptions,
estimates, or projections or with respect to any materials herein.
Actual results may vary materially from the estimates and projected
results contained herein. Past Osmium performance is not indicative
of future results. Osmium takes at times highly concentrated
positions. Osmium Partners disclaims any obligation to update this
letter.
The analyses contained herein are not, and do not purport to be
appraisals of the assets, shares or business of any company or any
other entity. This document does not constitute any recommendation
to buy, sell or otherwise transact with any securities issued by or
pertaining to any company or any other entity. Each party to whom
this document is made available must make its own independent
assessment of any company or any other entity after making such
investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed
necessary.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220227005104/en/
Osmium Partners John Lewis jl@osmiumpartners.com
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