Is This Telecom ETF About to Surge? - ETF News And Commentary
16 March 2013 - 1:04AM
Zacks
Although many investors remain laser-focused on the domestic
market, a more global approach can also reveal great opportunities.
This is arguably the case for many who look at relatively safe
global sectors, which are known for their solid prospects, strong
dividends, and low volatility.
One popular choice in this segment is of course the telecom
sector. This space has, in many countries, a virtual monopoly on
many services while in several others—such as the U.S.—an oligopoly
is present. This lack of competition is obviously great news for
the firms in the space, while the immense startup costs make new
entrants a very remote possibility (see the Comprehensive Guide to
Telecom ETFs).
However, there is one downside to this approach in many markets;
growth is limited. Many telecom firms thus have few growth
prospects and must instead rely on dividends in order to entice
investors. This technique may make these firms poor choices for
some seeking big swings, but for those looking for high yields,
this is a welcomed approach.
While some investors might focus on IYZ or
VOX for this exposure, we believe that a great way
to play telecom ETFs is by looking at the iShares S&P
Global Telecommunications Sector ETF (IXP). This product
is an easy way to target telecoms from around the globe, while
still providing high yields, and minimal extra risks.
Yet, while it is an interesting choice for yield, this fund
hasn’t participated much in the current rally, as it has added just
under 3% YTD. We think it could be poised for a surge in the coming
weeks and months though, based on both technical and fundamental
factors described below:
Technical Look
Although the fund hasn’t surged, its short term moving averages
have managed to stay above longer-term levels. The 10-Day SMA is
now comfortably above the longer-term 200-Day SMA, suggesting
continued bullishness for this ETF (Is the Dollar ETF About to
Surge?).
Meanwhile, the fund’s RSI is showing a level just below 60,
suggesting that the fund isn’t in overbought territory, and that it
still has some more room to run before it gets ahead of itself.
This is further confirmed by an upswing in the Parabolic SAR,
although this figure should definitely be monitored closely.
Fundamentals
Investors have been focused in on high dividend paying stocks
for quite some time, and this could be another excellent way to
accomplish that objective. The fund has a 30-Day SEC yield over 5%,
easily crushing not only bond yields, but many so-called high
dividend ETFs as well (see Three Overlooked High Yield ETFs).
This could make this fund a great choice for those seeking a big
payout, global exposure, and lower volatility. Plus, the fund still
has about one-third of its exposure in the U.S. market, a factor
that should make this a comfortable choice for those who
traditionally focus on domestic stocks.
This trend may also make this fund popular from an inflow
perspective, especially from those who have big holdings in various
sectors that have been bid up over the past few months. So, if this
product becomes the hot new yield destination, it could help to
carry this telecom ETF towards new highs in the second quarter.
Bottom Line
Yes, IXP is a bit concentrated in its top holdings as the big
three account for more than a third of the portfolio. But the
safety of this product is going to be tough to beat in the equity
world, and especially so for funds that have global holdings (see 4
International ETFs Yielding More Than 5%).
Instead, investors should focus on the robust payout in this
product, and its strong technical position which suggests more
bullishness ahead for this ETF. If that wasn’t enough, investors
should also note that we currently have a Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or
‘Strong Buy’ on this fund, so it might be time to take a closer
look at this often glossed-over space.
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ISHARS-GLB TELE (IXP): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-DJ TELE (IYZ): ETF Research Reports
VIPERS-TELE SVC (VOX): ETF Research Reports
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