HHgregg's Depressed Appliance Sales Weigh On Outlook, Shares
03 June 2009 - 2:34AM
Dow Jones News
Weak sales of major appliances, which make up more than a third
of HHgregg Inc.'s (HGG) annual revenue, are weighing on the
retailer's fiscal 2010 outlook and its shares Tuesday.
The regional electronics and appliance retailer on Tuesday
listed housing-related weakness in appliance sales, along with the
broader economic climate and falling television set prices, as the
major factors in its disappointing sales and earnings
forecasts.
HHgregg said it expects fiscal 2010 per-share earnings of
between 85 cents and $1 -- below the consensus forecast of $1.09 a
share, according to Thomson Reuters. It expects same-store sales to
decline 7% to 12% for the year, with trends being worse in the
first half and improving in the second.
Fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of 42 cents a share on a 6.5%
decline in same-store sales were in line with the company's April 7
preannouncement.
"We obviously don't know exactly when the economy will improve
and believe it is prudent to plan conservatively," President and
Operating Chief Dennis May said during a conference call.
HHgregg shares have nearly doubled year to date amid signs it is
picking up some of the share given up when Circuit City Stores Inc.
(CCTYQ) went out of business. The stock fell 6.8% in recent trading
to $15.72 amid the disappointing forecast.
HHgregg said it continues to gain favor with customers and
suppliers, and it expects the weak economy and shrinking retail
industry will give it new opportunities to add stores at favorable
rent rates.
But the most recent results and the outlook show that appliances
are a mixed blessing for HHgregg.
On the one hand, appliances generate gross margins above the
Indianapolis company's average for all products. Despite intense
promotional activity from top U.S. appliance retailer Sears
Holdings Corp. (SHLD) and others, gross margins have been
relatively stable, May said.
In addition, higher-priced front-loading washers and three-door
refrigerators remain popular as shoppers look for upgrades to
energy efficiency and style, and that's helping to push up
HHgregg's average sales ticket.
HHgregg, which currently has about 110 stores, also says it's
gaining market share in the category. It expects to open 16 to 18
new stores this fiscal year, funding the expansion through
internally generated cash, and it is one of the few U.S. chains
expanding.
This year, however, is expected to mark the third year in a row
of challenging appliance industry trends. Major home appliance
shipments fell nearly 9% in 2008, according to the Association of
Home Appliance Manufacturers.
HHgregg expects overall industry shipments to return to their
historical growth rate of low single digits eventually. Meanwhile,
though, appliances historically make up an even greater share of
HHgregg's first-quarter sales than the rest of the year. And after
a nearly 20% drop in same-store appliance sales during the fourth
quarter ended March 31, company executives said they are taking a
cautious view despite recent signs of a business pickup.
"After a difficult March and April, our appliance business began
to pick up in May," said May, who will succeed retiring Chief
Executive Jerry Throgmartin in August.
Sales of TV sets and other video products, which represent about
50% of company sales, grew 1.5% on a same-store basis for fiscal
2009.
Some analysts said investors should use the weakness in share
prices Tuesday to buy HHgregg shares.
Hudson Square Research analyst Scott Tilghman said he believes
management guidance is conservative, adding that fiscal 2009
first-half results only accounted for about 15% of the full-year
outcome.
Credit Suisse analyst Gary Balter told clients that looking past
the near term, "the outlook remains quite promising."
HHgregg is gaining efficiency as it expands, leveraging
advertising costs and distribution, while gaining favor with
vendors and adding market share, executives said.
"It is a very good time to be a growth company," May said.
-By Mary Ellen Lloyd, Dow Jones Newswires, 704-948-9145;
maryellen.lloyd@dowjones.com
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