The tech sector has turned around with impressive growth rates and
earnings beat ratios for the most recent earnings season. Total
earnings for the sector that have reported results so far are up 6%
with beat ratio of 68.3%, while revenues for these companies are up
3.7% with revenue beat ratio of 50.8%.
Though Apple (AAPL) dominates the broad tech sector, Google (GOOG)
has also shown its ability to lead the space. The company performed
remarkably well following its astounding third quarter results.
Earnings per share came in at $11.24, strongly beating the Zacks
Consensus Estimate by $3.09.
Google breached its major milestone of $1,000/share after the
earnings announcement last month and is currently hovering near its
all-time high of $1,048. This has helped GOOG to gain the second
position in this sector in terms of market cap, leaving behind its
tough competitor Microsoft (MSFT). The stock gained nearly 46% in
the year-to-date time frame.
Despite stiff competition from Facebook (FB) and Yahoo (YHOO), the
world largest Internet company is enjoying much higher attention
from investors of late on increased mobile and video advertising
revenues (read: 3 ETFs with the Most Facebook (FB) Exposure in
Focus).
Revenues from the Internet business jumped 23% while total
advertising revenue soared 17% in the third quarter. Mobile traffic
is gaining strong momentum as nearly 40% of YouTube traffic now
comes from mobile, up from 6% two years ago.
The Android operating system, YouTube and the new advertising
system - Enhanced Campaigns – launched in July may continue to
drive advertising revenues. Additionally, Google recently allowed
Nielson Holdings (NLSN) to track ad views on YouTube, which is an
added advantage to its advertising business.
Moreover, most analysts are bullish on the company’s growth outlook
and revised their target prices upward. This has spread optimism
across the whole tech sector, suggesting that the tech giant is on
a solid growth trajectory.
Google currently has a decent Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), underscoring
that it has potential for further upside. Given the bullish outlook
and the impressive run up in GOOG share prices, we have highlighted
three ETFs with heavy exposure to this giant for investors seeking
to bet on the stock along with its broader industry at this time
(see: all the Technology ETFs here).
iShares Dow Jones US Technology ETF (IYW)
This ETF tracks the Dow Jones US Technology Index, giving investors
exposure to the broad technology space. The fund holds 142 stocks
in its basket with AUM of $2.9 billion while charging 45 bps in
fees and expenses. Volume is solid as it exchanges more than
325,000 shares a day.
Of the major holdings, GOOG occupies the second position in the
portfolio, making up 10.37% of the assets. The product is heavily
skewed toward the hardware and equipment segments, as these make up
more than half of the portfolio. Software & computer services
take the remaining portion in the basket.
In terms of performance, the ETF added 4.4% following the Google
results and 19.50% so far this year. The product has a Zacks ETF
Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’ with a ‘High’ risk outlook.
First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index (FDN)
This is one of the more popular and liquid ETFs in the broad tech
space with AUM of over $1.6 billion and average daily volume of
nearly 280,000 shares. The fund tracks the Dow Jones Internet
Composite Index and charges 57 bps in fees per year.
The ETF holds a small basket of 41 stocks with Google as the top
firm with 11.03% of total assets. This indicates that Google
dominates the fund’s return as none of the other firms holds more
than 8.77% share. The Internet and mobile segment account for more
than half the portfolio, followed closely by Internet retail at 25%
of assets.
The ETF is up nearly 43% year-to-date and increased 3.7% following
Google’s earnings announcement. FDN has a Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or
‘Strong Buy’ rating with a ‘Medium’ risk outlook (read: Top Ranked
Internet ETF in Focus: FDN).
PowerShares Nasdaq Internet Portfolio (PNQI)
This fund provides broad exposure to the Internet industry by
tracking the Nasdaq Internet Index. The fund has accumulated AUM of
$231.7 million while charging 60 bps in fees per year. Volume is
light though.
In total, the fund holds 81 stocks in its basket. Out of these,
Google takes the third spot at 8.60%. In terms of industrial
exposure, Internet & mobile application make up for two-third
share in the basket, followed by Internet retail and software &
programing (read: 3 Internet ETFs Leading the Tech World
Higher).
PNQI gained 3.1% following GOOG earnings beat and nearly 53%
year-to-date. The ETF currently has a Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or
‘Strong Buy’ rating with ‘High’ risk outlook.
The following table compares the performance of these three ETFs
with that of Google from a risk/return tradeoff point of view.
ETFs |
YTD Returns (as of
Nov. 21) |
Returns Since Q3
GOOG Earnings (as of Nov. 21) |
Correlation With
Google's YTD Share Price |
Risk (Annualized
Standard Deviation) |
IYW |
19.50% |
4.38% |
0.89 |
14.33% |
FDN |
42.75% |
3.69% |
0.85 |
15.73% |
PNQI |
53.01% |
3.10% |
0.82 |
16.90% |
GOOG |
46.18% |
16.30% |
N/A |
22.13% |
Bottom Line
While it is true that Google has generated more in returns than
many of the ETFs, the exposure to only GOOG requires above par risk
appetite given its higher volatility (annualized standard deviation
is 22.13%).
In order to minimize this risk, investors could definitely look to
the three ETFs that have a high correlation to that of GOOG’s share
price. Out of the three, IYW with a correlation of 0.89 seems the
best choice for investors seeking to ride the most of the recent
surge in Google given higher returns and less risk (see more in the
Zacks ETF Center).
The other two products – FDN and PNQI – also require lower risk
tolerance levels and provide diversified exposure to the Internet
segment. However, both have clearly benefited from the jump in
Google shares, and could continue to do well if this tech giant
remains a strong performer.
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FT-DJ INTRNT IX (FDN): ETF Research Reports
GOOGLE INC-CL A (GOOG): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-US TECH (IYW): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-ND INTRNT (PNQI): ETF Research Reports
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