Baytex Energy Corp. ("Baytex")(TSX, NYSE: BTE) reports its
operating and financial results for the three months ended March
31, 2019 (all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise
noted).
“This marks the first quarter where we have
demonstrated the benefit of the Baytex and Raging River combination
as we have increased our operating netback, delivered meaningful
free cash flow and started to strengthen our balance sheet. Our
first quarter results were underpinned by robust operating
performance across our asset base in Canada and the U.S. Our sound
operating results, combined with improved pricing in Canada,
resulted in a 100% increase in our adjusted funds flow compared to
the fourth quarter of 2018. We are well positioned to execute our
business plan focused on free cash flow generation,” commented Ed
LaFehr, President and Chief Executive Officer.
2019 Outlook
Based on the forward strip for 2019(1), we are
now forecasting adjusted funds flow for 2019 of approximately $950
million. Further deleveraging remains a top priority with adjusted
funds flow now exceeding the midpoint of our capital guidance by
$350 million, which will support accelerated debt
repayment.
Given our strong operating performance to date,
we are tightening our 2019 production guidance range to 95,000 to
97,000 boe/d (previously 93,000 to 97,000 boe/d) with budgeted
exploration and development capital expenditures of $575 to $625
million (previously $550 to $650 million).
(1) Pricing assumptions: WTI - US$61/bbl; LLS - US$67/bbl;
WCS differential - US$15/bbl; MSW differential – US$6/bbl, NYMEX
Gas - US$2.80/mcf; AECO Gas - $1.50/mcf and Exchange Rate (CAD/USD)
- 1.34.
Q1/2019 Highlights
- Generated production of 101,115 boe/d (84% oil and NGL),
exceeding the high end of our annual guidance and a 2% increase
over Q4/2018.
- Delivered adjusted funds flow of $221 million ($0.40 per basic
share), a 100% increase compared to $111 million ($0.20 per
basic share) in Q4/2018.
- Reduced net debt by $90 million during the quarter as adjusted
funds flow exceeded capital expenditures.
- Realized an operating netback of $26.56/boe ($28.63/boe
including financial derivatives).
- Eagle Ford production increased 7% to 41,097 boe/d,
representing the highest quarterly production rate achieved in the
field and reflects continued strong well performance and an active
first quarter completion program.
- Production in Canada remained strong at 60,018 boe/d. We
maintained a consistent development program in the Viking and
reinitiated activity on our heavy oil assets, including the
completion of three previously deferred wells at Peace River.
- Continued to advance the evaluation of the East Duvernay Shale
where two of four planned wells were drilled.
Completion activities are scheduled to commence in Q2/2019 to
confirm well productivities and the de-risking of the majority of
our 250 sections of land in the Pembina area.
- Extended the maturity of our revolving credit facilities to
April 2021. We maintain strong financial liquidity with our credit
facilities approximately 50% undrawn.
|
Three Months Ended |
|
March 31, 2019 |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
|
March 31, 2018 |
|
FINANCIAL (thousands of Canadian dollars, except
per common share amounts) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and
natural gas sales |
$ |
453,424 |
|
$ |
358,437 |
|
$ |
286,067 |
|
Adjusted funds
flow (1) |
|
220,770 |
|
|
110,828 |
|
|
84,255 |
|
Per share
- basic |
|
0.40 |
|
|
0.20 |
|
|
0.36 |
|
Per share
- diluted |
|
0.40 |
|
|
0.20 |
|
|
0.36 |
|
Net income
(loss) |
|
11,336 |
|
|
(231,238 |
) |
|
(62,722 |
) |
Per share
- basic |
|
0.02 |
|
|
(0.42 |
) |
|
(0.27 |
) |
Per share
- diluted |
|
0.02 |
|
|
(0.42 |
) |
|
(0.27 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital
Expenditures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development expenditures (1) |
$ |
153,843 |
|
$ |
184,162 |
|
$ |
93,534 |
|
Acquisitions, net of divestitures |
|
- |
|
|
183 |
|
|
(2,026 |
) |
Total oil and natural gas capital expenditures |
$ |
153,843 |
|
$ |
184,345 |
|
$ |
91,508 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net
Debt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bank loan
(2) |
$ |
550,751 |
|
$ |
522,294 |
|
$ |
212,571 |
|
Long-term notes (2) |
|
1,569,153 |
|
|
1,596,323 |
|
|
1,525,595 |
|
Long-term
debt |
|
2,119,904 |
|
|
2,118,617 |
|
|
1,738,166 |
|
Working
capital deficiency |
|
55,337 |
|
|
146,550 |
|
|
45,213 |
|
Net debt (1) |
$ |
2,175,241 |
|
$ |
2,265,167 |
|
$ |
1,783,379 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares
Outstanding - basic (thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted
average |
|
555,438 |
|
|
554,036 |
|
|
236,315 |
|
End of period |
|
555,872 |
|
|
554,060 |
|
|
236,578 |
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
March 31, 2019 |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
March 31, 2018 |
|
OPERATING |
|
|
|
Daily
Production |
|
|
|
Light oil
and condensate (bbl/d) |
45,048 |
|
44,987 |
|
20,967 |
|
Heavy oil
(bbl/d) |
26,891 |
|
26,339 |
|
24,868 |
|
NGL (bbl/d) |
11,729 |
|
10,327 |
|
9,143 |
|
Total
liquids (bbl/d) |
83,668 |
|
81,653 |
|
54,978 |
|
Natural
gas (mcf/d) |
104,682 |
|
103,424 |
|
87,261 |
|
Oil equivalent (boe/d @ 6:1) (3) |
101,115 |
|
98,890 |
|
69,522 |
|
|
|
|
|
Netback (thousands of Canadian dollars) |
|
|
|
Total sales, net of
blending and other expense (4) |
$ |
436,636 |
|
$ |
344,682 |
|
$ |
268,777 |
|
Royalties |
(81,325 |
) |
(79,765 |
) |
(64,839 |
) |
Operating
expense |
(100,292 |
) |
(97,857 |
) |
(65,888 |
) |
Transportation expense |
(13,330 |
) |
(10,994 |
) |
(8,519 |
) |
Operating netback |
$ |
241,689 |
|
$ |
156,066 |
|
$ |
129,531 |
|
General
and administrative |
(14,136 |
) |
(14,096 |
) |
(11,008 |
) |
Cash
financing and interest |
(28,184 |
) |
(27,933 |
) |
(24,511 |
) |
Realized
financial derivatives gain (loss) |
18,814 |
|
(3,063 |
) |
(9,841 |
) |
Other
(5) |
2,587 |
|
(146 |
) |
84 |
|
Adjusted funds flow (1) |
$ |
220,770 |
|
$ |
110,828 |
|
$ |
84,255 |
|
|
|
|
|
Netback (per boe) |
|
|
|
Total
sales, net of blending and other expense (4) |
$ |
47.98 |
|
$ |
37.89 |
|
$ |
42.96 |
|
Royalties |
(8.94 |
) |
(8.77 |
) |
(10.36 |
) |
Operating
expense |
(11.02 |
) |
(10.76 |
) |
(10.53 |
) |
Transportation expense |
(1.46 |
) |
(1.21 |
) |
(1.36 |
) |
Operating netback (1) |
$ |
26.56 |
|
$ |
17.15 |
|
$ |
20.71 |
|
General
and administrative |
(1.55 |
) |
(1.55 |
) |
(1.76 |
) |
Cash
financing and interest |
(3.10 |
) |
(3.07 |
) |
(3.92 |
) |
Realized
financial derivatives gain (loss) |
2.07 |
|
(0.34 |
) |
(1.57 |
) |
Other
(5) |
0.28 |
|
(0.02 |
) |
0.01 |
|
Adjusted funds flow (1) |
$ |
24.26 |
|
$ |
12.17 |
|
$ |
13.47 |
|
Notes:
- The terms “adjusted funds flow”, “exploration and development
expenditures”, “net debt” and “operating netback” do not have any
standardized meaning as prescribed by Canadian Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) and therefore may not be comparable
to similar measures presented by other companies where similar
terminology is used. We refer you to the advisory on non-GAAP
measures at the end of this press release.
- Principal amount of instruments. The carrying amount of debt
issue costs associated with the bank loan and long-term notes are
excluded on the basis that these amounts have been paid by Baytex
and do not represent an additional source of liquidity or repayment
obligations.
- Barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") amounts have been calculated
using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas
to one barrel of oil. The use of boe amounts may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six
thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on
an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead.
- Realized heavy oil prices are calculated based on sales
dollars, net of blending and other expense. We include the cost of
blending diluent in our realized heavy oil sales price in order to
compare the realized pricing on our produced volumes to the WCS
benchmark.
- Other is comprised of realized foreign exchange gain or loss,
other income or expense, current income tax expense or recovery and
payments on onerous contracts. Refer to the Q1/2019 MD&A for
further information on these amounts.
Operating Results
Our operating results for the first quarter of
2019 were buoyed by record production in the Eagle Ford and strong
operating performance in Canada in a much improved commodity price
environment. We successfully executed our first quarter drilling
program and continued to drive cost and capital efficiency in our
business. We are now realizing the benefits of the Baytex and
Raging River combination as we increase our operating netback,
deliver meaningful free cash flow and strengthen our balance
sheet.
Production during the first quarter averaged
101,115 boe/d (84% oil and NGL), as compared to 98,890 boe/d (83%
oil and NGL) in Q4/2018, exceeding the high end of our full-year
production guidance range.
Exploration and development expenditures totaled
$154 million in Q1/2019, consistent with the mid-point of our
guidance range of $600 million. We participated in the drilling of
126 (86.6 net) wells with a 99% success rate during the first
quarter.
Eagle Ford and Viking Light Oil
Production in the Eagle Ford averaged 41,097
boe/d (78% liquids) during Q1/2019, as compared to 38,437 boe/d in
Q4/2018. This represents the highest quarterly production rate ever
achieved in the field and reflects continued strong well
performance and an active first quarter completion program. We
commenced production from 36 (8.9 net) wells during the first
quarter, representing approximately one-third of our planned 2019
activity. The wells brought on-stream generated an average 30-day
initial production rate of approximately 1,600 boe/d per well.
During Q1/2019, production from the Viking
averaged 23,387 boe/d, as compared to 23,784 boe/d in Q4/2018. We
maintained a steady pace of development in Q1/2019 with five
drilling rigs and 1.5 frac crews executing our program, resulting
in 79 (67.8 net) wells. We continue to experience positive results
from our extended reach horizontal drilling program, which now
represents 85% of our Viking activity. Our capital program includes
the seasonal slowdown in Q2/2019 and we remain on track to drill
approximately 250 net wells this year.
Heavy Oil
Our heavy oil assets at Peace River and
Lloydminster produced a combined 29,341 boe/d during the first
quarter, as compared to 28,290 boe/d in Q4/2018. As commodity
prices and operating netbacks improved during the first quarter, we
reinitiated field activity, including the completion of three
previously deferred wells at Peace River. In addition, we continued
the ramp-up of our Kerrobert thermal expansion project achieving a
peak production rate of 2,500 bbl/d. We have also expanded our
acreage position at Peace River, acquiring an additional 26
sections of prospective land. We expect to drill our first
exploratory multilateral well on these lands in 2019.
With WCS differentials returning to historical
levels, the returns associated with continued development of our
heavy oil assets are now competitive or superior to those of our
other plays, allowing potential increased capital allocation to
those assets in the second half of 2019.
East Duvernay Shale Light Oil
We continue to prudently advance the delineation
of the East Duvernay Shale, an early stage, high operating netback
light oil resource play where we have amassed over 450 sections of
land. During Q1/2019, we drilled two of four planned land retention
and appraisal wells. The wells drilled to date have confirmed that
the net reservoir thickness and geological characteristics remain
consistent through the southern extent of our Pembina acreage.
Completion activities are scheduled to commence in Q2/2019 to
confirm well productivities and the de-risking of the majority of
our 250 sections of land in the Pembina area.
Financial Review
Our adjusted funds flow in Q1/2019 increased
100% as compared to Q4/2018, driven by strong operating performance
and the cash generating capability of our assets in an improved
commodity price environment. We generated adjusted funds flow of
$221 million ($0.40 per basic share) in Q1/2019, compared to $111
million ($0.20 per basic share) in Q4/2018.
In Q1/2019, the price for West Texas
Intermediate light oil (“WTI”) averaged US$54.90/bbl, as compared
to US$58.81/bbl in Q4/2018. The discount for Canadian heavy oil, as
measured by the price differential between Western Canadian Select
(“WCS”) and WTI, averaged US$12.29/bbl in Q1/2019 as compared to
US$39.42/bbl in Q4/2018. The discount for Canadian light oil, as
measured by the price differential between Canadian Mixed Sweet
Blend (“MSW”) and WTI, averaged US$4.85/bbl in Q1/2019 as compared
to US$26.51/bbl in Q4/2018.
We generated an operating netback of $26.56/boe
in Q1/2019, as compared to $17.15/boe in Q4/2018 and $20.71/boe in
Q1/2018. The Eagle Ford generated an operating netback of
$28.94/boe during Q1/2019 while our Canadian operations generated
an operating netback of $24.92/boe.
In the Eagle Ford, our assets are proximal to
Gulf Coast markets with light oil and condensate production priced
off the LLS crude oil benchmark, which is a function of the Brent
price. In Q1/2019, the price for LLS averaged US$61.60/bbl as
compared to US$66.64/bbl in Q4/2018. During Q1/2019, our light oil
and condensate realized price in the Eagle Ford was US$57.23/bbl
(or $76.06/bbl) representing a US$4.37/bbl discount to LLS.
The following table summarizes our operating
netbacks for the periods noted.
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
|
2019 |
2018 |
($ per boe except for production) |
Canada |
|
U.S. |
|
Total |
|
Canada |
|
U.S. |
|
Total |
|
Production (boe/d) |
60,018 |
|
41,097 |
|
101,115 |
|
33,505 |
|
36,017 |
|
69,522 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total sales, net of
blending and other (1) |
$ |
45.77 |
|
$ |
51.20 |
|
$ |
47.98 |
|
$ |
29.69 |
|
$ |
55.30 |
|
$ |
42.96 |
|
Royalties |
(4.66 |
) |
(15.18 |
) |
(8.94 |
) |
(3.76 |
) |
(16.51 |
) |
(10.36 |
) |
Operating
expense |
(13.72 |
) |
(7.08 |
) |
(11.02 |
) |
(15.06 |
) |
(6.31 |
) |
(10.53 |
) |
Transportation expense |
(2.47 |
) |
— |
|
(1.46 |
) |
(2.83 |
) |
— |
|
(1.36 |
) |
Operating netback (2) |
$ |
24.92 |
|
$ |
28.94 |
|
$ |
26.56 |
|
$ |
8.04 |
|
$ |
32.48 |
|
$ |
20.71 |
|
Realized financial derivatives gain (loss) |
— |
|
— |
|
2.07 |
|
— |
|
— |
|
(1.57 |
) |
Operating netback after financial derivatives |
$ |
24.92 |
|
$ |
28.94 |
|
$ |
28.63 |
|
$ |
8.04 |
|
$ |
32.48 |
|
$ |
19.14 |
|
Notes:
- Realized heavy oil prices are calculated based on sales
dollars, net of blending and other expense. We include the cost of
blending diluent in our realized heavy oil sales price in order to
compare the realized pricing on our produced volumes to the WCS
benchmark.
- The term “operating netback” does not have any standardized
meaning as prescribed by Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles (“GAAP”) and therefore may not be comparable to similar
measures presented by other companies where similar terminology is
used. We refer you to the advisory on non-GAAP measures at the end
of this press release.
Financial Liquidity
On May 2, 2019, we extended the maturity of our
revolving credit facilities to April 2021. The credit facilities
are not borrowing base facilities and do not require annual or
semi-annual reviews. Our credit facilities total approximately
$1.07 billion, comprised of US$575 million of revolving credit
facilities and a $300 million non-revolving term loan.
Our net debt, which includes our bank loan,
long-term notes and working capital, totaled $2.2 billion at March
31, 2019, down from $2.3 billion at December 31, 2018. We maintain
strong financial liquidity with our credit facilities approximately
50% undrawn and our first long-term note maturity not until
2021.
Risk Management
As part of our normal operations, we are exposed
to movements in commodity prices. In an effort to manage these
exposures, we utilize various financial derivative contracts,
crude-by-rail and capital allocation optimization to reduce the
volatility in our adjusted funds flow. We realized a financial
derivatives gain of $19 million in Q1/2019.
For the balance of 2019, we have now entered
into hedges on approximately 45% of our net crude oil exposure, up
from approximately 30% two months ago. This includes 40% of our net
WTI exposure with 17% fixed at US$62.72/bbl and 23% hedged
utilizing a 3-way option structure that provides us with a
US$10/bbl premium to WTI when WTI is at or below US$55.64/bbl and
allows upside participation to US$73.65/bbl. In addition, we have
entered into a Brent-based 3-way option structure for 3,000 bbl/d
that provides a US$10/bbl premium to Brent when Brent is at or
below US$59.50/bbl and allows upside participation to US$78.68/bbl.
We have also entered into hedges on approximately 22% of our net
natural gas exposure through a series of NYMEX swaps at
US$3.10/mmbtu. For 2020, we have entered into hedges on
approximately 15% of our net crude oil exposure, utilizing a 3-way
option structure that provides us with a US$9/bbl premium to WTI
when WTI is at or below US$51.00/bbl and allows upside
participation to US$66.06/bbl.
Crude-by-rail is an integral part of our egress
and marketing strategy for our heavy oil production. For 2019, we
expect to deliver 11,000 bbl/d (approximately 40%) of our heavy oil
volumes to market by rail, up from 9,000 bbl/d in 2018.
Approximately 70% of our crude by rail commitments are WTI
based contracts with no WCS pricing exposure. In addition, for the
balance of 2019, we have entered into WCS differential hedges on
approximately 13% of our net heavy oil exposure at a WTI-WCS
differential of US$17.49/bbl. We have also entered into a WTI-MSW
basis differential swap for 4,000 bbl/d of our light oil production
in Canada at US$8/bbl for June 2019 to December 2019.
A complete listing of our financial derivative
contracts can be found in Note 18 to our Q1/2019 financial
statements.
Outlook for 2019
Global benchmark prices have continued to
improve with WTI currently trading at US$64/bbl, as compared to an
average of US$55/bbl in Q1/2019. In addition, Canadian light and
heavy oil differentials remain strong. For April and May, the
WTI-WCS price differential averaged US$10.62/bbl and US$8.43/bbl,
respectively, and the WTI-MSW price differential averaged
US$4.69/bbl and US$3.70/bbl, respectively. This combination of
improved WTI prices and the narrowing of Canadian differentials is
expected to have a further positive impact to our full year
adjusted funds flow.
Given our strong Q1/2019 operating performance,
we are tightening our 2019 production guidance range to 95,000 to
97,000 boe/d (previously 93,000 to 97,000 boe/d) with budgeted
exploration and development capital expenditures of $575 to $625
million (previously $550 to $650 million). We are also updating our
guidance for general and administrative expense to reflect a change
associated with the adoption of IFRS 16.
Based on the forward strip for 2019(1), we are
forecasting adjusted funds flow of approximately $950 million.
Further deleveraging remains a top priority. For 2019, adjusted
funds flow in excess of exploration and development expenditures,
leasing expenditures and asset retirement obligations, will be used
to reduce our indebtedness. Our year end 2019 net debt to adjusted
funds flow ratio is forecast to be 2.0x.
As we continue to drive debt levels down, we
will be positioned to enhance shareholder returns through a
combination of organic growth, disciplined capital allocation, the
reinstatement of a dividend and/or share buybacks.
The following table summarizes our updated 2019
annual guidance.
|
|
|
|
Guidance |
Q1/2019 |
Exploration and development capital ($ millions) (2) |
$575 - $625 |
$153.8 |
Production (boe/d)
(2) |
95,000 -
97,000 |
101,115 |
|
|
|
Expenses: |
|
|
Royalty
rate (%) |
20% |
18.6% |
Operating
($/boe) |
$10.75 -
$11.25 |
$11.02 |
Transportation ($/boe) |
$1.25 -
$1.35 |
$1.46 |
General
and administrative ($ millions) |
$46
($1.30/boe) |
$14.1
($1.55/boe) |
Interest
($ millions) |
$112
($3.23/boe) |
$28.2
($3.10/boe) |
|
|
|
Leasing expenditures ($
millions) |
$5 |
1.4 |
Asset
retirement obligations ($ millions) |
$17 |
4.9 |
- Pricing assumptions: WTI - US$61/bbl; LLS - US$67/bbl; WCS
differential - US$15/bbl; MSW differential – US$6/bbl, NYMEX Gas -
US$2.80/mcf; AECO Gas - $1.50/mcf and Exchange Rate (CAD/USD) -
1.34.
- Our exploration and development capital and production guidance
for 2019 has been updated as of May 2, 2019. Original guidance from
December 2018: production – 93,000-97,000 boe/d; exploration and
development capital - $550-$650 million.
The following table summarizes our annual
adjusted funds flow sensitivities to changes in commodity prices
and the CAD/USD exchange rate.
|
|
|
|
Excluding Hedges($
millions) |
Including Hedges ($
millions) |
Change of US$1.00/bbl
WTI crude oil |
$29.1 |
$21.3 |
Change of US$1.00/bbl
WCS heavy oil differential |
$11.3 |
$9.3 |
Change of US$1.00/bbl
MSW light oil differential |
$10.6 |
$10.6 |
Change of US$0.25/mcf
NYMEX natural gas |
$9.2 |
$7.3 |
Change of
$0.01 in the CAD/USD exchange rate |
$12.2 |
$12.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Additional Information
Our condensed consolidated interim unaudited
financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2019 and
the related Management's Discussion and Analysis of the operating
and financial results can be accessed on our website at
www.baytexenergy.com and will be available shortly through
SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR at
www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml.
Conference Call Tomorrow9:00 a.m. MDT
(11:00 a.m. EDT) |
Baytex will host a conference call tomorrow, May 3, 2019, starting
at 9:00am MDT (11:00am EDT). To participate, please dial toll free
in North America 1-800-319-4610 or international 1-416-915-3239.
Alternatively, to listen to the conference call online, please
enter http://services.choruscall.ca/links/baytexq120190503.html
in your web browser. An archived recording of the conference
call will be available shortly after the event by accessing the
webcast link above. The conference call will also be archived on
the Baytex website at www.baytexenergy.com. |
Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
In the interest of providing Baytex's
shareholders and potential investors with information regarding
Baytex, including management's assessment of Baytex's future plans
and operations, certain statements in this press release are
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United
States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and
"forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities legislation (collectively, "forward-looking
statements"). In some cases, forward-looking statements can
be identified by terminology such as "anticipate", "believe",
"continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "intend",
"may", "objective", "ongoing", "outlook", "potential", "project",
"plan", "should", "target", "would", "will" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes, events or performance. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak
only as of the date thereof and are expressly qualified by this
cautionary statement.
Specifically, this press release contains
forward-looking statements relating to but not limited to: our
business strategies, plans and objectives; that we are focused on
free cash flow generation; our forecast for adjusted funds flow and
debt repayment; that deleveraging is a top priority; our 2019
production and capital expenditure guidance; that we expect to
drill 250 wells in the Viking play in 2019; that we expect to drill
an exploratory well on new lands in Peace River in 2019; that WCS
differentials mean that our heavy oil assets are competitive or
superior to our other assets and could be allocated more capital in
H2/2019; that we continue to prudently advance the delineation of
our East Duvernay Shale assets and the timing and impact of our
planned completion activities in the East Duvernay; our
ability to partially reduce the volatility in our adjusted funds
flow by utilizing financial derivative contracts for commodity
prices, foreign exchange rates and interest rates; the percentage
of our net crude oil and natural gas exposure that is hedged for
2019 and 2020 and the amount and percentage of heavy oil production
we expect to delivery by crude by rail and the percentage of crude
by rail deliveries that do not have WCS exposure; the expected
impact of improved pricing on our adjusted funds flow; that
deleveraging remains a priority and our planned uses for adjusted
funds flow in 2019; our forecast year end 2019 net dent to adjusted
funds flow ratio; that we will be positioned to enhance shareholder
returns through organic growth, capital allocation, the
reinstatement of a dividend and/or share buybacks our 2019
production, capital expenditure guidance, adjusted funds flow,
adjusted funds flow per share and operating netback guidance; our
expected royalty rate and operating, transportation, general and
administration and interest expenses for 2019; our expected leasing
expenditures and asset retirement obligation spending for 2019; the
sensitivity of our 2019 Adjusted Funds Flow to changes in WTI, WCS,
MSW and NYMEX prices and the C$/US$ exchange rate. In addition,
information and statements relating to reserves and contingent
resources are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they
involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves described exist in quantities
predicted or estimated, and that they can be profitably produced in
the future.
In addition, information and statements relating
to reserves are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they
involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves described exist in quantities
predicted or estimated, and that they can be profitably produced in
the future.
These forward-looking statements are based on
certain key assumptions regarding, among other things: petroleum
and natural gas prices and differentials between light, medium and
heavy oil prices; well production rates and reserve volumes; our
ability to add production and reserves through our exploration and
development activities; capital expenditure levels; our ability to
borrow under our credit agreements; the receipt, in a timely
manner, of regulatory and other required approvals for our
operating activities; the availability and cost of labour and other
industry services; interest and foreign exchange rates; the
continuance of existing and, in certain circumstances, proposed tax
and royalty regimes; our ability to develop our crude oil and
natural gas properties in the manner currently contemplated; and
current industry conditions, laws and regulations continuing in
effect (or, where changes are proposed, such changes being adopted
as anticipated). Readers are cautioned that such assumptions,
although considered reasonable by Baytex at the time of
preparation, may prove to be incorrect.
Actual results achieved will vary from the
information provided herein as a result of numerous known and
unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Such factors
include, but are not limited to: the volatility of oil and natural
gas prices and price differentials; availability and cost of
gathering, processing and pipeline systems; failure to comply with
the covenants in our debt agreements; the availability and cost of
capital or borrowing; that our credit facilities may not provide
sufficient liquidity or may not be renewed; risks associated with a
third-party operating our Eagle Ford properties; the cost of
developing and operating our assets; depletion of our reserves;
risks associated with the exploitation of our properties and our
ability to acquire reserves; new regulations on hydraulic
fracturing; restrictions on or access to water or other fluids;
changes in government regulations that affect the oil and gas
industry; regulations regarding the disposal of fluids; changes in
environmental, health and safety regulations; public perception and
its influence on the regulatory regime; restrictions or costs
imposed by climate change initiatives; variations in interest rates
and foreign exchange rates; risks associated with our hedging
activities; changes in income tax or other laws or government
incentive programs; uncertainties associated with estimating oil
and natural gas reserves; our inability to fully insure against all
risks; risks of counterparty default; risks associated with
acquiring, developing and exploring for oil and natural gas and
other aspects of our operations; risks associated with large
projects; risks related to our thermal heavy oil projects;
alternatives to and changing demand for petroleum products; risks
associated with our use of information technology systems; risks
associated with the ownership of our securities, including changes
in market-based factors; risks for United States and other
non-resident shareholders, including the ability to enforce civil
remedies, differing practices for reporting reserves and
production, additional taxation applicable to non-residents and
foreign exchange risk; and other factors, many of which are beyond
our control. These and additional risk factors are discussed
in our Annual Information Form, Annual Report on Form 40-F and
Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December
31, 2018, filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and
the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and in our other public
filings.
The above summary of assumptions and risks
related to forward-looking statements has been provided in order to
provide shareholders and potential investors with a more complete
perspective on Baytex’s current and future operations and such
information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
There is no representation by Baytex that actual
results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as those
referenced in the forward-looking statements and Baytex does not
undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the
included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required
by applicable securities law.
All amounts in this press release are stated in
Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified.
Non-GAAP Financial and Capital
Management Measures
Adjusted funds flow is not a measurement based
on generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") in Canada, but
is a financial term commonly used in the oil and gas industry. We
define adjusted funds flow as cash flow from operating activities
adjusted for changes in non-cash operating working capital and
asset retirement obligations settled. Our determination of adjusted
funds flow may not be comparable to other issuers. We consider
adjusted funds flow a key measure that provides a more complete
understanding of operating performance and our ability to generate
funds for exploration and development expenditures, debt repayment,
settlement of our abandonment obligations and potential future
dividends. In addition, we use a ratio of net debt to adjusted
funds flow to manage our capital structure. We eliminate
settlements of abandonment obligations from cash flow from
operations as the amounts can be discretionary and may vary from
period to period depending on our capital programs and the maturity
of our operating areas. The settlement of abandonment obligations
are managed with our capital budgeting process which considers
available adjusted funds flow. Changes in non-cash working capital
are eliminated in the determination of adjusted funds flow as the
timing of collection, payment and incurrence is variable and by
excluding them from the calculation we are able to provide a more
meaningful measure of our cash flow on a continuing basis. For a
reconciliation of adjusted funds flow to cash flow from operating
activities, see Management's Discussion and Analysis of the
operating and financial results for the three months ended
March 31, 2019.
Free cash flow is not a measurement based on
GAAP in Canada. We define free cash flow as adjusted funds flow
less sustaining capital. Sustaining capital is an estimate of the
amount of exploration and development expenditures required to
offset production declines on an annual basis and maintain flat
production volumes.
Exploration and development expenditures is not
a measurement based on GAAP in Canada. We define exploration and
development expenditures as additions to exploration and evaluation
assets combined with additions to oil and gas properties. We use
exploration and development expenditures to measure and evaluate
the performance of our capital programs. The total amount of
exploration and development expenditures is managed as part of our
budgeting process and can vary from period to period depending on
the availability of adjusted funds flow and other sources of
liquidity.
Net debt is not a measurement based on GAAP in
Canada. We define net debt to be the sum of trade and other
accounts receivable, trade and other accounts payable, and the
principal amount of both the long-term notes and the bank loan. We
believe that this measure assists in providing a more complete
understanding of our cash liabilities and provides a key measure to
assess our liquidity. We use the principal amounts of the bank loan
and long-term notes outstanding in the calculation of net debt as
these amounts represent our ultimate repayment obligation at
maturity. The carrying amount of debt issue costs associated with
the bank loan and long-term notes is excluded on the basis that
these amounts have already been paid by Baytex at inception of the
contract and do not represent an additional source of liquidity or
repayment obligation.
Operating netback is not a measurement based on
GAAP in Canada, but is a financial term commonly used in the oil
and gas industry. Operating netback is equal to petroleum and
natural gas sales less blending expense, royalties, production and
operating expense and transportation expense divided by barrels of
oil equivalent sales volume for the applicable period. Our
determination of operating netback may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar measures for other entities. We
believe that this measure assists in characterizing our ability to
generate cash margin on a unit of production basis and is a key
measure used to evaluate our operating performance.
Advisory Regarding Oil and Gas Information
Where applicable, oil equivalent amounts have
been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet
of natural gas to one barrel of oil. BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of
six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is
based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead.
References herein to average 30-day initial
production rates and other short-term production rates are useful
in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however, such rates are
not determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence
production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long
term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging,
readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in
calculating aggregate production for us or the assets for which
such rates are provided. A pressure transient analysis or well-test
interpretation has not been carried out in respect of all wells.
Accordingly, we caution that the test results should be considered
to be preliminary.
Baytex Energy Corp.
Baytex Energy Corp. is an oil and gas
corporation based in Calgary, Alberta. The company is engaged in
the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and
natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the
Eagle Ford in the United States. Approximately 83% of Baytex’s
production is weighted toward crude oil and natural gas liquids.
Baytex’s common shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the
New York Stock Exchange under the symbol BTE.
For further information about Baytex, please
visit our website at www.baytexenergy.com or contact:
Brian Ector, Vice President, Capital
Markets
Toll Free Number: 1-800-524-5521Email:
investor@baytexenergy.com
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