CALGARY, AB, Feb. 1, 2021 /CNW/ - Pan Orient Energy Corp.
("Pan Orient" or the "Company") (TSXV: POE), on behalf of Pan
Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd. ("POS"), announced the results of
its December 31, 2020 independent
reserves evaluation for Thailand
on-shore Concession L53/48 where POS is the operator and has a
100% working interest. Pan Orient has a 50.01% equity interest in
POS, which is classified as a Joint Venture under International
Financial Reporting Standards and accounted for using the equity
method. Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in the assets,
liabilities, working capital, operations and capital expenditures
of POS are recorded in Investment in the Thailand Joint Venture and
Pan Orient does not have any direct interest in, or control over,
the crude oil reserves or operations of on-shore Concession
L53/48.
The evaluation for the Thailand
assets as at December 31, 2020 was
conducted by Sproule International Limited of Calgary ("Sproule") and was prepared in
accordance with Canadian Securities Administrators National
Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities.
Please note that all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless
otherwise stated and BOPD refers to barrels of oil per day.
Reserves volumes reported below are "Company Gross Reserves", a
classification of reserves used in the evaluation which represents
production and reserves before deduction of
royalties.
Commenting today on the year-end 2020 reserve report of Pan
Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd., President and CEO Jeff Chisholm stated: "This year-end 2020
reserves report is an excellent result with proved reserves up 130%
and proved plus probable reserves up 30%, mainly due to the
production performance of the L53-DD field. While the oil volumes
are strong, the proved and probable net present value after tax
(discounted at 10%) was down 11% year-on-year as a result of the
substantially lower (-17%) average oil price forecast at year-end
2020 versus year-end 2019, a reflection of the current uncertainty
in the global oil markets. Despite the uncertainty with regard to
oil markets in 2021, we look forward to a strong year of oil
production performance from the L53 Concession".
Summary of Thailand Reserves at December 31, 2020 for Concession L53/48
- Thailand crude oil reserves
and values at December 31, 2020 of
POS (representing the 100% working interest of POS in Concession
L53/48):
-
- Proved oil reserves ("1P") of 2,836,000 barrels at December 31, 2020, a 130% increase from the
1,235,000 barrels at December 31,
2019.
- Proved plus probable oil reserves ("2P") increased 30% to
4,753,000 barrels at December 31,
2020 compared with proved plus probable oil reserves of
3,668,000 barrels at December 31,
2019. The increase in 2020 reflects the following changes
during 2020:
-
- Oil sales increased 15% in 2020 to 887,863 barrels (2,426
BOPD), with 734,006 barrels (2,005 BOPD) from the L53DD field,
64,688 barrels (177 BOPD) from the L53G field, 36,454 barrels (100
BOPD) from the L53A field, 22,301 barrels (61 BOPD) from the L53D
field, 12,832 barrels (35 BOPD) from the L53B field, 11,670 barrels
(32 BOPD) from the L53AA South field and 6,001 barrels (16 BOPD)
from the new L53AA field.
- The L53DD field added 734,006 barrels of oil sales in 2020
compared with 615,460 barrels in 2019. The L53DD field at
December 31, 2019 has been assigned
proved reserves of 2,132,000 barrels and proved plus probable
reserves of 3,468,000 barrels (including a positive technical
revision of proved plus probable reserves in 2020 of 1,732,000
barrels based on well performance).
- Discovery of the L53AA field with the L53-AA2 exploration well
in the first quarter of 2020 added 6,001 barrels of oil sales in
2020 during the 90 day production test and has been assigned proved
reserves of 19,000 barrels and proved plus probable reserves of
43,000 barrels at December 31,
2020.
- Proved plus probable reserves increases from positive technical
revisions and infill drilling (net of negative economic factors
associated with lower forecast prices) reported for the six
existing L53/48 fields were 1,924,000 barrels (52% of December 31, 2019 proved plus probable
reserves).
- Net present value (after tax) of Thailand proved plus probable oil reserves at
December 31, 2020, using forecast
prices and costs discounted at 10% per year, of Cdn$77.8 million. The 11% decrease in the net
present value (after tax) of Thailand proved plus probable oil reserves
from $87.4 million at December 31, 2019 is the result of the 30%
increase in proved plus probable reserves (primarily at the L53-DD
field) more than offset by a 17% decrease in average oil sales
prices.
- After the L53DD oil discovery in 2018, the Company requested
the inclusion of possible oil reserves at December 31, 2018, December 31, 2019 and December 31, 2020 in order to better define the
potential upside of the field. Possible reserves are those
additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than
probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities
actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
Possible oil reserves decreased 47% to 2,091,000 barrels at
December 31, 2020 from 3,909,000
barrels at December 31, 2019 as
possible reserves were moved into proved and probable reserves.
Total proved plus probable plus possible oil reserves ("3P") are
6,844,000 barrels at December 31,
2020 with a net present value (after tax) using forecast
prices and costs discounted at 10% per year, of Cdn$103.4 million.
- Thailand Concession L53/48 reserves are from conventional
sandstone reservoirs.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS:
-
- Pan Orient does not have any direct interest in, or control
over, the crude oil reserves or operations of on-shore Concession
L53/48. The values at December 31,
2020 identified as "Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% Equity
Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd." represent 50.01% of POS
reserves and values.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, proved plus
probable crude oil reserves of 2,377,000 barrels at December 31, 2020. Net to Pan Orient's 50.01%
equity interest in POS, net present value (after tax) of
Thailand proved plus probable
crude oil reserves at December 31,
2020, using forecast prices and costs discounted at 10% per
year, of Cdn$38.9 million, or
$0.75 per Pan Orient share based on
the 51.7 million Pan Orient shares outstanding at December 31, 2020.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, proved plus
probable plus possible crude oil reserves of 3,423,000 barrels at
December 31, 2020. Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, net present value (after
tax) of Thailand proved plus
probable plus possible crude oil reserves at December 31, 2020, using forecast prices and
costs discounted at 10% per year, of Cdn$51.7 million, or $1.00 per Pan Orient share based on the 51.7
million Pan Orient shares outstanding at December 31, 2020.
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2020, as provided by
Sproule
|
Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam)
Ltd.
|
Marketable Reserves –
Company Gross (thousands of
barrels)
|
Light and
Medium Oil
|
Heavy Oil
|
Total
|
Proved
|
1,112
|
305
|
1,418
|
Probable
|
715
|
244
|
959
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
1,828
|
549
|
2,377
|
Possible
|
742
|
304
|
1,046
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
2,570
|
853
|
3,423
|
Summary of Thailand
Net Present Values as of December 31, 2020, as provided by Sproule
(After Income Tax)
|
Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam)
Ltd.
|
Present Value - After
Tax
(Cdn$ million)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Proved
|
31
|
28
|
25
|
23
|
Probable
|
23
|
17
|
14
|
11
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
54
|
45
|
39
|
34
|
Possible
|
27
|
18
|
13
|
10
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
81
|
63
|
52
|
44
|
Per Pan Orient share
- Proved & Probable Note
|
$
|
1.04
|
$
|
0.87
|
$
|
0.75
|
$
|
0.66
|
Per Pan Orient share
- Proved & Probable & Possible Note
|
$
|
1.57
|
$
|
1.22
|
$
|
1.00
|
$
|
0.85
|
Note: Per share
values were calculated based on 51,744,007 Pan Orient shares
outstanding at December 31, 2020
|
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2020, as provided by
Sproule
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
Marketable Reserves –
Company Gross (thousands of
barrels)
|
Light and
Medium Oil
|
Heavy Oil
|
Total
|
Proved
|
2,224
|
611
|
2,836
|
Probable
|
1,431
|
487
|
1,917
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
3,655
|
1,098
|
4,753
|
Possible
|
1,483
|
608
|
2,091
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
5,138
|
1,706
|
6,844
|
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2020, by Major
Field as provided by Sproule
– Company Gross (thousands of barrels)
|
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
|
Concession L53/48 (by
Major Field)
|
Proved
|
Probable
|
Proved plus
Probable
|
Possible
|
Proved,
Probable&
Possible
|
L53A Field
|
152
|
91
|
243
|
101
|
344
|
L53B Field
|
95
|
99
|
194
|
257
|
451
|
L53D Field
|
209
|
174
|
383
|
128
|
511
|
L53G Field
|
171
|
82
|
253
|
82
|
335
|
L53DD
Field
|
2,132
|
1,336
|
3,468
|
1,270
|
4,738
|
L53AA South
Field
|
58
|
111
|
169
|
229
|
398
|
L53AA
Field
|
19
|
24
|
43
|
24
|
67
|
|
2,836
|
1,917
|
4,753
|
2,091
|
6,844
|
Reconciliation of
Changes in Thailand Crude Oil Proved plus Probable Reserves as of
December 31, 2020,
as provided by
Sproule – Company Gross (Light and Medium Oil and Heavy
Oil)
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
(thousands of
barrels)
|
Proved
|
Probable
|
Proved plus
Probable
|
December 31,
2019
|
1,235
|
2,433
|
3,668
|
Product Type
Transfer
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Discoveries
|
1,346
|
24
|
49
|
Extensions
|
16
|
-
|
-
|
Infill
Drilling
|
306
|
188
|
494
|
Improved
Recovery
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Acquisitions
|
|
|
-
|
Dispositions
|
|
|
-
|
Economic
Factors
|
(14)
|
(55)
|
(69)
|
Technical
Revision
|
834
|
(673)
|
1,499
|
Production
|
(888)
|
-
|
(888)
|
December 31,
2019
|
2,836
|
1,917
|
4,753
|
Note: Technical
Revisions also include changes in reserves associated with changes
in operating costs, capital costs and commodity price
offsets. Discoveries include proved reserves added to
previously booked stand alone probable locations in the DD
Area. The probable locations were initially booked when the
DD Area was discovered in 2018.
|
Summary of Thailand
Net Present Values as of December 31, 2020, as provided by Sproule
(After Income Tax) Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd. (with a 100%
working interest in Concession L53/48)
|
Present Value - After
Tax (Cdn$ million)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Proved
|
62
|
55
|
50
|
46
|
Probable
|
46
|
35
|
27
|
22
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
108
|
90
|
78
|
68
|
Possible
|
55
|
36
|
26
|
20
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
163
|
126
|
103
|
88
|
Thailand Concession
L53/48 Reserves Evaluation as of December 31, 2020, as provided by
Sproule
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
Notes:
|
1)
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. is the operator and 100% working interest owner of
Concession L53/48. Pan Orient holds a 50.01% equity interest
in Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd.
Thailand reserves and
values at December 31, 2020 shown as "100% working interest of Pan
Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd." represent a 100% working interest in
Concession L53/48.
|
2)
|
Reserves volumes
reported above are "Company Gross Reserves", a classification of
reserves used in the evaluation which represents production and
reserves before deduction of royalties.
|
3)
|
The tables shown have
assessed reserves at forecast crude oil reference prices &
costs.
|
4)
|
The US$ reference
price for crude oil per barrel (US$ UK Brent per barrel) is $48.00
for 2021, $50.00 for 2022, $55.00 for 2023, $56.10 for 2024, $57.22
for 2025, and prices increase at 2.0% per year
thereafter.
|
5)
|
Oil revenue for these
reserves is based on 95% of the forecast crude oil Brent reference
price.
|
6)
|
Tables show assessed
reserves with a foreign exchange rate of CDN$1=US$0.77.
|
7)
|
The capital cost and
operating expense inflation rate is 0% per year in 2021, 1% per
year in 2022 and 2.0% per year starting in 2023.
|
8)
|
Estimated future
undiscounted development costs, in dollars, at December 31, 2020
were Cdn$15.1 million for proved reserves, Cdn$19.8 million for
proved plus probable reserves and Cdn$19.8 million for proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
|
9)
|
Net present values
after income tax are after deduction of the SRB (Special
Remuneratory Benefit tax) and income tax in Thailand. SRB tax
rate is forecast to be zero percent per year based on the forecast
oil rates and prices.
|
10)
|
Well abandonment and
reclamation costs of Cdn$5.2 million for the proved plus probable
case were included in this report and include abandonment and
reclamation costs for all existing and future wells. Well
abandonment and reclamation costs of Cdn$6.0 million were included
for the proved plus probable plus possible case. No
allowances for salvage values were made.
|
11)
|
The net present
values disclosed may not represent fair market value.
|
12)
|
Totals may not add
exactly due to rounding.
|
Pan Orient is a Calgary,
Alberta based oil and gas exploration and production company
with operations currently located onshore Thailand, Indonesia and in Western Canada.
This news release contains forward-looking information.
Forward-looking information is generally identifiable by the
terminology used, such as "expect", "believe", "estimate",
"should", "anticipate" and "potential" or other similar
wording. Forward-looking information in this news release
includes, but is not limited to, references to: estimates of
reserves and the net present value of those reserves, anticipated
future production performance, estimates of future crude oil
reference prices and the percentage of those prices received by Pan
Orient, and estimates of development costs, foreign exchange rates,
inflation rates, taxes and well abandonment and disconnect
costs. By their very nature, the forward-looking statements
contained in this news release require Pan Orient and its
management to make assumptions that may not materialize or that may
not be accurate. The forward-looking information contained in
this news release is subject to known and unknown risks and
uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results,
expectations, achievements or performance to differ materially,
including without limitation: imprecision of reserve estimates and
estimates of recoverable quantities of oil, changes in project
schedules, operating and reservoir performance, the effects of
weather and climate change, the results of exploration and
development drilling and related activities, demand for oil and
gas, commercial negotiations, other technical and economic factors
or revisions and other factors, many of which are beyond the
control of Pan Orient. Although Pan Orient believes that the
expectations reflected in its forward-looking statements are
reasonable, it can give no assurances that the expectations of any
forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Pan Orient Energy Corp.