Macro Indicators Will Move the S&P 500 Index This Week
12 September 2022 - 7:03AM
Finscreener.org
The equity markets in the United
States snapped a three-week losing streak after rising for a third
straight session on Friday. The advance in stock prices was driven
by outsized gains across sectors. While the
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.7%, the S&P
500 (AMEX:
SPY) and Nasdaq Composite Index gained 3.7% and 4%, respectively, last
week.
Comparatively, the
10-year treasury yield
surged over 3.5% on Tuesday and closed the week at 3.32%. Finally,
prices of the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell below $82 per barrel last week before
rising to $86 per barrel on Friday. It was the lowest level for
crude oil prices since January 2022, but it gained pace after
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin threatened to cut
supplies.
The upcoming week will be quite
eventful, given the plethora of economic reports that will be
released in the U.S., Europe, and the United Kingdom. Let’s take a
look at each of them closely to gauge what the market expects from
the economy right now.
Consumer Price Index data
The Bureau of Labor Statistics
will release the CPI or Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday.
Inflation numbers for August are expected to accelerate to 8.7% in
August from 8.5% in July. Additionally, core inflation which
excludes fuel and food costs, is forecast to rise to 6.1% in
August, up from 5.9% in July.
The pace of inflation has
moderated in recent months after touching a 40-year high of 9.1% in
June. Due to a slowdown in energy costs, prices across other
commodities and services continue to rise on the back of lower
unemployment rates and supply chain disruptions.
Data for the Producer Price Index
(PPI) will be released on Wednesday. This metric tracks inflation
from the standpoint of producers and wholesalers. The PPI fell by
0.5% in July after it rose 1% in June. In fact, the PPI’s annual
gain decelerated to 8.9%, which was its lowest level since last
October. A lower rate in August would indicate an easing of price
pressures.
Retail sales data for August
The U.S. Census Bureau will
release August retail sales data on Thursday, an indicator of
consumer spending. In August, retail sales data might experience a
slowdown after the metric was unchanged in July. But due to red hot
inflation numbers, the purchasing power of individuals has been
impacted, which should also stagnate retail numbers of the last
month.
U.K. inflation
The U.K. inflation numbers for
July will be released on Wednesday. In July, inflation in the U.K.
stood at 10.1%, which was the highest rate of rising prices among
G-7 countries for 40 years. Analysts expect the annual inflation
rate in the U.K. to range around 10.2% in July as energy prices
have soared.
Russia is threatening to cut
supplies to Europe in opposition to the sanctions imposed against
the country by the Western block. Due to the limited supply of
energy and rising demand, Bank of England expects inflation to
surge over 13% in early 2023.
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