LONCOR GOLD
ANNOUNCES ADUMBI PEA WITH 303,000 OZ/YEAR
OVER
A 10.3 YEAR LOM
-
Pre-tax NPV (5%
discount) of US$895 million and post-tax NPV of US$624 million for
HEP Hybrid case at a US$1,600 gold price
-
Using
a US$1,760 gold price, post-tax NPV (5% discount) of US$879 million
for HEP Hybrid case
-
Average annual
production of 303,000 ounces of gold over a 10.3 year life of mine
within proposed pit shell
-
Average total cash
costs of US$852 per ounce over life of mine and AISC of US$950 per
ounce for HEP Hybrid case
Toronto, Canada --
December 15, 2021 -- InvestorsHub NewsWire
-- Loncor
Gold Inc. ("Loncor"
or the "Company")
(TSX: "LN"; OTCQX: "LONCF"; FSE: "LO51") is pleased to
announce the results of the Preliminary Economic Assessment
("PEA")
for its Adumbi gold deposit within its 84.68%-owned Imbo Project in
the Democratic Republic of the Congo (the "DRC").
Project economics and
financial analysis was undertaken on two power options at Adumbi: a
Hydroelectric Power ("HEP")
Hybrid case and a Diesel Only case. The table below summarises the
PEA results for the HEP Hybrid and Diesel Only cases:
DESCRIPTION
|
Units
|
HEP
HYBRID CASE
|
DIESEL ONLY
CASE
|
PRE-TAX
|
AFTER
TAX
|
PRE-TAX
|
AFTER
TAX
|
Life of Mine ("LOM") Tonnage Ore
Processed
|
t (000)
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
LOM Feed Grade Processed
|
g/t
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
Production Period
|
yrs
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
LOM Gold Recovery
|
%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
LOM Gold Production
|
oz (000)
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
LOM Payable Gold After Refining Losses
|
oz (000)
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
Gold Price
|
US$/oz
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
Revenue
|
US$ million
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
Total Cash Costs
|
US$/oz
|
852
|
852
|
908
|
908
|
AISC
|
US$/oz
|
950
|
950
|
1,040
|
1,040
|
Preproduction Capital Costs
|
US$ million
|
530
|
530
|
392
|
392
|
Sustaining Capital Costs
|
US$ million
|
305
|
305
|
411
|
411
|
Net Present Value ("NPV") (5% discount
rate)
|
US$ million
|
895
|
624
|
843
|
600
|
IRR
|
%
|
25.2%
|
20.7%
|
30.3%
|
25.2%
|
Discount Rate
|
%
|
5%
|
5%
|
5%
|
5%
|
Payback Period-from start of production
|
Years
|
4.16
|
4.98
|
3.16
|
4.06
|
Project Net Cash
|
US$ million
|
1,495.2
|
1,087.0
|
1,352.8
|
992.5
|
Note:
Total cash costs per payable ounce,
AISC (All-in Sustaining-Costs) per payable ounce and project net
cash are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see "Cautionary Note
Concerning Non-GAAP Measures". Total cash costs includes all on-site
mining costs, processing costs, mine level G&A, refining and
royalties. AISC includes all mining costs,
processing costs, mine level G&A, royalties, refining,
sustaining capital and closure costs. Project net cash is cash revenues
less selling costs, less all mining costs, processing costs, mine
level G&A, and royalties.
All financial figures in
this press release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise
noted.
The Adumbi PEA study was
prepared for Loncor by a number of independent mining and
engineering consultants led by New SENET (SENET), Johannesburg
(Processing and Infrastructure) and Minecon Resources and Services
Limited (Minecon), Accra (Mineral Resources, Mining and
Environmental and Social) and Maelgwyn South Africa
(MMSA), Johannesburg
(Metallurgical test work), Knight Piésold and Senergy, Johannesburg
(Power) and Epoch, Johannesburg (Tailings and Water Storage). SENET
undertook the financial and economic evaluation.
Cautionary
Statement:
The
Adumbi PEA is preliminary in nature and includes Inferred Mineral
Resources in the open pit outlines that are considered too
speculative geologically to have the economic considerations
applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as Mineral
Reserves. There
is no certainty that all the conclusions reached in the Adumbi PEA
will be realized. Mineral
Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated
economic viability.
Commenting on today's
Adumbi PEA study, Loncor's President Peter Cowley said: "The
results from the Adumbi PEA demonstrates a robust project with an
average of +300,000 ounces of gold per annum over 10 years with low
total cash costs and AISC costs of US$852 and US$950 per ounce
respectively over the LOM for the HEP Hybrid power
case."
"There also remains
significant upside potential at Adumbi and environs to increase
mineral resources, gold production, reduce operating costs and
further improve the economics of the project. Excellent exploration
potential exists to further increase mineral resources at Adumbi,
within the Imbo permit and other permits held by Loncor in the
Ngayu greenstone belt. At Adumbi, the mineralized BIF host sequence
increases in thickness below the open pit shell and wide spaced
drilling has already intersected grades and thicknesses amenable to
underground mining. Further drilling is required to initially
outline a significant underground mineral resource which can then
be combined with the open pit mineral resource so that studies can
be undertaken for a combined open pit and underground mining
scenario at Adumbi. Besides increasing the resource base, a
combined open pit/underground project could increase grade
throughput and reduce strip ratios with the higher grade, deeper
mineral resources being mined by underground which could increase
annual gold production and reduce operating costs."
"Additional deposits and
prospects occur close by to Adumbi and have the potential to add
mineral resources and feed for the Adumbi mine operation. Along
trend from Adumbi, the Manzako and Kitenge deposits have Inferred
Mineral Resources of 313,000 ounces (1.68 million tonnes grading
5.80 g/t Au) and remain open along strike and at depth. Further
along strike within the Imbo permit area, four priority prospects
have been identified with similar host lithologies to Adumbi and
will require drilling. Additional feed for the Adumbi processing
plant could also come from Loncor's 100%-owned high grade Makapela
deposit where Indicated Mineral Resources of 2.20 million tonnes
grading 8.66 g/t Au (614,200 ounces of gold) and Inferred Mineral
Resources of 3.22 million tonnes grading 5.30 g/t Au (549,600
ounces of gold) have been outlined to date with the high grade
material being able to be transported to Adumbi."
"Other opportunities are
being pursued to improve Adumbi's economics. The Company is already
in discussion with potential power suppliers with experience in the
DRC to project finance and build a hydroelectric facility at Adumbi
and then have an offtake agreement with Loncor to supply power for
the operation. Any hydroelectric power scheme could also have the
potential to obtain carbon credits."
Imbo Project
Containing the Adumbi Deposit
The Imbo Project which
contains the Adumbi deposit is situated at the eastern end of
the Ngayu Archean greenstone gold belt in
the Ituri Province of northeastern DRC and is approximately 220
kilometres from Africa's largest gold mine of Kibali, operated by Barrick Gold which in 2020 produced 808,134 ounces of gold.
This PEA was undertaken
on the Adumbi deposit, which is the main gold deposit on the
Company's 122 square kilometre Imbo Project. Loncor has a 84.68% interest in the
Imbo Project through its subsidiary Adumbi Mining S.A., with the
minority shareholders holding 15.32% (including a 10% free carried
interest held by the government of the DRC). The Imbo exploitation
permit is valid until February 2039.
Drilling commenced on the
Adumbi deposit in 2010 and to date 21,512 metres (74 core holes)
have been drilled (see Figure 1 below). Gold mineralization at Adumbi is
hosted in banded ironstone formation (BIF) and is similar to the
gold mineralization host lithologies of the major Kibali and Geita
mines in the DRC and Tanzania respectively. The main mineralized
host lithologies at Adumbi are BIF within which is a more altered,
higher sulfide RP ("replacement rock") lithology. As at Kibali and
Geita, significant underground mineral resource potential exists
below the Adumbi pit shell where the gold mineralization is open at
depth and where wide spaced drilling has already intersected
significant widths and grades with the BIF sequence thickening at
depth.
Figure
1:
Adumbi Deposit
Longitudinal Section Looking Northeast with Drill Hole Grade (g/t)
x True Thickness (Metre) Product Contours
Mineral
Resources
The mineral resource
assessment at Adumbi was undertaken by the Company's independent
geological consultants Minecon Resources and Services Limited
("Minecon").
Table I below summarises
the Adumbi indicated and inferred mineral resources based on
in-situ block cut-off grade at a 0.52 g/t Au for Oxide, 0.57 g/t Au
for Transition and 0.63 g/t Au for Fresh material and constrained
within a US$1,600 per ounce optimized pit shell.
84.68% of the Adumbi mineral
resources are attributable to Loncor via its 84.68% interest in the
Imbo Project.
Table
I:
Adumbi Deposit
Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources
(effective date:
November 17, 2021)
Mineral
Resource Category
|
Tonnage
(Tonnes)
|
Grade
(g/t
Au)
|
Contained
Gold
(Ounces)
|
Indicated
|
28,185,000
|
2.08
|
1,883,000
|
Inferred
|
20,828,000
|
2.65
|
1,777,000
|
Note: Numbers may not add
up due to rounding.
Tables II below summarise
the indicated and inferred category mineral resources in terms of
material type.
Table
II: Adumbi Mineral Resources by Material Type
(effective date:
November 17, 2021)
|
INDICATED
MINERAL RESOURCE
|
INFERRED
MINERAL RESOURCE
|
Material
Type
|
Tonnage
|
Grade
|
Contained
Gold
|
Tonnage
|
Grade
|
Contained
Gold
|
(Tonnes)
|
(g/t
Au)
|
(Ounces)
|
(Tonnes)
|
(g/t
Au)
|
(Ounces)
|
Oxide
|
3,169,000
|
2.05
|
208,000
|
458,000
|
3.39
|
49,000
|
Transitional
|
3,401,000
|
2.51
|
274,000
|
280,000
|
2.74
|
24,000
|
Fresh
(Sulphide)
|
21,614,000
|
2.02
|
1,400,000
|
20,089,000
|
2.64
|
1,703,000
|
TOTAL
|
28,185,000
|
2.08
|
1,883,000
|
20,828,000
|
2.65
|
1,777,000
|
Note: Numbers may not add
up due to rounding.
Geological
Modelling and Grade Estimation
The Adumbi 3-dimensional
("3-D")
model was constructed by Minecon in collaboration with on-site
geologists using cross sectional and horizontal flysch plans of the
geology and mineralization and was used to assist in the
constraining of the 3-D geological model. The mineralization model was
constrained within a wireframe at 0.5 g/t Au cut-off grade. Grade
interpolation was undertaken using:
-
2 metre sample composites
capped at 18 g/t Au to improve the reliability of the block grade
estimates.
-
Ordinary Kriging to
interpolate grades into the block model.
-
Relative densities of
2.45 for oxide, 2.82 for transitional and 3.05 for fresh rock were
applied to the block model for tonnage estimation.
Pit
Optimisation Parameters
To constrain the depth
extent of the geological model and any mineral resources, an open
pit for the Adumbi deposit was constructed based on the following
pit optimisation parameters:
-
A gold price of US$1,600
per ounce.
-
Block size: 16 metres x
16 metres x 8 metres.
-
A thirty-two metres
minimum mining width and a maximum of four metres of internal waste
was applied.
-
Mining dilution of 100%
of the tonnes at 95% of the grade.
-
Ultimate slope angle of
minus 45 degrees.
-
Average mining cost of
US$3.29/tonne mined.
-
Metallurgical recoveries
of 91% for oxide, 88% for transitional and 90% for
fresh.
-
Average general and
administration cost of US$4.20/tonne.
-
Mineral resources were
estimated at a block cut-off grade of 0.52 g/t Au for oxide, 0.57
g/t Au for transition materials and 0.63 g/t Au for fresh material
constrained by a US$1,600 per ounce optimized pit
shell.
-
Transport of gold and
refining costs equivalent to 4.5% of the gold price.
-
No additional studies on
depletion by artisanal activity was undertaken since the RPA study
of 2014 and the same total amount of material was used by
Minecon.
Tonnage/Grade
Curve
Grade/tonnage curves for
the Adumbi mineral resources at various gold cut-offs are
summarised in Table III and the graph below:
Table
III:
Block
Cut-off
|
Tonnage
|
Grade
|
Contained
Au
|
g/t
Au
|
million
tonnes
|
g/t
Au
|
million
ounces
|
0.0
|
51.60
|
2.23
|
3.70
|
0.5
|
50.10
|
2.29
|
3.68
|
1.0
|
41.15
|
2.61
|
3.45
|
1.5
|
29.07
|
3.17
|
2.97
|
2.0
|
21.76
|
3.66
|
2.56
|
2.5
|
16.06
|
4.17
|
2.15
|
3.0
|
12.12
|
4.63
|
1.80
|
Mining
The Adumbi deposit is
planned to be mined by conventional, contract, open pit mining
using truck and shovel mining fleet with drill and blasting for all
material types. Mining costs were broken down into reference and
incremental mining costs and were estimated from first principles
using knowledge of recent mining contracts operating in similar
gold mining operations in Africa. For the PEA, both Inferred and
Indicated Mineral Resources were included in the material to be
mined. Mining is planned to be carried out by a contractor on a
cost per tonne basis utilising a mining fleet consisting of 140
tonne rigid haul trucks with 8 cubic meter excavators.
Figure II:
Adumbi
Open Pit Design
Table IV below summarises
the mining, processing and gold production schedules over Adumbi's
LOM.
Table
IV:
Mining, Processing
and Gold Production Schedules over Adumbi's LOM
Processing
Metallurgical
Testwork
Preliminary Economic
Assessment level metallurgical testwork (comminution and gold
recovery) was performed by Maelgwyn Mineral Services Laboratory on
the Adumbi ore to evaluate the process route required to treat the
ore and to obtain gold recoveries that can be achieved.
Table V below shows a
summary of the PEA Adumbi metallurgical testwork
results.
Table
V:
Adumbi
Metallurgical Testwork Results
Parameters
|
Units
|
Oxides
|
Transition
|
Fresh
|
Bond Rod Work
Index
|
kWh/t
|
12.7
|
13.6
|
14.6
|
Bond Ball Work
Index
|
kWh/t
|
11.8
|
13.7
|
14.2
|
Abrasion Index
|
|
0.19
|
0.25
|
0.34
|
Diagnostic Leach CIL
Recovery
|
%
|
90.76%
|
87.53%
|
89.9%
|
Average diagnostic leach
recovery for the fresh sulfide material was the weighted mean of RP
and BIF lithologies relative to their volume occurrence (20% RP:
80% BIF) in the fresh material. Diagnostic leach recoveries of 80.10%
for RP and 92.37% for BIF were realized for the fresh
sulfide.
Comminution results
indicated that both oxides and transition are medium-hard while
fresh material indicated that it is slightly
hard.
These results were taken
into account in the design of the comminution flowsheet.
In order to optimize gold
recovery further testwork was conducted on fresh and transitional
material whereby gravity was followed by flotation on gravity
tails. The results showed that most of the gold can be floated into
float concentrates as summarized in Table VI below.
Table
VI: Flotation Results
Sample
ID
|
Rougher
Concentrate
|
Gold
|
Sulphur
|
Grade (
g/t)
|
Rec.(%)
|
Grade
(%)
|
Rec.
(%)
|
Fresh - RP
|
9.57
|
95.06%
|
25.07
|
93.03%
|
Fresh - BIF
|
8.30
|
87.16%
|
17.90
|
85.13%
|
Transition
|
11.82
|
81.31%
|
15.80
|
95.52%
|
The concentrate samples
generated were not sufficient to enable further processing routes
such as:
-
Fine milling followed by
leaching with oxygen addition
-
Fine milling followed by
partial oxidation using high shear reactors and
leaching
-
Albion
process
-
Pressure
oxidation
-
Bio leaching
-
Roasting
These recovery processes
will be investigated during the next phase of the project to
optimize the gold recovery in the transitional and fresh ore
types.
Process
Plant
Based on the above
metallurgical testwork results, the Adumbi process plant design was
configured utilising well-known proven and established gravity and
carbon-in-leach (CIL) technologies to recover gold from blends of
oxide, transition and fresh ores that will be processed at a rate
of 5.0 million tonnes per annum.
The process plant
consists of the following sections:
-
Crushing
-
Milling
-
Gravity and concentrate
leach
-
Trash removal and
pre-leach thickener
-
CIL
-
Cyanide
detoxification
-
Arsenic
precipitation
-
Tails storage and return
water
-
Acid wash
-
Elution
-
Electrowinning
-
Gold room
-
Carbon
regeneration
-
Reagents
-
Air services
-
Water
services
Table VII below
summarises the key process design criteria for the process
plant.
Table
VII: Summary
of key process design criteria
ITEM
|
UNIT
|
OXIDE
|
TRANSITION
|
FRESH
|
Plant Throughput
|
Mt/a
|
5.0
|
5.0
|
5.0
|
Gold Head Grade
|
g Au/t
|
2.25
|
3.2
|
4.00
|
Design Gold Recovery
|
%
|
91.82
|
90.38
|
80.1 to 89.83
|
Crushing Plant Utilisation
|
%
|
65.0
|
65.0
|
65.0
|
Plant Availability
|
%
|
91.32
|
91.32
|
91.32
|
Comminution Circuit
|
|
1° Crush & SAB
|
1° Crush & SABC
|
1° Crush & SABC
|
Crush Size, P80
|
mm
|
180
|
180
|
180
|
Grind Size, P80
|
µm
|
75
|
75
|
75
|
Leach/CIL Residence Time
|
hrs
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
Leach Slurry Density
|
% w/w
|
40
|
40
|
50
|
Number of Pre-leach Tanks
|
#
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
Number of CIL Tanks/Stages
|
#
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
Cyanide Consumption
|
kg/t
|
0.99
|
1.32
|
1.31
|
Lime Consumption
|
kg/t
|
3.64
|
5.40
|
3.61
|
Elution Circuit Type
|
|
Pressure Zadra
|
Pressure Zadra
|
Pressure Zadra
|
Elution Circuit Size
|
t
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
Figure III below shows
the proposed process plant flowsheet.
Figure III Proposed
Process Plant Flowsheet
Project
Infrastructure
A team of engineers from
SENET and Knight Piesold carried out a site investigation and, in
conjunction with the Loncor team, assessed the optimal positions
for key infrastructure components of the mine site. Preliminary
designs and layouts were done and positioned utilising the detailed
LIDAR survey which was previously commissioned by
Loncor.
Figure IV below
highlights the positions of key infrastructure for
Adumbi.
Figure IV:
Adumbi
Key Infrastructure and Site layout
Power
A desktop study was
undertaken by DRA Energy, South Africa assessing potential
hydroelectric, diesel and photovoltaic power sources for Adumbi.
Knight Piésold Ltd. from South Africa also undertook a desktop
study on a number of potential hydroelectric sites in and around
the Adumbi area and was part of the team of engineers from South
Africa who visited potential sites on the ground. The total
installed power required for Adumbi is estimated at 32
Megawatts (MW)
Table VIII below
indicates the different priority power generation options that were
investigated.
Table
VIII: Priority
Power Options for Adumbi
Option
|
Power
Option
|
Capex- Power
Plant
|
Power
Cost
|
Approximate
Distance from plant site (km)
|
USD
|
USD/kWh
|
1
|
Diesel Only 32 MW
|
15,708,000
|
0.2768
|
0
|
2
|
Hybrid, 32 MW Diesel, 20MW PV,
2.5MW/3.7MWh BESS
|
36,845,015
|
0.2459
|
0
|
3
|
Imbo Upper Site 3, 3.7MW HEP, 32 MW
Diesel, 20 MW PV, 12.4 MW/18.4MWh BESS
|
73,593,075
|
0.2133
|
5
|
4
|
Ngayu Confluence, 16.3 MW HEP, 32
MW Diesel, 20 MW PV, 12.4MW/18.4MWh BESS
|
138,593,075
|
0.1201
|
23
|
For the Adumbi PEA study,
two financial model cases were examined: the diesel only case of
generating power for essential processing plant equipment and
infrastructure; and the HEP Hybrid case option (Option 4)
which is a hybrid system consisting of HEP supplemented by diesel
and solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation with battery energy
storage. Although
capital costs are higher for the HEP Hybrid case, operating costs,
especially processing power costs are significantly reduced and
subsequent project economics are enhanced compared to the diesel
only powered generation case.
For the HEP Hybrid case,
it was assumed the capital cost for the HEP option would be funded
by Loncor. However, the Company is already in discussion with
potential power suppliers with experience in the DRC to project
finance and build a hydroelectric facility at Adumbi and then have
an offtake agreement with Loncor to supply power for the operation.
Any hydroelectric power scheme could also have the potential to
obtain carbon credits.
Tailings Management
Facility (TMF)
EPOCH undertook a site
selection exercise to design a tailings management system to cater
for 50 million tonnes over the life of mine.
The following were
considered for the design of the TMF:
-
A new (tailings storage
facility) TSF
-
A new return water dam
(RWD) associated with the TSF
-
The storm water
management and associated infrastructure for the TSF comprising
slurry deposition pipeline, drainage, perimeter access road, and
boundary fencing.
-
The following
legislation, regulations and design standards were considered
during the PEA design of the TMF:
- International Cyanide Code Standard
of Practice
- Global Industry Standard for Tailings
Management (GISTM)
The site selection
process was based on a multi criteria analyses and qualitative risk
analysis, which aimed to determine the most favourable location for
the TSF footprint.
Water
Raw water for the project
will be abstracted from the rivers in the area, which have
significant flow throughout the year.
Accessibility and
Transport
A number of potential
access routes have been assessed from the major port of Mombasa in
Kenya via Uganda to the Imbo Project in the Ituri province of
northeastern DRC. In
comparison to the tarred roads in Kenya and Uganda, the roads in
northeastern DRC are lateritic in nature and can become difficult
during the rainy season.
Of the
three transport DRC border options from Mombasa to Adumbi, the
preferred route via Kenya and Uganda is Aru – Durba (location of
the Kibali gold mine) - Mungbere - Isiro -
Wamba -Adumbi based on
the following considerations:
-
It is
the shortest
itinerary in terms of distance and time.
-
The traffic is less
dense, which determines a lower rate of deterioration of the
roads.
-
The
security along the roads is good, Kibali mine having used this
route up to Durba for several years without any
incidents.
-
The 1,512
km long road from Mombasa to Araba is a good, tarred road and is
maintained by the Kenyan and Ugandan government
authorities.
-
From Arua
to Durba (Kibali mine), a distance of 189 km, the road is well
maintained with the support of Barrick/AngloGold
Ashanti.
-
The section of the route
from Durba to Wamba (451 km) is now being maintained by the
provincial authorities of Haut-Uele
-
Only the remaining
stretch of road from Wamba to Adumbi (64 km) will need to be
rehabilitated and maintained by Loncor.
-
Estimates for initial
rehabilitation/refurbishment of the route and ongoing maintenance
where required has been included in initial pre-production capital
costs and in annual maintenance costs.
The new airstrip at
Adumbi is expected to be commissioned in January 2022 and can
accommodate propeller aircraft with up to 8.1 tonne
payloads.
Environmental and
Social Considerations
Minecon is implementing
pre-feasibility level Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
(ESIA), in compliance with the DRC mining code, as part of the
ESIA/ESMP, including but not limited to ecological, hydrological,
geochemical monitoring and socio-economic assessment. The study
will include village-level socio-economic survey, which will
generate data on demography, lifestyles and household livelihoods.
This will provide the needed guidance for the formulation of a
Resettlement Policy Framework, that will form the basis for taking
the resettlement planning process to the level of a Resettlement
Action Plan. The social assessment, including public consultation,
will also serve to help generate a Community Development Plan and a
Stakeholder Engagement Plan which will be detailed and refined
during the study. An amount has been included in
pre-production capital costs for environmental and social
considerations under Owner's Costs.
Initial
Pre-Production and Sustaining Capital Cost Estimate
Summaries
The following Tables IX
to XII summarise the initial Adumbi pre-production and sustaining
capital costs for the two power case options: Diesel Only and HEP
Hybrid.
Table
IX: Adumbi
Pre-Production Capital Cost Estimate for Diesel Only Power
Case
Description
|
Capital
Cost
|
Contingency
|
Total
Capital Cost
|
US$(000)
|
US$(000)
|
US$(000)
|
Mining
|
49,988
|
9,998
|
59,986
|
Process Plant
|
143,655
|
27,714
|
171,369
|
Power Plant
|
12,004
|
2,401
|
14,405
|
Initial TSF
|
54,900
|
10,980
|
65,880
|
Infrastructure
|
22,675
|
4,785
|
27,461
|
Access Transport
Road
|
6,500
|
1,300
|
7,800
|
Owner's Costs
|
39,323
|
5,787
|
45,110
|
Total
Initial Capex
|
329,045
|
62,965
|
392,010
|
Table
X: Adumbi
Sustaining Capital Estimate for Diesel Only Power Case
Description
|
|
|
|
Total
Capital Cost
|
|
|
|
|
US$(000)
|
Mining Capitalized
Waste
|
|
|
|
328,215
|
Power Plant
|
|
|
|
14,122
|
TSF
|
|
|
|
66,329
|
Rehabilitation &
Closure Costs
|
|
|
|
30,678
|
Equipment Salvage
Value
|
|
|
|
-28,789
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
Sustaining Capital
|
|
|
|
410,556
|
Table
XI: Adumbi
Pre-Production Capital Cost Estimate for HEP Hybrid Power
Case
Description
|
Capital
Cost
|
Contingency
|
Total
Capital Cost
|
|
US$(000)
|
US$(000)
|
US$(000)
|
Mining
|
49,988
|
9,998
|
59,986
|
Process Plant
|
143,655
|
27,714
|
171,369
|
HEP Hybrid Power
Plant
|
138,593
|
13,859
|
152,452
|
Initial TSF
|
54,900
|
10,980
|
65,880
|
Infrastructure
|
22,675
|
4,785
|
27,461
|
Access Transport
Road
|
6,500
|
1,300
|
7,800
|
Owner's Costs
|
39,323
|
5,787
|
45,110
|
Total
Initial Capex
|
455,634
|
74,423
|
530,058
|
Table
XII: Adumbi
Sustaining Capital Estimate for HEP Hybrid Power Case
Description
|
|
|
|
Total
Capital Cost
|
|
|
|
|
US$(000)
|
Mining Capitalized
Waste
|
|
|
|
328,215
|
Power Plant
|
|
|
|
0
|
TSF
|
|
|
|
66,329
|
Rehab & Closure
Costs
|
|
|
|
30,678
|
Equipment Salvage Value
(Process Plant &HEP)
|
|
|
-120,260
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
Sustaining Capital
|
|
|
|
304,962
|
Adumbi Operating
Costs Summaries
The following Tables XIII
to XIV summarise LOM operating costs for the Diesel Only and HEP
Hybrid cases:
Table
XIII: Adumbi
LOM Operating Costs for the Diesel Only Case
Description
|
LOM
|
US$/t
processed
|
US$/oz
|
Mining
|
31.33
|
499.56
|
Processing
|
17.95
|
286.21
|
TSF
|
0.55
|
8.75
|
G & A
|
3.40
|
54.19
|
Refining &
Transport
|
0.22
|
3.50
|
Royalties
|
3.51
|
55.96
|
Total
Cash Costs
|
57.0
|
908
|
A diesel price of
US$0.90/litre was used based on supplier quotes.
Table
XIV: Adumbi
LOM Operating Costs for the HEP Hybrid Case
Description
|
LOM
|
US$/t
processed
|
US$/oz
|
Mining
|
31.33
|
499.56
|
Processing
|
14.44
|
230.22
|
TSF
|
0.55
|
8.75
|
G & A
|
3.40
|
54.19
|
Refining &
Transport
|
0.22
|
3.50
|
Royalties
|
3.51
|
55.96
|
Total
Cash Costs
|
53.4
|
852
|
Project Economics
and Financial Analysis
SENET has produced a cash
flow valuation model for the Adumbi deposit for the HEP Hybrid and
Diesel Only cases taking into account annual processed tonnages,
grades and recoveries, metal prices, site operating and total cash
costs including royalties and refining charges and initial
pre-production and sustaining capital expenditure estimates. The
financial assessment of Adumbi has been carried out on a "100%
equity" basis for both pre-tax and after-tax considerations. The
financial analysis assumed a base gold price of US$1,600 per ounce
of gold.
Table XV below summarises
the pre-tax and after-tax financial analysis for the HEP Hybrid and
Diesel Only cases:
Table
XV: Comparison
of HEP Hybrid vs Diesel power generation Financial
Models
DESCRIPTION
|
Units
|
HEP
HYBRID CASE
|
DIESEL ONLY
CASE
|
PRE-TAX
|
AFTER
TAX
|
PRE-TAX
|
AFTER
TAX
|
LOM Tonnage Ore Processed
|
t (000)
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
49,771
|
LOM Feed Grade Processed
|
g/t
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
2.172
|
Production Period
|
yrs
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
LOM Gold Recovery
|
%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
89.8%
|
LOM Gold Production
|
oz (000)
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
3,121
|
LOM Payable Gold After Refining Losses
|
oz (000)
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
3,119
|
Gold Price
|
US$/oz
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
1,600
|
Revenue
|
US$ million
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
4,990
|
Site Operating Costs
|
US$/oz
|
793
|
793
|
849
|
849
|
Total Cash Costs
|
US$/oz
|
852
|
852
|
908
|
908
|
AISC
|
US$/oz
|
950
|
950
|
1,040
|
1,040
|
Preproduction Capital Costs
|
US$ million
|
530
|
530
|
392
|
392
|
Sustaining Capital Costs
|
US$ million
|
305
|
305
|
411
|
411
|
NPV (5% discount rate)
|
US$ million
|
895
|
624
|
843
|
600
|
IRR
|
%
|
25.2%
|
20.7%
|
30.3%
|
25.2%
|
Discount Rate
|
%
|
5%
|
5%
|
5%
|
5%
|
Payback Period-from start of production
|
Years
|
4.16
|
4.98
|
3.16
|
4.06
|
Project Net Cash
|
US$ million
|
1,495.2
|
1,087.0
|
1,352.8
|
992.5
|
Note:
Total cash costs per payable ounce,
AISC (All-in Sustaining-Costs) per payable ounce and project net
cash are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see "Cautionary Note
Concerning Non-GAAP Measures". Total cash costs includes all on-site
mining costs, processing costs, mine level G&A, refining and
royalties. AISC includes all mining costs,
processing costs, mine level G&A, royalties, refining,
sustaining capital and closure costs. Project net cash is cash revenues
less selling costs, less all mining costs, processing costs, mine
level G&A, and royalties.
Sensitivity
Financial Analysis
Calculated sensitivities
to the Adumbi base case gold price of US$1,600/ounce show
significant upside leverage to the gold price and the robust nature
of the projected economics to the capital and operating
assumptions.
Project sensitivities for
the NPV, IRR, cash cost, AISC and payback period have been
undertaken for varying gold price percentages from the
US$1,600/ounce base case and are summarised in Table XVI and XVII
below for the HEP Hybrid and Diesel Only cases:
Table
XVI: Gold
Price Sensitivities for the HEP Hybrid Case
Average Gold
Price (US$/oz)
|
Change in Gold Price
|
%
|
-15%
|
-10%
|
0%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Average Gold Price
|
US$/oz
|
1,360
|
1,440
|
1,600
|
1,760
|
1,840
|
NPV @ 5% -Pre-Tax
|
US$M
|
373
|
547
|
895
|
1,243
|
1,417
|
NPV @ 5% -Post-Tax
|
US$M
|
238
|
368
|
624
|
879
|
1,006
|
IRR- Pre-Tax
|
%
|
14.1%
|
18.0%
|
25.2%
|
31.9%
|
35.1%
|
IRR- Post -Tax
|
%
|
11.4%
|
14.7%
|
20.7%
|
26.4%
|
29.1%
|
Total Cash Costs
|
US$/oz
|
844
|
847
|
852
|
858
|
861
|
AISC
|
US$/oz
|
941
|
944
|
950
|
955
|
958
|
Payback Period– Pre-Tax
|
Years
|
7.88
|
6.26
|
4.16
|
3.00
|
2.64
|
Payback Period- Post-Tax
|
Years
|
8.28
|
7.10
|
4.98
|
3.76
|
3.30
|
Table
XVII: Gold Price Sensitivities for the Diesel Only
Case
Average Gold
Price (US$/oz)
|
Change in Gold Price
|
%
|
-15%
|
-10%
|
0%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Average Gold Price
|
US$/oz
|
1,360
|
1,440
|
1,600
|
1,760
|
1,840
|
NPV @ 5% -Pre-Tax
|
US$M
|
321
|
495
|
843
|
1,191
|
1,365
|
NPV @ 5% -Post-Tax
|
US$M
|
211
|
345
|
600
|
855
|
983
|
IRR- Pre-Tax
|
%
|
15.6%
|
20.8%
|
30.3%
|
39.0%
|
43.1%
|
IRR- Post-Tax
|
%
|
12.7%
|
17.2%
|
25.2%
|
32.6%
|
36.1%
|
Total Cash Costs
|
US$/oz
|
900
|
903
|
908
|
914
|
917
|
AISC
|
US$/oz
|
1,031
|
1,034
|
1,040
|
1,045
|
1,048
|
Payback Period - Pre-Tax
|
Years
|
7.53
|
5.46
|
3.16
|
2.18
|
1.93
|
Payback Period – Post-Tax
|
Years
|
8.02
|
6.28
|
4.06
|
2.77
|
2.39
|
Project
Opportunities
Loncor has identified and
will be pursuing a number of opportunities for enhancing and
increasing the economics and financial returns relating to the
Adumbi project. These include the
following:
-
Increasing Mineral
Resources
There is excellent
exploration potential to increase mineral resources at Adumbi,
within the Imbo Project and other permit areas held by Loncor in
the Ngayu greenstone belt. At Adumbi, the mineralized BIF host
sequence increases in thickness below the open pit shell and wide
spaced drilling has already intersected grades and thicknesses
amenable to underground mining. Further drilling is required to
initially outline a significant underground mineral resource which
can then be combined with the open pit mineral resource so that
studies can be undertaken for a combined open pit and underground
mining scenario at Adumbi. Besides increasing the resource base, a
combined open pit/underground project could increase grade
throughput and reduce strip ratios with the higher grade, deeper
mineral resources being mined by underground which could increase
annual gold production and reduce operating costs.
Additional deposits and
prospects occur close by to Adumbi and have the potential to add
mineral resources and feed to the Adumbi mine operation. Along
trend from Adumbi, the Manzako and Kitenge deposits have Inferred
Mineral Resources of 313,000 ounces of gold (1.68 million tonnes
grading 5.80 g/t Au) and remain open along strike and at depth.
Further along strike within the Imbo Project, four priority
prospects have been identified with similar host lithologies to
Adumbi and will require drilling.
Additional feed for the
Adumbi processing plant could also come from Loncor's 100%-owned
high grade Makapela deposit where Indicated Mineral Resources of
2.20 million tonnes grading 8.66 g/t Au (614,200 ounces of gold)
and Inferred Mineral Resources of 3.22 million tonnes grading 5.30
g/t Au (549,600 ounces of gold) have been outlined to date with the
high grade material being able to be transported to
Adumbi.
-
Additional geotechnical
investigations including drilling has the potential to optimize and
steepen pit slopes especially for the competent fresh BIF host rock
and thus reducing the strip ratio and thereby lowering mining
costs.
-
Further metallurgical
testwork to confirm recoveries, reagent consumptions and optimize
flowsheet design should be undertaken as the project advances into
pre-feasibility and full feasibility stages.
-
As mentioned previously,
hydroelectric sites have already been identified close to Adumbi
and further studies are required to optimize the power set for the
operation.
Qualified Persons
Mr. Philemon Bundo,
Senior Vice President of Process at New SENET (Pty) Ltd, and Mr.
Daniel Bansah, Chairman and Managing Director of Minecon, are the
"qualified persons" (as such term is defined in National Instrument
43-101) who are responsible for the technical information disclosed
in this press release. Mr. Bansah and Mr. Bundo have
reviewed and approved the contents of this press
release.
A technical report
relating to the Adumbi PEA reported in this press release will be
prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43- 101 and will be
filed on SEDAR and EDGAR within the period required by National
Instrument 43-101.
Technical Reports
Additional information
with respect to the Company's Imbo Project (which includes the
Adumbi deposit) is contained in the technical report of Minecon
Resources and Services Limited dated April 27, 2021 and entitled
"Updated Resource Statement and Independent National Instrument
43-101 Technical Report, Imbo Project, Ituri Province, Democratic
Republic of the Congo". A copy of the said report can be
obtained from SEDAR at
www.sedar.com and
EDGAR at
www.sec.gov.
Information with respect
to the Company's Makapela Project, and certain other properties of
the Company in the Ngayu gold belt, is contained in the technical
report of Venmyn Rand (Pty) Ltd dated May 29, 2012 and entitled
"Updated National Instrument 43-101 Independent Technical Report on
the Ngayu Gold Project, Orientale Province, Democratic Republic of
the Congo". A copy of the said report can be
obtained from SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR at
www.sec.gov.
About Loncor Gold Inc.
Loncor is a Canadian gold
exploration company focussed on the Ngayu Greenstone Gold Belt in
the northeast of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (the
"DRC").
The Loncor team has over
two decades of experience of operating in the
DRC.
Loncor's growing resource
base in the Ngayu Belt currently comprises the Imbo and Makapela
Projects. At the Imbo Project, the Adumbi
deposit holds an indicated mineral resource of 1.88 million ounces
of gold (28.185 million tonnes grading 2.08 g/t gold), and the
Adumbi deposit and two neighbouring deposits hold an inferred
mineral resource of 2.090 million ounces of gold (22.508 million
tonnes grading 2.89 g/t Au), with 84.68% of these resources being
attributable to Loncor. Loncor has been carrying out a
drilling program at the Adumbi deposit with the objective of
outlining additional mineral resources. The Makapela Project (which is
100%-owned by Loncor and is located approximately 50 kilometres
from the Imbo Project) has an indicated mineral resource of 614,200
ounces of gold (2.20 million tonnes grading 8.66 g/t Au) and an
inferred mineral resource of 549,600 ounces of gold (3.22 million
tonnes grading 5.30 g/t Au).
Additional information
with respect to Loncor and its projects can be found on Loncor's
website at www.loncor.com
Cautionary
Note to U.S. Investors
National
Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects
("NI
43-101") is a rule of
the Canadian Securities Administrators which establishes standards
for all public disclosure an issuer makes of scientific and
technical information concerning mineral projects.
Unless
otherwise indicated, all resource estimates contained in this press
release have been prepared in accordance with NI 43-101 and the
Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum
Classification System.
These
standards differ from the requirements of the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission, and resource information contained in this
press release may not be comparable to similar information
disclosed by U.S. companies.
Cautionary
Note Concerning Forward-Looking Information
This
press release contains forward-looking information.
All
statements, other than statements of historical fact, that address
activities, events or developments that the Company believes,
expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future (including,
without limitation, statements regarding estimates and/or
assumptions in respect of production, revenue, cash flow and costs,
estimated project economics, Adumbi project opportunities, mineral
resource estimates, potential underground mineral resources,
potential mineralization, potential gold discoveries, drill
targets, potential mineral resource increases, exploration results,
and future exploration and development plans) are forward-looking
information.
This
forward-looking information reflects the current expectations or
beliefs of the Company based on information currently available to
the Company.
Forward-looking
information is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that
may cause the actual results of the Company to differ materially
from those discussed in the forward-looking information, and even
if such actual results are realized or substantially realized,
there can be no assurance that they will have the expected
consequences to, or effects on the Company.
Factors
that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from
current expectations include, among other things, uncertainty of
estimates of capital and operating costs, production estimates and
estimated economic return, the possibility that actual
circumstances will differ from the estimates and assumptions used
in the Adumbi PEA, the possibility that future exploration
(including drilling) or development results will not be consistent
with the Company's expectations, the possibility that drilling or
development programs will be delayed, activities of the Company may
be adversely impacted by the continued spread of the widespread
outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel strain of the
coronavirus ("COVID-19"), including the ability of the Company to
secure additional financing, risks related to the exploration stage
of the Company's properties, uncertainties relating to the
availability and costs of financing needed in the future, failure
to establish estimated mineral resources (the Company's mineral
resource figures are estimates and no assurances can be given that
the indicated levels of gold will be produced), changes in world
gold markets or equity markets, political developments in the DRC,
gold recoveries being less than those indicated by the
metallurgical testwork carried out to date (there can be no
assurance that gold recoveries in small scale laboratory tests will
be duplicated in large tests under on-site conditions or during
production), fluctuations in currency exchange rates, inflation,
changes to regulations affecting the Company's activities, delays
in obtaining or failure to obtain required project approvals, the
uncertainties involved in interpreting drilling results and other
geological data and the other risks disclosed under the heading
"Risk Factors" and elsewhere in the Company's annual report on Form
20-F dated March 31, 2021 filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR
at www.sec.gov.
Forward-looking
information speaks only as of the date on which it is provided and,
except as may be required by applicable securities laws, the
Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update any
forward-looking information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or results or otherwise.
Although
the Company believes that the assumptions inherent in the
forward-looking information are reasonable, forward-looking
information is not a guarantee of future performance and
accordingly undue reliance should not be put on such information
due to the inherent uncertainty therein.
Cautionary
Note Concerning Mineral Resource Estimates
The
mineral resource figures referred to in this press release are
estimates and no assurances can be given that the indicated levels
of gold will be produced. Such estimates are expressions of
judgment based on knowledge, mining experience, analysis of
drilling results and industry practices. Valid
estimates made at a given time may significantly change when new
information becomes available. While
the Company believes that the mineral resource estimates included
in this press release are well established, by their nature mineral
resource estimates are imprecise and depend, to a certain extent,
upon statistical inferences which may ultimately prove
unreliable. If
such estimates are inaccurate or are reduced in the future, this
could have a material adverse impact on the Company.
Mineral
resources are not mineral reserves and do not have demonstrated
economic viability. There
is no certainty that mineral resources can be upgraded to mineral
reserves through continued exploration.
Due to
the uncertainty that may be attached to inferred mineral resources,
it cannot be assumed that all or any part of an inferred mineral
resource will be upgraded to an indicated or measured mineral
resource as a result of continued exploration. Confidence
in the estimate is insufficient to allow meaningful application of
the technical and economic parameters to enable an evaluation of
economic viability worthy of public disclosure (except in certain
limited circumstances). Inferred
mineral resources are excluded from estimates forming the basis of
a feasibility study.
Cautionary
Note Concerning Non-GAAP Measures
This
press release includes certain terms or performance measures
commonly used in the mining industry that are not defined under
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), including
cash costs and AISC per payable ounce of gold sold. Non-GAAP
measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS
and, therefore, they may not be comparable to similar measures
employed by other companies. The
Company believes that, in addition to conventional measures
prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this
information to evaluate performance. The
data presented is intended to provide additional information and
should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for
measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
For further information,
please visit our website at
www.loncor.com or
contact:
John Barker, CEO, +44
7547 159 521
Peter Cowley, President,
+44 7904 540 856
Arnold Kondrat, Executive
Chairman, +1 416 366 7300