Detroit Auto Makers' Share Of Fleet Business At Risk
08 October 2009 - 6:41AM
Dow Jones News
The U.S. fleet market is starting to stabilize, but domestic
auto makers makers risk losing ground to overseas rivals in sales
to rental companies and big corporate and government users.
The loss of retail market share to foreign-based auto makers
over the past 30 years is well documented, but the decline in a
fleet market that will account for 1 million vehicle sales this
year is only now emerging.
General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. (F) - which sold rental titan
Hertz in 2005 - and Chrysler LLC have for years been pruning their
exposure to what has traditionally been a lower margin business
than retail sales.
But now fleet buyers are looking to reduce their exposure to
Detroit companies at a time when those sales provide critical
business to the auto makers in tough economic times.
GM and Ford executives, in recent conference calls to announce
September sales, said they are looking forward to increased fleet
business as the market picks up.
The fleet business, particularly to daily rental companies stung
by a depressed travel industry, has fallen off in 2009. Rental
companies are on track to buy around 1 million vehicles this year,
down from 1.5 million in 2008 and 2 million traditionally, Manheim
Auctions Chief Economist Tom Webb said.
As with retail sales, it remains unclear to what level sales
will return when the market recovers. A full recovery appears
unlikely, since many rental and fleet buyers - in what started as a
money-saving move - have made a permanent shift toward keeping
vehicles in service longer, resulting in less turnover.
Cars and trucks made by Japanese and Korean car companies such
as Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO, TM) and Hyundai Motor Co.
(005380.SE, HYMLY), already are comprising a larger share of the
nation's vehicle fleets.
About 56% of vehicles in daily rental fleets are made by
domestic auto makers, down from more than 80% in recent years,
according to Manheim. Domestic sales are down as well to corporate
and government fleets, which comprised 75% of those sales sales in
2008, down from 84% in 2006, according to National Association of
Fleet Administrators.
The decline is caused in part by deep cuts this year by the
three domestic manufacturers that forced fleet buyers to find
vehicles elsewhere. Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor Co.
(7267.TO, HMC) also cut production. However, others, such as
Hyundai, made smaller reductions while increasing sales to rental
companies.
At the same time, rental car companies and, to a lesser extent,
buyers of corporate and government fleet vehicles, are making a
concerted effort to move away from domestic brand vehicles because
of favorable financing terms and residual values boasted by some of
Detroit's rivals.
Executives at Hertz Corp. (HRZ), the world's largest car rental
firm, told investors last week the company wants to purchase more
vehicles from Toyota and Nissan Motor Co. (7201.TO, NSANY) in 2010.
The company expects to buy more import-brand luxury models as well,
including cars from Toyota's Lexus and German manufacturers.
In part that's because rental car companies are able to get
better financing rates when dealing with with investment grade
companies, such as Toyota, Nissan and Honda, Hertz Chief Executive
Mark Frissora said at an analysts' conference Oct. 1.
"Having a really good position with those people is very helpful
in terms of fleet financing," he said.
Residual values, long a strength of Asian auto makers, have
become a larger issue as well. As the retail auto industry has
moved away from leasing, rental companies as well have begun to buy
rather than lease vehicles. This means they, rather than
manufacturers, must find buyers for the vehicles once they're out
of service.
Image problems, overproduction and a tradition of deep
discounting has driven down resale values of many Detroit-made
nameplates over many years. While domestic companies have moved to
reverse this trend, the companies still lag relative to Toyota,
Honda and others.
The risk of lost sales comes just as Detroit's auto makers
succeeded in making the fleet business a more profitable one,
rather than just a dumping ground for unpopular or overproduced
vehicles.
GM, notorious for excessive reliance on fleet sales, has reduced
that dependence in recent years. The sales price of a car sold to a
rental agency is now just $200 less than one sold to a retail
customer, GM spokesman John McDonald said.
"Clearly, we are interested to hanging on to the daily rental
business that we have," he said.
-By Sharon Terlep; 248-204-5532; sharon.terlep@dowjones.com.