Dollar Mostly Higher Ahead Of Friday's Data Deluge
15 January 2016 - 1:09AM
RTTF2
The dollar is trading higher against the Euro and the Japanese
Yen Thursday morning, but is down slightly against the British
pound. Investors finally got some U.S. economic data to react to
this morning and are preparing themselves for a barrage of data on
Friday.
First-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly
increased in the week ended January 9th, according to a report
released by the Labor Department on Thursday. The report said
initial jobless claims climbed to 284,000, an increase of 7,000
from the previous week's unrevised level of 277,000. Economists had
expected jobless claims to edge down to 275,000.
While the Labor Department released a report on Thursday showing
a significant drop in U.S. import prices in the month of December,
the decrease was not quite as steep as economists had
anticipated.
The Labor Department said import prices tumbled by 1.2 percent
in December after falling by a revised 0.5 percent in November.
Economists had expected import prices to slump by 1.4 percent
compared to the 0.4 percent drop originally reported for the
previous month.
The report also said export prices slid by 1.1 percent in
December following a revised 0.7 percent decrease in November.
Export prices had been expected to dip by 0.5 percent compared to
the 0.6 percent decrease originally reported for the previous
month.
Investors can look forward to the release of the producer price
index, retail sales, industrial production and consumer sentiment
among others on Friday.
Rate-setters were divided on the size of the interest rate
reduction during the December policy session and they explored the
possibility of further easing in future, the minutes of the
meeting, released Thursday by the European Central Bank,
showed.
"Some members expressed a preference for a 20 basis point cut in
the deposit facility rate at the current meeting, mainly with a
view to strengthening the easing impact of this measure and
reflecting the view that, to date, no material negative side
effects on bank margins and financial stability had emerged," the
minutes of the December 3 meeting, said.
On December 3, the bank cut its deposit facility rate by 10
basis points to a record low -0.30 percent. The size of the
reduction was at the lower end of the 10-20 basis points cut
economists had forecast.
The minutes said some members were cautious regarding a deeper
rate cut as they felt it will increase the side effects over
time.
"A cut in the deposit facility rate of 10 basis points was seen
as unlikely to trigger material negative side effects and was also
seen as having the advantage of leaving some room for further
downward adjustments, should the need arise," the report said.
The dollar dropped to an early low of $1.0942 against the Euro
Thursday, but has since bounced back to around $1.0860.
The German economy grew the most in four years in 2015 as feeble
inflation, record low unemployment and wage growth boosted
household spending. Gross domestic product advanced 1.7 percent
after expanding 1.6 percent in the previous year, Destatis said
Thursday. This was the fastest growth since 2011, when GDP climbed
3.7 percent.
Germany's wholesale prices continued to fall in December but the
pace of decline slowed further, Destatis reported Thursday.
Wholesale prices decreased 1 percent year-on-year in December,
slower than the 1.1 percent drop seen in November. Nonetheless, the
index has been falling since July 2013.
The Bank of England maintained its record low interest rate and
quantitative easing unchanged as expected, on Thursday.
Policymakers observed that downside risks to global growth and
the recent decline in oil prices could depress the near-term
inflation outlook.
The Monetary Policy Committee, governed by Mark Carney, voted
8-1 to keep the interest rate unchanged at 0.50 percent. The rate
has been at the current record low level since early 2009.
The MPC voted unanimously to retain the asset purchase plan at
GBP 375 billion.
Ian McCafferty has been the sole dissenter since August, seeking
a 25 basis points rate hike, suggesting that the majority of
policymakers are in no hurry to tighten monetary policy.
The buck reached a high of $1.4359 against the pound sterling
Thursday, but has since eased back to around $1.4410.
The greenback has climbed to around Y118.175 against the
Japanese Yen this afternoon, from around Y117.400 this morning.
Core machine orders in Japan plummeted 14.4 percent on month in
November, the Cabinet Office said on Thursday, worth 773.8 billion
yen. The headline figure missed forecasts for a decline of 7.3
percent following the 10.7 percent increase in October.
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